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Orla Hegarty Profile picture
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25 Sep, 4 tweets, 3 min read
🇮🇪 Ireland 📈#Covid19 cases rising in <15 children is out of step with Europe

🇧🇪 Belgium 📉
🇳🇱 Netherlands 📉
🇪🇸 Spain📉
🇩🇪 Germany📉
🇫🇷 France📉
🇵🇹 Portugal📉
🇩🇰 Denmark 📉

🇬🇧 UK rising 📈 with no precautions in schools (image: @ReicherStephen) Image
Ireland & UK hotspots with very high case numbers
🇮🇪 Ireland 263/ million (7 day avg)

🇧🇪Belgium 170
🇳🇱Netherlands 105
🇪🇸Spain 52
🇩🇪Germany 94
🇫🇷France 96
🇵🇹Portugal 73
🇩🇰 Denmark 59

🇬🇧UK 484
(image: @OurWorldInData ) Image
More Europe (cases/million, 7 day avg)

🇮🇹 Italy 61
🇨🇭Switzerland 168
🇦🇹 Austria 184
🇵🇱 Poland 19
🇨🇿 Czechia 40
🇳🇴 Norway 126
🇸🇪 Sweden 62
🇫🇮 Finland 71
🇬🇷 Greece 216

.. Ireland second highest (after UK) & cases 2.5x EU average new daily cases Image
.. new cases yesterday (1,163) were 3.5x number of cases on same day last year (324).. yesterday there were 61 in ICU, 3.8x number last year (16)

..& the public health advice was very different… ImageImage

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More from @Orla_Hegarty

Orla Hegarty Profile picture
25 Sep
(reverse engineering)

If Ireland expect 90% vaccinated or IMMUNE BY INFECTION within 4 wks.. & few remain to be vaccinated

What is 15% ‘top up’ to 90% immunity?

Is it exposing children to #COVID19, which is unscientific, unsafe & unethical?

But if not that, what is the 15%?
(rough maths)
about 150,000 people tested positive in last 6 months (<3% of population)

..it’s not credible that another 600,000 (12%) people had COVID without testing positive since end March ‘21

..& that this 600,000 are ALL among 125,000 unvaccinated (25% of population)
(not an epidemiologist) am I missing something here? Thanks @dazult_pdempsey @CHeDS_ie @StuartDNeilson @andrewflood @RiochtConor2 @BrianFlanagan1 @LouisWu1992
Read 4 tweets
Orla Hegarty Profile picture
13 Sep
🇮🇪 #Covid19 It’s been one year since the LongForgottenDublinPandemicExperimentOf2020™️

If we had paid attention, 2021 could have been much, much better. Here’s why..

[we didn’t learn, but it’s never too late!] 1/ Our World in Data graph of Covid-19 cases in Ireland March 2
On 13 Sept 2020 the national 7-day average was 187 cases/day (it’s currently 1,300 almost 7 times amount)

In context of summer 2020, there were concerns. So govt brought in new restrictions ~for Dublin only~

Most significant was a ban on indoor dining & pubs ~in Dublin only~ 2/ Graph of 2020 cases
[+ an inter-county travel ban, limits on gatherings, closure of museums, & limits on some other not-so-high risk activities]

Most significant difference between Dublin & the Rest of Ireland was that indoor dining & pubs were open outside Dublin 3/
assets.gov.ie/87604/405b1065…
Read 8 tweets
Orla Hegarty Profile picture
12 Sep
(rough maths)
HEPA filtration €400 per classroom is < weekly cost of 1 contact tracer

We pay *900* contact tracers

HEPA for EVERY classroom ~as permanent protection for EVERY variant, virus & pollution~ would cost <6 more months of 900 contact tracers
irishexaminer.com/news/arid-4069…
(rough maths #2)

HEPA for EVERY classroom would be < cost of hospitalising 1,800 children (for average 1 week each)

1,800 schoolchildren is the number that would be expected to be hospitalised if 1 in 4 of all schoolchildren were infected in the coming months (0.25%)
(rough maths #3)

HEPA filtration for EVERY classroom as permanent protection would cost less than the *increase* in funding to horse & greyhound racing this year (up from €84m to €96m in 2021)
rte.ie/sport/racing/2…
Read 4 tweets
Orla Hegarty Profile picture
9 Sep
#Covid19 Children & managing class outbreaks

🇫🇷 France: full class isolate

🇮🇹 Italy: full class isolate

🇪🇸Spain: full class isolate

🇮🇪 Ireland: isolation of ‘close contacts’ if not vaccinated

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: no isolation of any under 18s for any reason
🇫🇷 France #schools “masks, mandatory from age 6.. classrooms regularly ventilated… In primary schools, if one child tests positive, class will close for 7 days.. In high schools children positive & not vaccinated placed into isolation for at least 1 week” amp.france24.com/en/france/2021…
🇮🇹 Italy ‘masks for everyone aged over six, staggered entrance/exit times, quarantine rules for classes with positive cases & some classes taught online, depending on the health situation in local area’ thelocal.it/20210831/expla…
Read 10 tweets
Orla Hegarty Profile picture
1 Sep
[Thread] Workplaces & #Covid19

😷 Many people WFH are concerned about risks in offices, schools, colleges & other buildings

🏢Workplace safety is regulated in EU (& other places). Virus is a biological agent & that requires precautions @EU_OSHA 1/
osha.europa.eu/en/themes/covi…
‘identification & assessment of risks is starting point for managing occupational safety & health.. Employers are obliged to revise risk assessment when there is change, to consider all risks, including affecting mental health..& to make an action plan’ 2/ oshwiki.eu/wiki/COVID-19:…
In Ireland, workplace safety is the responsibility of the Health & Safety Authority @TheHSA hsa.ie/eng/

#Covid19 resources here: hsa.ie/eng/topics/cov… 3/
Read 17 tweets
Orla Hegarty Profile picture
31 Aug
😷 👧🏼 #Covid19 #Schools #Delta
Masks are the most effective & simplest protection we have for children

Mask are worn very successfully from age 5 in schools in many countries

It’s not forever, & we will never regret doing it now. We must protect children
all the evidence for masks from Professor of Primary Care, Oxford @trishgreenhalgh
info from Professor @linseymarr Virginia Tech (expert in viral aerosols)
Read 5 tweets

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