(reverse engineering)

If Ireland expect 90% vaccinated or IMMUNE BY INFECTION within 4 wks.. & few remain to be vaccinated

What is 15% ‘top up’ to 90% immunity?

Is it exposing children to #COVID19, which is unscientific, unsafe & unethical?

But if not that, what is the 15%?
(rough maths)
about 150,000 people tested positive in last 6 months (<3% of population)

..it’s not credible that another 600,000 (12%) people had COVID without testing positive since end March ‘21

..& that this 600,000 are ALL among 125,000 unvaccinated (25% of population)
(not an epidemiologist) am I missing something here? Thanks @dazult_pdempsey @CHeDS_ie @StuartDNeilson @andrewflood @RiochtConor2 @BrianFlanagan1 @LouisWu1992
*correction: that this 600,000 are ALL among 1,250,000 unvaccinated (25% of population)

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More from @Orla_Hegarty

25 Sep
🇮🇪 Ireland 📈#Covid19 cases rising in <15 children is out of step with Europe

🇧🇪 Belgium 📉
🇳🇱 Netherlands 📉
🇪🇸 Spain📉
🇩🇪 Germany📉
🇫🇷 France📉
🇵🇹 Portugal📉
🇩🇰 Denmark 📉

🇬🇧 UK rising 📈 with no precautions in schools (image: @ReicherStephen) Image
Ireland & UK hotspots with very high case numbers
🇮🇪 Ireland 263/ million (7 day avg)

🇧🇪Belgium 170
🇳🇱Netherlands 105
🇪🇸Spain 52
🇩🇪Germany 94
🇫🇷France 96
🇵🇹Portugal 73
🇩🇰 Denmark 59

🇬🇧UK 484
(image: @OurWorldInData ) Image
More Europe (cases/million, 7 day avg)

🇮🇹 Italy 61
🇨🇭Switzerland 168
🇦🇹 Austria 184
🇵🇱 Poland 19
🇨🇿 Czechia 40
🇳🇴 Norway 126
🇸🇪 Sweden 62
🇫🇮 Finland 71
🇬🇷 Greece 216

.. Ireland second highest (after UK) & cases 2.5x EU average new daily cases Image
Read 4 tweets
13 Sep
🇮🇪 #Covid19 It’s been one year since the LongForgottenDublinPandemicExperimentOf2020™️

If we had paid attention, 2021 could have been much, much better. Here’s why..

[we didn’t learn, but it’s never too late!] 1/ Our World in Data graph of Covid-19 cases in Ireland March 2
On 13 Sept 2020 the national 7-day average was 187 cases/day (it’s currently 1,300 almost 7 times amount)

In context of summer 2020, there were concerns. So govt brought in new restrictions ~for Dublin only~

Most significant was a ban on indoor dining & pubs ~in Dublin only~ 2/ Graph of 2020 cases
[+ an inter-county travel ban, limits on gatherings, closure of museums, & limits on some other not-so-high risk activities]

Most significant difference between Dublin & the Rest of Ireland was that indoor dining & pubs were open outside Dublin 3/
assets.gov.ie/87604/405b1065…
Read 8 tweets
12 Sep
(rough maths)
HEPA filtration €400 per classroom is < weekly cost of 1 contact tracer

We pay *900* contact tracers

HEPA for EVERY classroom ~as permanent protection for EVERY variant, virus & pollution~ would cost <6 more months of 900 contact tracers
irishexaminer.com/news/arid-4069…
(rough maths #2)

HEPA for EVERY classroom would be < cost of hospitalising 1,800 children (for average 1 week each)

1,800 schoolchildren is the number that would be expected to be hospitalised if 1 in 4 of all schoolchildren were infected in the coming months (0.25%)
(rough maths #3)

HEPA filtration for EVERY classroom as permanent protection would cost less than the *increase* in funding to horse & greyhound racing this year (up from €84m to €96m in 2021)
rte.ie/sport/racing/2…
Read 4 tweets
9 Sep
#Covid19 Children & managing class outbreaks

🇫🇷 France: full class isolate

🇮🇹 Italy: full class isolate

🇪🇸Spain: full class isolate

🇮🇪 Ireland: isolation of ‘close contacts’ if not vaccinated

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: no isolation of any under 18s for any reason
🇫🇷 France #schools “masks, mandatory from age 6.. classrooms regularly ventilated… In primary schools, if one child tests positive, class will close for 7 days.. In high schools children positive & not vaccinated placed into isolation for at least 1 week” amp.france24.com/en/france/2021…
🇮🇹 Italy ‘masks for everyone aged over six, staggered entrance/exit times, quarantine rules for classes with positive cases & some classes taught online, depending on the health situation in local area’ thelocal.it/20210831/expla…
Read 10 tweets
1 Sep
[Thread] Workplaces & #Covid19

😷 Many people WFH are concerned about risks in offices, schools, colleges & other buildings

🏢Workplace safety is regulated in EU (& other places). Virus is a biological agent & that requires precautions @EU_OSHA 1/
osha.europa.eu/en/themes/covi…
‘identification & assessment of risks is starting point for managing occupational safety & health.. Employers are obliged to revise risk assessment when there is change, to consider all risks, including affecting mental health..& to make an action plan’ 2/ oshwiki.eu/wiki/COVID-19:…
In Ireland, workplace safety is the responsibility of the Health & Safety Authority @TheHSA hsa.ie/eng/

#Covid19 resources here: hsa.ie/eng/topics/cov… 3/
Read 17 tweets
31 Aug
😷 👧🏼 #Covid19 #Schools #Delta
Masks are the most effective & simplest protection we have for children

Mask are worn very successfully from age 5 in schools in many countries

It’s not forever, & we will never regret doing it now. We must protect children
all the evidence for masks from Professor of Primary Care, Oxford @trishgreenhalgh
info from Professor @linseymarr Virginia Tech (expert in viral aerosols)
Read 5 tweets

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