Claim: Excess Mortality is something new you made up to scare us about COVID.
Truth: Excess Mortality is how we estimated death toll of previous pandemics.
See Spanish flu deaths in Hamburg from Caesmann et al. (2021)
cepr.org/active/publica…
#EconTwitter #poptwitter
Truth: Excess Mortality is how we estimated death toll of previous pandemics.
See Spanish flu deaths in Hamburg from Caesmann et al. (2021)
cepr.org/active/publica…
#EconTwitter #poptwitter
Only comment I have is that I wish the paper would actually use EXCESS mortality in the text, as it currently states "...at its peak, weekly deaths ran at 350% of their average 1917/19 value". Use the term, it's a well-established term and it's absence from the text is strange.
@joachim_voth uses the term directly in a terrific episode of @voxeu about the paper: voxeu.org/vox-talks/prop….
So why not write it explicitly in the paper?
So why not write it explicitly in the paper?
Also, how amazing and strange is it that we have weekly-mortality data from 1918 (!!!!) Hamburg and London 17th century, but only have monthly or annual or NO DATA AT ALL from many countries in 2021?!
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
