VIC R_eff as of October 1st with daily cases and restrictions. Latest estimate: R_eff = 1.46 ± 0.08
Plus projected effect of vaccination rollout.
Cases shown on a linear scale (log scale in next tweet).
More info chrisbillington.net/COVID_VIC_2021…
#COVID19Vic
Plus projected effect of vaccination rollout.
Cases shown on a linear scale (log scale in next tweet).
More info chrisbillington.net/COVID_VIC_2021…
#COVID19Vic
VIC R_eff as of October 1st with daily cases and restrictions. Latest estimate: R_eff = 1.46 ± 0.08
Plus projected effect of vaccination rollout.
(Cases shown on a log scale)
More info chrisbillington.net/COVID_VIC_2021…
#COVID19Vic
Plus projected effect of vaccination rollout.
(Cases shown on a log scale)
More info chrisbillington.net/COVID_VIC_2021…
#COVID19Vic
Expected numbers if the current trend continues:
day cases 68% range
Sat: 1373 1146—1591
Sun: 1482 1205—1765
Mon: 1597 1253—1961
Tue: 1718 1309—2161
Wed: 1844 1359—2374
Thu: 1979 1399—2608
Fri: 2110 1443—2866
Doubling time is 9.2 days.
#COVID19Vic
day cases 68% range
Sat: 1373 1146—1591
Sun: 1482 1205—1765
Mon: 1597 1253—1961
Tue: 1718 1309—2161
Wed: 1844 1359—2374
Thu: 1979 1399—2608
Fri: 2110 1443—2866
Doubling time is 9.2 days.
#COVID19Vic
Note that these projections do not take into account upcoming easing of restrictions. If the trend changes as a result of easing, the projections will also change once this is reflected in case numbers, but not in advance.
Vaccination is the only way out of this lockdown. See where vaccines are available near you: covid19nearme.com.au/state/vic/vacc…. If you're already booked in, keep an eye out as more supply might mean you can move it up.
#Covid19Vic
#Covid19Vic
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