The banking industry’s desire for sympathetic treatment by government would stand on much firmer ground if not for its own form of radicalism.
In particular, consider its demagoguery on the simple issue of information-reporting to improve tax compliance. washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
Here are the facts: Where there is information-reporting to the govt on taxable payments — as w workers’ W-2s detailing wages or 1099s that savers receive reporting on interest accrued — the IRS collects more than 95% of taxes owed, with minimal reliance on intrusive audits.
Where there is no such information-reporting, as w proprietorship income deposited at financial institutions, tax compliance is much worse — below 50%.
In total, it is estimated that noncompliance will cost the federal government $7 trillion over the next decade. That’s 3 percent of gross domestic product on an annualized basis.
Of course, not all noncompliance involves bank deposits, and information-reporting on bank accounts would not even eliminate all noncompliance by bank customers. But given the magnitude of the problem, even incremental progress will have a huge effect.
A responsible, public-spirited industry would work with the federal government to implement information-reporting in the least burdensome and most fair way. That is not the U.S. banking industry in 2021.
It boggles the imagination for an industry that prides itself on using IT to enable people to bank on cellphones to find it burdensome to report deposits and withdrawals to the IRS.
Oliver Wendell Holmes famously observed that taxes are the price we pay for civilization. Bankers should insist on civil treatment from their regulators, but only after they have demonstrated a willingness to do their part toward collecting taxes.
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Congratulations to @POTUS@JoeBiden and @SecYellen and the many dedicated people who have been working for years on today’s global tax agreement –- probably the most significant international economic agreement of the 21st century.
This agreement establishes a profoundly important principal: countries should cooperate to raise corporate taxation, not compete and race to reduce to it.
Workers around the world will be better off because of this historic achievement that will enable tax burdens to be placed where they should be placed: on those most able to pay.
Abusive shelters that go undetected or get permitted are the cousin of tax non compliance. This important @nytimes article points up part of the reason they happen. nytimes.com/2021/09/19/bus…
Future investigations should note revolving door issues with congressional staff, and the issues around highly dubious opinion letters supporting shelters.
The old chestnut that the real scandal is not the illegal things people do, rather it’s what is legal pointed up by the article and highlighted by the Ways and Means mark up. Carried interest not touched. Like kind exchanges continue. Stepped up basis lives on.
My interview with @Noahpinion where we discuss the 2008-2009 financial crisis, the threat of inflation, economic policy priorities and the culture of the economic profession.
I am confident that any reasonable observer will conclude that the constraints on stimulus proposed & enacted were political rather than economic in '08/'09. This view is supported by the fact that Congress cutback the Admin's proposals before passing them by a razor thin margin.
My arguments re: inflation do not derive from a specific econometric model. I believe the problem with much of the conventional wisdom is that models fit to the last 40 years of data, where inflation has never accelerated, will almost definitionally yield complacent conclusions.
More vaccination is necessary for Covid control. I am not convinced of its sufficiency. There is a critical go forward role for testing and isolating the infected and for masking. We can all rejoin the world but for a time not on the same terms as before.
I am a non-alarmist who is proud of not getting spun up by anecdotes to become fearful. But I found @DLeonhardt's @nytimes complacency regarding risks to the vaccinated to be typical of widespread views and dangerously misplaced.
At the 1/5000 daily probability @DLeonhardt estimates the chance that a close relative (nephew most distant counted) will get Covid in next 6 months is two thirds.
.@nytimes@bencasselman@jeannasmialek write interesting article stressing distinctions btw 1960s when inflation accelerated & present moment. In fact, I think most factors point to more cause for concern now than in 1966 when inflation accelerated 3-4 pts in 4 yrs. Consider this
1/Then, the deficit was in range of 3 percent. Now the deficit is in the range of 15 percent.
2/Then, nominal and real interest rates then were significantly positive and Fed has no big balance sheet. Now, nominal rates are essentially 0, real rates are negative and the Fed is growing its balance sheet at a rate of more than a trillion a year.
Today in Venice @Tharman_S@NOIweala & I presented a report to G20 fin. ministers & central bank govs on financing for #pandemicpreparedness. At press conference I said: For none of us is this our first rodeo w a global issue that requires a global collective response. #G20HLIP
For all of us, this is the first time where we have seen one where the expenditure of tens of billions of dollars is likely to prevent the need for spending tens of trillions of dollars down the road.
It is nearly certain we will see another COVID, the question is whether we will as international community be ready.