There were 10.4 million job openings at the end of August -- down from July, but still near a record high. #JOLTS
Hiring also fell, and unlike openings has been slow to rebound over all -- only modestly above prepandemic levels.
The number of unemployed workers per job opening ticked up ever so slightly in August, but there are still more jobs than available workers.
(Note: This chart adjusts for workers misclassified as "employed.")
A record 4.3 million people voluntarily quit their jobs in August, a sign that workers believe they have leverage amid talk of a labor shortage.
Quits are especially elevated in leisure and hospitality, where wages are rising quickly and businesses are struggling to hire. But quits are elevated across a range of industries.
Hires and openings both dropped sharply in leisure and hospitality in August, however. (Although openings are still very high.) Consistent with the Delta-driven slowdown we've seen in other data.
One measure of hiring difficulty is the ratio of hires to openings. The base level varies by industry, so have to compare to pre-Covid level. Shows hiring has become harder across industries, but especially in services and retail.
Note that the relationship between hires and openings has changed over time -- it takes more openings to produce one hire than it used to. (Perhaps due to ease of online job postings?) But the ratio has plummeted during Covid.

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More from @bencasselman

17 Sep
Did states that cut off expanded unemployment benefits early see a surge in job growth? We just got August data from @BLS_gov, and the answer still appears to be "no."
A thread updating this story: nytimes.com/2021/08/20/bus…
States that kept expanded unemployment benefits actually saw slightly *faster* job growth in August than states that ended all pandemic programs, though the difference was not statistically significant. Image
We see the same basic pattern if we instead compare states that kept benefits to those that cut off ANY benefits (i.e. including those that cut the $300 add-on but kept PUA/PEUC). Image
Read 12 tweets
20 Aug
Going to do a quick thread with a first look at what new state-level July data tells us about the impact of cutting UI benefits.
Context:
Key caveat here: The state-level data is noisy, and there are a LOT of differences between these states, both in general and in how they've responded to the pandemic in particular. So it's not easy to design a clean experiment here.
That said: It sure doesn't look like there's been a big jump in employment in the states that cut benefits so far. A few charts:
Read 14 tweets
9 Aug
Job openings hit a new record in June, but crucially, hires *also* rose. Suggests employers are finding a way through the labor logjam. #JOLTS
bls.gov/news.release/e…
Different story in leisure and hospitality, however, where openings were up again but hiring was flat (though still high by historical standard, consistent with what we saw in the monthly jobs reports).
It's a good time to be looking for a job (and a hard time to be trying to hire): There was just under 1 unemployed worker for every job opening in June. (Note that this adjusts for workers misclassified as "employed," though not for people who have left the labor force.)
Read 5 tweets
29 Jul
U.S. gross domestic product rose 1.6 percent in the second quarter (6.5 percent annualized), bringing inflation-adjusted output back to prepandemic levels. But the recovery is far from complete.
nytimes.com/2021/07/29/bus…
Note that returning to prepandemic peak does not mean that we're back to where we would have been without the pandemic at all. We've missed out on a year of economic growth.
After the last recession, it took two years for G.D.P. to return to its previous level. This time, it took half as long.
Read 5 tweets
27 Jul
The pandemic changed nearly every aspect of our lives -- work, play, parenting, even sleep. But it didn't affect everyone the same way.
@ellawinthrop & I dove deep into the American Time Use Survey to see the effects of Covid, and how we adapted to it.
nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Note: The pandemic also disrupted data collection itself, so all these charts are for May 10 - Dec. 31, after the most intense periods of lockdown. So think of it as a glimpse of how we lived life as the pandemic dragged on.
We spent a lot less time with people outside our own households in 2020 and a lot more time alone. Seniors spent the most time alone (8+ waking hours), but it was young ppl who experienced the biggest change. Teens (15-19) went from spending 4.5 hours alone in 2019 to 6 in 2020.
Read 15 tweets
2 Jul
Time for a #jobsday charts thread! Starting off a bit differently this month: Wages.
Avg. earnings up 10 cents/hour in June, and 43 cents over the past three months.
On one hand: Growth slowing. OTOH: Earnings now well above pre-pandemic trajectory.
We're seeing serious wage pressure in leisure and hospitality, consistent with anecdotal reports. Avg. earnings for nonsupervisors up 37 cents/hour in June, and more than $1.50 over past year.
Despite drop early in pandemic, their wages are now also above pre-crisis trend.
Notably, though, average weekly hours fell, both overall and for leisure and hospitality. That's surprising in an environment where employers can't find enough workers.
Read 14 tweets

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