Two weeks ago, the new COVID case rate since 6/30 in the reddest tenth of the population was running 3.06x higher than in the bluest tenth.
As of today that's dropped slightly, to exactly 3.0x higher:
What about the COVID *death* rate since 6/30? Two weeks ago that was running 5.5x higher in the reddest tenth than the bluest tenth.
Today that ratio has *increased* to 5.76x higher...
...however, deaths are a lagging indicator, so it's possible this, too, will start to shrink.
Both of these could be one-offs; it's entirely possible that one or both will continue to increase. However, this is the first time I've seen either ratio drop at all since the Delta wave started.
Meanwhile, here's the county-level death rates since 6/30 in scatter-plot format:
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UPDATE: Re the racial factor: Here's the county-level COVID death rate since 6/30 for MS based on what % of the pop. is Black, according to the 2020 Census.
Note that this is based on what % of the *total* population is Black, not what % of deaths are among the Black population.
Could I also once again point out that Superman is literally a member of an alien species, which presumably means that human concepts of gender wouldn’t really apply anyway?
“Superman can’t be Black! That makes no sense!”
“Superman can’t be bisexual! That makes no sense!”
“Superman can’t cause time to reverse itself by flying around the Earth really fast and reversing its rotation! That makes no…oh, wait…”
Oh yeah: Superman can’t use a phone booth to change into his costume anymore either, since there’s no longer any phone booths. Thing change. You have to roll with it.
I really hope folks will actually read the full piece (there's over a dozen graphs & tables), but here's a couple of key ones.
First, here's the most recent breakout of COVID death rates since 6/30/21 by partisan lean. This is the graph which caused such a fuss in the 1st place:
8 days ago the death rate since June in the reddest 10th of the country was 5.5x higher than in the bluest 10th.
The author notes that Utah's COVID death rate ranks 45th nationally. That's true....since the beginning of the pandemic. However, my data specifically covers the period of the Delta variant, starting on July 1st, 2021...and Utah's death rate ranks 27th since then. 1/
Re. the author's final claim--that if I had focused on UTAH at the county level, the NY Times wouldn't have been interested--he might want to rethink that.
(I had to modify the bar groupings because there's no way of breaking Utah into even 10ths at the county level)
📣 NEW: @DLeonhardt of the NY Times cited my work which concluded that the death rate in the highest Trump-voting counties is several times higher than in the lowest Trump counties.