Challenges ahead & solutions in the post #ICJ ruling
1-Kenya withdrew from ICJ, meaning it can sue any oil drilling co. within the formerly disputed zone
2-Somalia doesn't own d drilling rights, Total does.
3- Also owns some of the Kenya oil blocks bought by Qatar & Eni #Thread
Kenya has already started exploring some of the oil blocks located formerly disputed areas “Kenya rejected the accusation that ownership of the blocks was contested and said there was no need to hold up exploration”
reuters.com/article/kenya-…
Since Qatar owns a 25% share of Kenya oil blocks, it has already got its ducks in the row by inviting Somalia PM @MohamedHRoble to Qatar. It’s alleged that he has received an undisclosed petro $ to delay the election and make deal with Qatar to become Somalia's Oil trusteeship.
Somalia will have to deal with its former colonialist Italy who is a major owner of Eni and Qatar who “has invested considerable effort into meddling in Somalia’s internal politics and has bolstered its own candidates in Somali elections” mei.edu/publications/f…
Steps Somalia current and future gov should take:
1-Do nothing until the next government is elected.
2-The opposition leaders ( if any left) should issue warning statements to oil companies/ countries making deals with the outgoing government.
3-Get the election done ASAP. End.

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More from @GuledWiliq

18 Sep
@SomalilandChro1 recent interview with former US Amb to Somalia Stephen Swartz provided good examples that Somaliland gov could follow to get recognition, and @musebihi or Somaliland citizens should really pursue #Thread
somalilandchronicle.com/2021/09/16/exc…
The amb used Kosovo as an example; as I have he talked about this option many times where Kosovo took Yugoslavia to court and won. Somaliland case has a historical background that backs up for its independence combined with its grievance as Kosovo was.
Kosovo ICJ “the declaration of independence of Kosovo adopted on 17 February 2008 did not violate international laws" Somaliland independence declaration does not violate international law as it was an independent in 1960 followed by the illegal union.
icj-cij.org/en/case/141
Read 7 tweets
25 Aug
#thread In 2019, Turkey's spy agency MIT sent $600k to al-Shabab; in order to cover up the story, the Turkish gov asked a judge to @nordicmonitor who reported the story, and Somalia online outlets like Hiiraan online and Awdalpress who have published the Nordic story.
Keep in mind Erdogen recently provided $30M to Somalia gov in midst of election rigging and not to mention Turkey gov was aiding back in April the @M_Farmaajo coup that was foiled by the pro-democracy military-
On May 6th Qatar arrested its finance minister and Erdogan fired Turkey's central bank governor on May 26th, not sure if these events are connected to the Alshabaab financing that scooped Qatar-Turkey Axis or could be avoiding US gov sanctions who threatened Somalia spoilers.
Read 8 tweets
11 Aug
#Thread @MohamedHRoble was able to travel to Kenya because of pro-democracy military who temporary blocked temporary last night Villa Somalia when @M_Farmaajo ordered the PM to stay. The irony of this is that it was the PM who pushed out the pro-democracy military from Mogadishu
As I tweeted 3days ago, the pro-democracy militarily entered Mogadishu last week preparing to defend the PM incase Famaajo blocks him to visit Kenya and open direct flights and the commercial bilateral trade between two countries.
Why Farmaajo blocked PM to visit Kenya? Farmaajo only lifeline he has now is the Ethiopian Khat ( drug) revenue ( $500k/day) monopoly run by his brother. The new deal between Uhuru & PM Roble will diminish Farmaajo revenue & disrupt his election rigging scheme for re-election.
Read 5 tweets
8 Jul
#Thread Ethiopia has restructured Addis-Djibouti Railwaiway (ADR) line loan of $4.5B for another 30yrs; mainly for two reasons:
1- Abiy gov insisted on electrifying the railway using clean energy from hydropower dams vs fossil fuel; increased d project cost & caused delays
2-The railway link was designed to reduce travel time from 3 days to 12 hrs & running 3 freight/day, because of repeated power outages due to climate change impacts neither travel time was reduced & revenues are realized to date: accumulating Ethiopia's $1B annual debt services.
Worse Ethiopian gov is pursuing debt financing other railway projects specially Awash-Kombombla-Hara Gebeya/ Weldiya Railway (AKH) increasing its GDP to debt ratio above 55%; impacting its credit rating, forcing new lenders to increase the interest rates for future projects.
Read 7 tweets
18 Jun
@PowerOffGrid & @JikoBioGas are two private companies in Somalia transforming climate crisis to climate boom; introducing innovative customized solar irrigation and biogas in Somalia to end the use of charcoal and fossil fuel dependency to improve food security!
#Thread
In order to reduce energy cost & the upfront cost of investing in renewable energy, we have introduced rent-to-own financing for the farmers in Jowhar to pay off a 3kw solar irrigation within a 1yr: Increased irrigated area & number of farmers by 120%
We have provided practical training for Somalia " how to convert animal waste to biogas" for cleaning cooking and fertilizers; investing youth and awareness to combat desertification.
Read 7 tweets
10 May
Funniest thing I have seen all day!

A bogus website owned by a shady Canadian & whose public face in Somalia is a guy who wrote for Blackwater owned
@SomaliaReport
now wants to ‘fact check’ Somali media.
@SomaliaReport Mohamed Mubarak @somalianalyst was one of the Somalis paid by Blackwater to exaggerate reports of insecurity in Somalia so Blackwater could use its contact and win contracts to stabilize the country.
washingtonpost.com/local/blackwat…
Here is context of Washington Post👇
Read 8 tweets

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