The two best preparations I undertook were to read, properly, the WHO guidelines (deep dive where necessary)
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Spoke with the clinical lead in Singapore.
We are juniors in pandemic management and treating SARS. They are not.
IMO: when there is a new pathogen, the experts are those on the frontline treating the disease. At least until enough data is collected to analyse empirically…
2. Isolate and TREAT those infected.
An effective TRIAGE System is absolutely key:
- symptom profile must be wide enough to catch most cases and catch them early enough to treat
- thresholds for admission must be low - it’s an unknown entity
- value the “eye-ball” assessment
2. TRIAGE is dynamic and responds to resource availability LOCALLY.
You cannot undertake national or regional triage.
Triage is an opportunity to save an ICU admission, a prolonged stay, and a life.
Waiting for patients to deteriorate and then acting is bad economy.
3. Capacity.
Triage and increasing basic healthcare capacity are the two fundamentals of a clinical response to a pandemic.
It saves resources, and allows other essential work to continue. Much easier to staff, and early stages of covid pneumonia are quite clear to manage.
4. Do not allow the clinically uninitiated (eg politicians and managers) dictate clinical priority or triage criteria. Their job is to get us the resources to do ours. It is only someone who understands the disease that can direct resources efficiently.
Thankfully, our duty is not to government, policy, or management…ours is to do the best for the patient with what we have available.
5. Finally, we may be new to SARS, but basic principles still apply. Early intervention, monitoring for complications, easing symptoms, good nursing care, all matter.
I always remind myself: Ebola in the sticks carries a nearly 50% mortality. 10% with best supportive measures.
Anyway, given the #CovidReport was devoid of any contribution to the actual treatment of patients, I thought I would share mine.
Determine your own level of Risk and what protection you need. PPE guidelines are simply that, a steer, often the minimum. A hacking cough in a closed room, you will need more than bib and looose mask. Good care can still be safe care.
1. This government, under PM #Johnson And against the will of #TeamGP, bypassed GPs during this pandemic.
As shown in the above thread, There was a very clear objection by many GPs and GP leadership to being side-lined by the government’s pandemic strategy ….back in April 2020!!!
A number of national bodies have written a joint statement highlighting the pressures on the health service and staff.
The public are upset they have reduced access to care.
The government wants more face to face consults and for waiting lists to fall…
But these demands are made when:
1. Our bed capacity remains lower than it has ever been. Despite WHO advice to increase basic care capacity to manage the additional patients, this Leadership reduced it by 8%. Less beds = less frontline staff.
What would a modern, properly funded NHS look like?
The NHS has been severely restricted by government funding. This has led to rationing of care at levels never seen in the NHS.
But what would the NHS look like were it allowed to grow with demands… 1/n #NHS
Add ur own…
ACCESSIBILITY
A modern health service is accessible in a timely fashion to all patients.
A variety of mediums are available…email your pharmacist, physio, specialist nurse with a query; consult via phone, video, or face to face; interactive messaging;
TIMELY
Time to doctor contact is defined by illness not staff availability.
Expert advice available without delay.
Delay in diagnosis (eg cancer) relates only to the biological delays in processing investigations.
Overall mortality of the pandemic can be measured as total deaths.
Deaths per 100k inhabitants:
UK - 205
Sweden - 144
Germany - 113
Ireland - 103
Norway - 16
Japan - 14
Singapore - 2 (yes, two)
1/n
So why has the UK had more deaths?
Sweden pursued a herd immunity strategy. Germany had a similar public health response to the UK. Both have done much better than the UK.
if you get Covid-19 in the UK, you have a higher chance of dying. Why?
The first FATAL flaw of the UK response was the “stay home” approach.
Instead of triaging (assessing) covid cases, the UK opted to make NO routine clinical contact with ANY covid cases. UK national policy relies on the patient to come forward if severely unwell.