It's time to admit this is a national emergency and act accordingly.
The #NHS has never sustained these demands. And they are only increasing.
The UK government has no insight into the problem and it seems they have neither the skills nor the fortitude for such crises.
1/n
We have:
1. NHS pre-winter bed capacity beyond 95% - #NHS 2. The highest demand for primary care services ever recorded 3. An NHS staffing crisis 4. An unmitigated pandemic - #COVID19 5. An absent government
It is dangerous to run a hospital above 85% capacity. When space is tight in a hospital, risk increases.
Risk occurs as we must try and avoid admissions and expedite discharges. @NHSProviders
In Scotland the Health Minister @HumzaYousaf has activated military health personnel to support NHS Lothian and NHS Borders. While the 'optics' may not be good, both the Health Boards and the Minister have (IMO) taken ACTION to safeguard their people. gov.scot/news/increasin…
The state in the rest of the UK is just as bad/worse:
The pandemic is becoming more out of hand, with deaths, admissions and cases all way too high and rising.
At current rates it will more than triple the annual loss of life and healthcare burden that we usually get from pneumonia (already one of the heaviest burden diseases):
While for the vast majority COVID is mild and causes no long-term effects, it is more serious than the flu, and at these levels, simply overwhelming!
If you need convincing of this, you can read this thread:
And crucially for treating Covid patients, we still have:
No Triage
No Follow-up
Less beds than before Covid.
...During a pandemic!
We need to act!
The UK government have yet to demonstrate the insight or acumen to manage either the pandemic or #NHSCrisis
They are consistently too late to act, and when they do, their focus seems to be on other matters.
Leadership,
While the government need not be legally accountable for the policies they pursue (even if they lead to harm), we remain accountable for the actions we take.
Our duty is not to government nor organisation, but to the patient and wider public.
The government's drive to start clearing waiting lists over the winter is absolute fantasy and dangerous.
In regards to patient safety (IMO), resources must be directed to the frontline: primary care and frontline secondary care services
1. Expand acute care/general medicine capacity. Field hospitals if necessary, military if needed. 2. Redeploy 3. There has to be a functioning COVID-19 clinical care pathway. 4. Free market rules apply - pay what is necessary to recruit. 5. Look after the staff
It's time to bring the forces of the NHS to bear..
The NHS has one of the largest workforces on the planet and we are used to managing care under pressure.
Due to central policies, last time many of the public had to face COVID-19 alone...maybe not this time?
We didn't get our response to the first crisis right. Perhaps without central interference, we can this time.
END.
Additional info - clinical lessons from the pandemic:
1. This government, under PM #Johnson And against the will of #TeamGP, bypassed GPs during this pandemic.
As shown in the above thread, There was a very clear objection by many GPs and GP leadership to being side-lined by the government’s pandemic strategy ….back in April 2020!!!
The two best preparations I undertook were to read, properly, the WHO guidelines (deep dive where necessary)
+
Spoke with the clinical lead in Singapore.
We are juniors in pandemic management and treating SARS. They are not.
IMO: when there is a new pathogen, the experts are those on the frontline treating the disease. At least until enough data is collected to analyse empirically…
A number of national bodies have written a joint statement highlighting the pressures on the health service and staff.
The public are upset they have reduced access to care.
The government wants more face to face consults and for waiting lists to fall…
But these demands are made when:
1. Our bed capacity remains lower than it has ever been. Despite WHO advice to increase basic care capacity to manage the additional patients, this Leadership reduced it by 8%. Less beds = less frontline staff.
What would a modern, properly funded NHS look like?
The NHS has been severely restricted by government funding. This has led to rationing of care at levels never seen in the NHS.
But what would the NHS look like were it allowed to grow with demands… 1/n #NHS
Add ur own…
ACCESSIBILITY
A modern health service is accessible in a timely fashion to all patients.
A variety of mediums are available…email your pharmacist, physio, specialist nurse with a query; consult via phone, video, or face to face; interactive messaging;
TIMELY
Time to doctor contact is defined by illness not staff availability.
Expert advice available without delay.
Delay in diagnosis (eg cancer) relates only to the biological delays in processing investigations.