1/ I've been wanting to learn about Polkadot $DOT, the layer 0 blockchain ecosystem founded by Gavin Wood @gavofyork who wrote the code for Ethereum.

2/ This video, recorded back in Jan 2021, is a great @RealVision interview with Gavin in which he explains the idea and how it all works. For anyone who wants to know about $DOT it's a great watch.
3/ I won't summarise it as there is a LOT of information contained in the 1 hour video but a few take-aways for me:

Ethereum technology was invented 6+ years ago now so Gavin thinks world ready for Blockchain 3.0 new technology.
4/ Key idea is that Polkadot is a platform of platforms, a blockchain that sits underneath other blockchains providing core security etc. Then on top of that you can run other blockchains (called parachains).
5/ The consensus is built into the blockchain so that instead of hard forks (as seen in #BTC and #ETH histories) you will see different parachains trying out new approaches and the best can be adopted into the main Polkadot consensus protocol.
6/ But really the aim is that each parachain be optimised for its own use case (ie Defi requires different priorities than #NFTs etc) and all benefit from the Polkadot base. While Polkadot also gains by having 100 parallel blockchains running on it (validating transactions etc).
7/ Polkadot is designed to solve for the high gas fee problem of #ETH.

Gavin Wood sees it as an answer to chain maximalism.
8/ You can definitely draw a parallel btw the aims of Web 3.0 to move away from an internet dominated by a few scale players ($FB etc) and the aims of Polkadot to move away from a few scale blockchains (#ETH etc).

Really enjoyed watching this interview. END.

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More from @anthonyc3004

8 Oct
1/ Brazilian Fintech co PagSeguro $PAGS put out operating results for Q3, with TPV growth of 85% and acquiring TPV growth of 49%, or up 58% ex the Corona voucher impact. They announced sequential growth of 1m PagBank active users, to 12.2m.
2/ If we put the PagBank business on the same valuation as Nubank's recent financing round (in which $BRK participated) at $30bn for 40m users that implies $9.15bn for PagBank's 12.2m users.

Haircut that by 20% for conservatism to get a $7.23bn valuation.
3/ Take that off PAGS market cap of $14.8bn to get a valuation of $7.5bn for the core merchant acquiring business.

2022 consensus is for $465m net income, and PagBank & the SMB Hubs investments should breakeven in that year so gives a pretty clean read on core biz consensus.
Read 6 tweets
7 Oct
1/ Following up from my prior thread after call with $HUT IR @bigsuey she was kind enough to set me up with a follow-up call with Hut 8 CFO @ShaneDowney8 which was very helpful.

Prior thread was here:

2/ Firstly, one thing to clear up.

I misinterpreted IR comments that the company's recent $170m equity capital raise fully funds them to get to the 6 EH target by mid 22.
3/ They are still on track for that target and are unequivocally saying they will not be raising additional equity capital any time soon but CFO acknowledged they will need more capital to get from 3EH (where they should be by year end 21) to 6 EH.
Read 34 tweets
6 Oct
1/ Piper survey 10,000 US teens - some interesting stats on social media usage: Instagram continues to lead monthly usage, although falling, TikTok gaining. $SNAP remains favourite, improving its lead, TikTok second then Instagram 3rd favourite, losing 2 points.
2/ $PINS gender skew among teens higher than I'd have thought - 90% skew. TikTok 64% skewed to females. Discord most skewed to men at 77% followed by Twitter (67% male skew) then $FB (65% male skew). $SNAP most balanced gender usage.
3/ $SNAP best positioned for social commerce:
Read 9 tweets
5 Oct
1/ $CME looks interesting in here. For PMs who are looking for ways to hedge long duration equity exposures against risk of rising rates there are not many high quality businesses available (balance sheet financials and energy not really top-of-mind for many).
2/ $CME is the monopoly US interest rate derivatives exchange (as well as dominant positions in commodity futures markets) and has strong operating leverage to an increase in US bond futures/ Eurodollar trades undertaken to hedge against inflation risks.
3/ Stock price fell 16% from June 2021 peak to recent $185 share price low and looks to be back on the hunt for higher levels. Not obviously cheap by any means at 23x EV/EBIT, 28x PE.
Read 4 tweets
5 Oct
Re $SPOT, I see a very favourable alignment between the longer-term attractive risk-reward profile and a near-term attractive setup.

These alignments don't happen very often but are what I look for in order to size up conviction in a position.
I think the setup for $SPOT here is stand-out attractive. I'll outline why in this pretty long thread.

I posted a few brief thoughts post their Q2 21 results here:
Before I get to the long-term bull thesis I'll highlight the near-term setup as it's the most timely element of this thread.
Read 35 tweets
30 Sep
1/ For those interested in bitcoin miners, I had a call with @bigsuey IR of Hut 8 $HUT which was very constructive. I have a follow-up call with the CFO next week so will post up any clarification points but for now, the key takeaways are:
2/ $HUT's recent capital raise fully funds their buildout to 6 EH. They did have a C$500 shelf stock offering filing but recent raise plus earlier one now means that's nearly fully used up (big contrast to $BITF who have their entire C$500 ATM shelf overhanging).
3/ I was curious why they suddenly went from no big miner purchase announcements despite peers announcing big deals and what changed their mind mid this year and there were a few observations: a) CEO Jaime Leverton only took over in December 2020 and so took some time to do…
Read 23 tweets

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