Today is another historic milestone for #Bitcoin and the #crypto ecosystem with the listing of the first Bitcoin #ETF in the US.
What is the importance of this new Bitcoin ETF and what may be it’s impact?
Time for a thread 🧵
Today the Pro Shares Bitcoin Strategy ETF was listed on the NYSE under ticket #BITO
This is a moment the crypto ecosystem has been waiting for many years.
Is it the first Bitcoin ETF?
In the US, yes.
Globally no.
There are already many Bitcoin ETFs in #Canada for example and many other ETNs/ETPs in Europe and elsewhere.
Will this new Bitcoin ETF hold physical Bitcoin? No.
Here the US SEC was not as adventurous as its Canadian counterparts where the Canadian ETFs hold physical Bitcoin for example.
The US listed Bitcoin ETF will hold cash settled Bitcoin futures listed on the @CMEGroup.
These are cash settled (so no physical Bitcoin delivery) and are derivatives (so not spot Bitcoin).
But is it still an important development? Yes
Couple of reasons:
1. Allows American investors to have exposure to Bitcoin via an instrument that is “traditional” and on a regulated exchange, the @NYSE.
2. Many investment advisers previously had restrictions in investing in crypto for their clients for various reasons including:
- spot Bitcoin being outside the investment instruments they were allowed to trade;
- spot Bitcoin being traded on unregulated exchanges;
- spot Bitcoin could not be included as part of the clients’401k;
- spot Bitcoin’s tax position was unclear;
- etc.
Now most of these excuses go away with such a Bitcoin ETF.
But there are also downsides with such a futures ETF including fees.
This ETF has an expense ration of ~ 0.95% and there are a lot of costs in running a futures based ETF like the cost of rolling over the futures at expiry as an example.
This is one of the reasons why many investors who can may still prefer to hold spot Bitcoin directly.
But this is still a very important development for our #crypto ecosystem.
What I am now watching for the coming months?
- inflows - the Bitcoin ETF had a very strong start on its first morning and will watch whether the inflows and volumes will continue.
- Impact on price of Bitcoin - this ETF buys cash settled futures but this still may have an impact on the spot price due to normal arbitrage/ price discovery mechanisms
- Global impact - now that SEC has approved, will other regulators and exchanges accelerate their approvals?
- Physical Bitcoin ETFs - a bit longer term but will be interesting to watch what happens to these Bitcoin futures ETF if and when physical Bitcoin ETFs are approved.
Definitely a development to follow!
Hope this was an useful update.
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Lets not forget that El Salvador has 6.4m ppl with 70% unbanked, 20% living in extreme poverty and 16% of GDP consisting of remittances, mainly the US.
Also, the country uses the U.S. Dollar as its legal currency since 2001 and ⅔ of exports go the US.
Some positives:
1- Bitcoin as a legal tender - this is a world first. Japan came close in 2017 when it recognized it as a means of payment but still treats it as an asset and not as legal tender which has a specific legal definition.
The Bank of England @bankofengland just issued an excellent paper on retail Central Bank Digital Currencies and proposes a new form of money which would enable to make electronic payments using central bank money.
If you just have 1 minute, this is what you need to know:
1. BofE proposes to issue a UK CBDC, a digital pound sterling and allow anyone to hold an electronic form of central bank money - similar to a digital banknote. This would be a risk-free asset as does not involve any counterparty risk to traditional banks.
2. The CBDC would be recorded as a liability on the BofE’s balance sheet (just like bank notes and reserves) and matched with assets held by the BofE.