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Dionis Cenusa Profile picture
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22 Oct, 5 tweets, 2 min read
#EU_Moldova: During yesterday's EUCO summit, Von der Leyen referred to Moldova as a case study of how Russia is using gas as a geopolitical tool. I am still not sure that the Commission understands the complexity of the complications in the dialogue between Moldova and Russia.⤵️
I briefly explained the energy crisis in Moldova here👇⤵️
Furthermore, I would like the Commission to take a look at how dependent many EU Member States are on Russian gas. Here is the list of long-term contracts between Gazprom Export and the companies / governments of more than 15 EU member states 👇
Meanwhile, the government is about to announce a "state of emergency" in the field of energy. PM Gavrlita stated that Russia is not supplying the contracted gas volumes. The ruling party asked the pro-Russian opposition not to politicize the situation.
Parliament is examining the government's request to introduce the "emergency situation" on the energy/gas crisis. The communication on the gas issue still lacks official details/evidence on what exactly Russia demands from the Moldovan side.

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More from @DionisCenusa

Dionis Cenusa Profile picture
23 Oct
#Russia_Moldova: At last, Gazprom has spilled the tea. The Kremlin/state-controlled company Gazprom has complained that the Moldovan authorities refuse to pay debts of $ 709 million ($ 433 million + the penalty fee). The Moldovan side previously communicated that Russia wants⤵️
the payment of historical debts in 3 years, which is a difficult condition to fulfill. This appears to be one of the "political conditions" for which Russia is pushing for. Nonetheless, Gazprom insists that it wants payment for the delivered product now. The company warned⤵️
that if the Moldovan authorities do not pay the debt and sign a new contract before December 1, they will stop supplying gas. Gazprom reported that it is in possession of information that the ruling party in Moldova wants to restructure the national provider MoldovaGaz (where⤵️
Read 7 tweets
Dionis Cenusa Profile picture
20 Oct
#Russia: Here is a snapshot of the current gas supply contracts between Gazprom Export and the EU, Eastern Partnership and Eurasian Union states (THREAD/20):
1. EU - Austria: in 2019, total gas exports represented 16.2 bcm. The bilateral contract is until 2040.
2. Croatia: Exports are made on the basis of a long-term contract that expires in 2027. Volumes for 2019 reached 2.8 bcm.
Read 21 tweets
Dionis Cenusa Profile picture
19 Oct
#Moldova: Some updates about the gas supply from Russia. The PM Gavrilita spelt out some details about the situation on the domestic energy market:
1) Moldova received some volumes of gas from Romania via the Iasi-Ungheni pipeline, finalized last year. The quantity of the volumes is not divulged. They were necessary to balance the pressure in the gas pipeline system.
2) Answering questions, the PM said that the government started the negotiations in September. She reported that the Ministry of Infrastructure Spinu is in Warsaw to discuss with the government and the Polish energy companies about the opportunities to import gas.
Read 10 tweets
Dionis Cenusa Profile picture
18 Oct
#Moldova_Russia: The situation around the gas supply did not improve, while the temperature is dropping. As the energy crisis looms, the Moldovan authorities and some segments of the public accuse Russia of triggering the crisis (THREAD):
1) Infrastructure Minister Spanu traveled to Poland on a two-day working trip to discuss gas supply opportunities, namely the purchase of liquefied gas from the LNG terminal in the Baltic Sea (5 bcm). Poland itself will stop buying Russian gas after 2022, investing in⤵️
expanding its LNG capacity to 8 bcm by 2023. 2) On the other hand, there is no signal from Russia. There are strong local views that Moscow is purposefully causing the energy crisis. According to them, after showing initial openness for the extension of the old contract, Russia⤵️
Read 11 tweets
Dionis Cenusa Profile picture
27 Sep
#Moldova: PM Gavrilita and MFA Popescu met with various EU officials in Brussels. The most relevant so far has been that of the High Representative / Vice-President of the Borrell Commission. Here are some conclusions: ⤵️
1) The EU official congratulated the Moldovan officials on the electoral victory (that occurred more than two months ago); 2) He stressed that the government has a strong mandate to advance reforms, which is also a “great honor” and a “great responsibility”;⤵️
3) The rule of law is something that Borrell emphasized when speaking of bilateral dialogue, as well as democracy and human rights. 4) The EU strongly supports the new government's reform agenda, including the fight against corruption, Borrell noted.⤵️
Read 9 tweets
Dionis Cenusa Profile picture
26 Sep
#Russia: Gazprom announced that it is ready to increase gas supply, based on new applications and renewed contracts. Putin's spokesperson, Peskov, has assured that Gazprom is a "reliable partner" for European countries: 1) These statements follow the request for an ⤵️
investigation of Russia's interventions in the vertiginous rise in gas prices, demanded of the European Commission by a group of MEPs. Although no clear evidence of non-compliance with supply contracts by Russia was presented, it is highly unlikely that the Kremlin is not⤵️
interested in using its gas/Gazprom leverage to profit from price fluctuations in European markets. 2) The unresolved issue of the Nord Stream 2 certification that should take place soon could be another trigger for the benevolence expressed by Peskov/Gazprom/Putin.⤵️
Read 6 tweets

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