#Moldova: Some updates about the gas supply from Russia. The PM Gavrilita spelt out some details about the situation on the domestic energy market:
1) Moldova received some volumes of gas from Romania via the Iasi-Ungheni pipeline, finalized last year. The quantity of the volumes is not divulged. They were necessary to balance the pressure in the gas pipeline system.
2) Answering questions, the PM said that the government started the negotiations in September. She reported that the Ministry of Infrastructure Spinu is in Warsaw to discuss with the government and the Polish energy companies about the opportunities to import gas.
We talk about LNG gas that could be supplied via the Ukraine gas pipeline. 3) PM Gavrilita also informed that the Deputy-PM Kulminski who deals with reintegration issues will travel to Moscow to talk with Putin’s administration about gas. This could mean that the Moldovan side
wants to remind Russia that no gas to Moldova will affect the economy of the separatist region 4) She insisted that all members of the Cabinet try to negotiate with as many external partners as possible to identify the cheapest gas and sign a long-term contract. According to her
similar dialogues were conducted by MFA Popescu during his recent trip to Brussels. No information about that was published. He will also raise this topic on the agenda with Ukraine during his visit to Kyiv this week (Transnistria), creating costs to Russia itself.
5) PM Gavrilita announced that she will have a phone call in the next few days with the leader of the de facto authorities of Transnistria to talk about the gas supply and come up with a common understanding of the scenarios. While the constitutional territory can obtain gas
through various entry points, the gas to the separatist region can flow in only after Chisinau signs a new contract with Gazprom. 6) Meanwhile, 37 NGOs from Moldova signed a declaration urging the authorities to accept “political conditionality” that Russia would like to impose.
They claim that the delays in negotiations by Gazprom are signs of “energy blackmailing” and the energy crisis has no economic or technical reasoning by the political one. The representatives of the civil society asked the EU and other partners to help Moldova politically,
technically and financially to overcome the energy crisis. END.

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More from @DionisCenusa

20 Oct
#Russia: Here is a snapshot of the current gas supply contracts between Gazprom Export and the EU, Eastern Partnership and Eurasian Union states (THREAD/20):
1. EU - Austria: in 2019, total gas exports represented 16.2 bcm. The bilateral contract is until 2040.
2. Croatia: Exports are made on the basis of a long-term contract that expires in 2027. Volumes for 2019 reached 2.8 bcm.
Read 21 tweets
18 Oct
#Moldova_Russia: The situation around the gas supply did not improve, while the temperature is dropping. As the energy crisis looms, the Moldovan authorities and some segments of the public accuse Russia of triggering the crisis (THREAD):
1) Infrastructure Minister Spanu traveled to Poland on a two-day working trip to discuss gas supply opportunities, namely the purchase of liquefied gas from the LNG terminal in the Baltic Sea (5 bcm). Poland itself will stop buying Russian gas after 2022, investing in⤵️
expanding its LNG capacity to 8 bcm by 2023. 2) On the other hand, there is no signal from Russia. There are strong local views that Moscow is purposefully causing the energy crisis. According to them, after showing initial openness for the extension of the old contract, Russia⤵️
Read 11 tweets
27 Sep
#Moldova: PM Gavrilita and MFA Popescu met with various EU officials in Brussels. The most relevant so far has been that of the High Representative / Vice-President of the Borrell Commission. Here are some conclusions: ⤵️
1) The EU official congratulated the Moldovan officials on the electoral victory (that occurred more than two months ago); 2) He stressed that the government has a strong mandate to advance reforms, which is also a “great honor” and a “great responsibility”;⤵️
3) The rule of law is something that Borrell emphasized when speaking of bilateral dialogue, as well as democracy and human rights. 4) The EU strongly supports the new government's reform agenda, including the fight against corruption, Borrell noted.⤵️
Read 9 tweets
26 Sep
#Russia: Gazprom announced that it is ready to increase gas supply, based on new applications and renewed contracts. Putin's spokesperson, Peskov, has assured that Gazprom is a "reliable partner" for European countries: 1) These statements follow the request for an ⤵️
investigation of Russia's interventions in the vertiginous rise in gas prices, demanded of the European Commission by a group of MEPs. Although no clear evidence of non-compliance with supply contracts by Russia was presented, it is highly unlikely that the Kremlin is not⤵️
interested in using its gas/Gazprom leverage to profit from price fluctuations in European markets. 2) The unresolved issue of the Nord Stream 2 certification that should take place soon could be another trigger for the benevolence expressed by Peskov/Gazprom/Putin.⤵️
Read 6 tweets
26 Sep
#Germany: A very useful interview with Angela Merkel's former political adviser Christoph Heusgen explaining which were the most challenging decisions related to Eastern Europe and Russia: 1) Ukraine-Russia: “We did not want to promote that conflict. bit.ly/3lT0fgk ⤵️
That is why, against strong opposition from the United States, she prevented Ukraine from being granted the prospect of joining NATO; nor did the Association Agreement with the European Union open up any prospect of membership. She always kept in mind what was tolerable for ⤵️
Russia. But then, overnight, Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych said: No, I'm not going to do this thing with the EU.” 2) Russian aggression: “But we could not have known that Russia was planning an invasion. U.S.Senator John McCain, however, felt it could have been ⤵️
Read 7 tweets
10 Aug
#Moldova: Putin's administration envoy Dmitry Kozak, who also oversees the Moldavian file (in particular, the settlement of the Transnistrian conflict) prepares for a trip to Chisinau. Two things it is important to keep in mind. First, President Sandu did not visit Moscow, ⤵️
although she did travel to various European capitals, including the EU. Second, the government program designed by Gavrilita's cabinet alludes to Moldova pursuing pragmatic and predictable relations with Russia. At the same time, the withdrawal of Russian arms & military forces⤵️
is also indicated as a priority in the dialogue with Moscow. It is unusual for a senior Russian official to come to Moldova, even before an official call occurred between new MFA Nicu Popescu (@nicupopescu) and Russian MFA Sergey Lavrov. Apparently, Kozak comes to Chisinau⤵️
Read 4 tweets

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