Why aren’t we doing this?
Some claim it’s too expensive (no costing has been done!)
In fact, managing people & managing air in buildings & vehicles doesn’t have to be expensive ..it only has to be targeted to high risk places (& yes, we know where) 9/ data.oireachtas.ie/ie/oireachtas/…
Will this trial/error opening of venues ~without clean air precautions ~ work?
No, it’s set up to fail because it will drive super-spread .. when Netherlands opened without precautions they had to close again as disease spread into the community 10/ government.nl/latest/news/20…
Are you sure?
Look at what happened last December
Exponential & explosive growth of pandemic.. resulting in hospitals being over-whelmed & months of lockdown 11/
But we have vaccines?
Yes, they are very effective at cutting hospitalisation & death
Vaccines *help* your immune system fight infection if exposed but they don’t block infection
Vaccinated people can be infected & spread to others
Vaccines: Ireland 75% Singapore 79% 12/
Ireland has all the knowledge, tools & resources available to manage the pandemic & to *stay open* safely
.. but a political decision has been made not to use them #LivingWithCovid
So why isn’t Ireland doing this? In my opinion, “a political decision to negotiate pandemic policy with lobbyists & economists, rather than scientists”
(Irish Independent Aug 2021) independent.ie/opinion/commen…
..& also NPHET modelling is deeply flawed in my view.. & this wave WILL NOT peak & wane in November as the assumptions are incorrect
“they are trusting their numbers instead of their own eyes” (Irish Independent, Nov 2020) independent.ie/opinion/commen…
So Dr @ClionaNi was right..
“I would probably bet that most kids in Ireland under 12 will get Covid before the spring, the way we are going on now” (12 Sept)
Urgent action is needed to protect children & to stop spread in schools
‘Most children under the age of 12 in Ireland will contract Covid-19 by early 2022, unless schools are made safer – infectious disease specialist’ independent.ie/irish-news/hea…
Ireland is following a flawed, unsafe & immoral UK political strategy of not protecting children (in breach of their human rights, & with #NoConsent from their parents)
(rough maths) 100m long queue, say 200+ people.. & Ireland had ≈25,000 new cases in last 14 days (actual infection likely 3x that).. so say 1.5% of population is currently infectious with #Covid19… the odds are 3+ people in this queue are infectious tonight 1/
… ONE PERSON who may be fully vaccinated & have no symptoms.. breaths out 72,000 copies of the virus in one hour… & vaccines give 50-90% protection from infection. Do the maths
..& unless the place has clean air (ventilation & filtration) super-spread can happen
France, nightclub
72 infections
“supermarket worker partied at nightspot (that skirted ban by blocking off its dance floor)” apnews.com/article/virus-…
When people “object” to #housing.. look closely at the housing..
*deregulated space standards
*deregulated fire safety
*deregulated building heights
*deregulated ventilation & daylight
*deregulated amenities
relying on smoke seals on *one* door to stop a kitchen fire filling the corridor with smoke ..& compromising the escape of up to 10 families.. & the building is not designed for ladder rescue, if the corridor isn’t safe…
More than 40 families on this floor will be sharing 4 lifts with the families on 8 other floors
3,000+ people will be living on 5 hectares (14 acres)
Planning permission granted, ready-to-go in Dublin 7
Sales prices €450,000+
or “affordable” with public subsidy at €350,000
🇮🇪HSE #Covid19 information is unscientific & unsafe. People are at risk of infection due to misleading, contradictory & out-of-date advice 1/
✅Covid19 is MOSTLY spread by aerosols from breathing & talking, NOT droplets from coughs & sneezes
✅Aerosols linger & spread >2m
✅ ‘social distancing’ of 2m is NOT a protection indoors, everyone breaths the same air
✅ virus can fill rooms & linger for hours in EMPTY rooms/lifts/vehicles
✅ risk from touching surfaces/hands/eyes is LOW
✅ respiratory virus are almost always INHALED by infected air 2/
✅ ventilation & filtration are critically important in ALL buildings & vehicles, whether crowded or not
✅ crowded indoor spaces are unsafe BEYOND 2M DISTANCE
✅ wear a mask EVERYWHERE INDOORS that isn’t your home
✅ cough & sneeze INTO YOUR MASK
✅ NORMAL cleaning is fine 3/
Prof @PhilipNolan_MU on @TodaywithClaire “we are not surprised, it was a possibility… we have had this “event” where cases went from 1100 to 1600/day.. it’s rapidly evolving.. the first indication was last Friday (from Wed swabs) & positivity % has increased” #Covid19
“Proportionally more infections are middle age & older adults now.. & requiring hospitalisation”
“we are unlikely to see major surge (due to vaccination).. but it’s on a knife edge” ..“we need to encourage & support vaccination”..2/3 in ICU are unvaccinated”
“we don’t know if this is a transient event or a step change that will stay at new level.. we are worried given (high) positivity rate” ... “vaccines offer 90% protection against hospitalisation”