Prof @PhilipNolan_MU on @TodaywithClaire “we are not surprised, it was a possibility… we have had this “event” where cases went from 1100 to 1600/day.. it’s rapidly evolving.. the first indication was last Friday (from Wed swabs) & positivity % has increased” #Covid19
“Proportionally more infections are middle age & older adults now.. & requiring hospitalisation”
“we are unlikely to see major surge (due to vaccination).. but it’s on a knife edge” ..“we need to encourage & support vaccination”..2/3 in ICU are unvaccinated”
“we are unlikely to see major surge (due to vaccination).. but it’s on a knife edge” ..“we need to encourage & support vaccination”..2/3 in ICU are unvaccinated”
“we don’t know if this is a transient event or a step change that will stay at new level.. we are worried given (high) positivity rate” ... “vaccines offer 90% protection against hospitalisation”
“optimal level is everyone protected by vaccination,but we have to take additional precautions to prevent spread of disease..it is also spreading through ~vaccinated~ population..leaving home w/ symptoms is dangerous” ..”at beginning last week we had no signal of wrong direction”
“vaccines are doing heavy lifting.. the balance seems to have tilted wrong way.. it wouldn’t take much for us as individuals to bring it back (down).. is it growing, a step change or transient? We simply don’t know, it depends what has influenced “behaviour”.. it needs more data”
“disease unlikely to get out of control as it did last Oct.. we are not at that point now.. it’s hard for disease to move quickly with (high levels) of vaccination.. indicators are going in wrong direction, but we are not sure how long it will last..not at risk of out of control”
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