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Orla Hegarty Profile picture
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15 Oct, 14 tweets, 4 min read
COVID IS NOT SPREAD ON HANDS*

Lungs have the surface area of tennis court & virus is inhaled in infected air

Telling people to wash hands to prevent a respiratory pandemic is negligence

*CDC: 1 in 10,000 risk from a touch, so possible but very unlikely
People can be infected an EMPTY ROOM
People can be infected 8 METRES away aljazeera.com/economy/2020/7…
People can be infected in VEHICLES
DOZENS of people can be infected in one room
SCHOOLS can be source of outbreaks
GYMS are high risk
HOSPITALS are high risk buildings, especially now colder weather
ONE PERSON can expose hundreds in a short time ~IN CERTAIN CONDITIONS~
NIGHTCLUBS are high risk without mitigations
CHILDREN get infected & spread disease as much as adults
Infection can happen in MINUTES in certain conditions
MASKS make a big difference
Care home infections & deaths are PREVENTABLE..ALL #Covid19 infections are preventable.. it’s a preventable disease

tl;dr hand-washing is soap opera 🧼

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More from @Orla_Hegarty

Orla Hegarty Profile picture
16 Oct
🇮🇪HSE #Covid19 information is unscientific & unsafe. People are at risk of infection due to misleading, contradictory & out-of-date advice 1/

✅Covid19 is MOSTLY spread by aerosols from breathing & talking, NOT droplets from coughs & sneezes

✅Aerosols linger & spread >2m
✅ ‘social distancing’ of 2m is NOT a protection indoors, everyone breaths the same air

✅ virus can fill rooms & linger for hours in EMPTY rooms/lifts/vehicles

✅ risk from touching surfaces/hands/eyes is LOW

✅ respiratory virus are almost always INHALED by infected air 2/
✅ ventilation & filtration are critically important in ALL buildings & vehicles, whether crowded or not
✅ crowded indoor spaces are unsafe BEYOND 2M DISTANCE
✅ wear a mask EVERYWHERE INDOORS that isn’t your home
✅ cough & sneeze INTO YOUR MASK
✅ NORMAL cleaning is fine 3/
Read 10 tweets
Orla Hegarty Profile picture
14 Oct
Prof @PhilipNolan_MU on @TodaywithClaire “we are not surprised, it was a possibility… we have had this “event” where cases went from 1100 to 1600/day.. it’s rapidly evolving.. the first indication was last Friday (from Wed swabs) & positivity % has increased” #Covid19
“Proportionally more infections are middle age & older adults now.. & requiring hospitalisation”
“we are unlikely to see major surge (due to vaccination).. but it’s on a knife edge” ..“we need to encourage & support vaccination”..2/3 in ICU are unvaccinated”
“we don’t know if this is a transient event or a step change that will stay at new level.. we are worried given (high) positivity rate” ... “vaccines offer 90% protection against hospitalisation”
Read 6 tweets
Orla Hegarty Profile picture
12 Oct
#Housing #Budget2022
Headline: “a budget package for 2022 of just under €6bn”
gov.ie/en/press-relea…
CAPITAL (“on-off” investment, new-build & purchases) €4.1bn
- €2.6bn Exchequer
- €1.5bn LDA (Land Development Agency) & HFA (Housing Finance Agency)

CURRENT (on- going spending, leases, rent supports, etc) €1.4bn
“11,820 new homes to be added to supply of social housing through build, acquisition & leasing, with focus on new build (9,000 homes)”
..unclear how many direct build (good value for money), acquisition (vfm in low demand locations only), & leasing (very poor vfm)
Read 5 tweets
Orla Hegarty Profile picture
25 Sep
(reverse engineering)

If Ireland expect 90% vaccinated or IMMUNE BY INFECTION within 4 wks.. & few remain to be vaccinated

What is 15% ‘top up’ to 90% immunity?

Is it exposing children to #COVID19, which is unscientific, unsafe & unethical?

But if not that, what is the 15%?
(rough maths)
about 150,000 people tested positive in last 6 months (<3% of population)

..it’s not credible that another 600,000 (12%) people had COVID without testing positive since end March ‘21

..& that this 600,000 are ALL among 125,000 unvaccinated (25% of population)
(not an epidemiologist) am I missing something here? Thanks @dazult_pdempsey @CHeDS_ie @StuartDNeilson @andrewflood @RiochtConor2 @BrianFlanagan1 @LouisWu1992
Read 4 tweets
Orla Hegarty Profile picture
25 Sep
🇮🇪 Ireland 📈#Covid19 cases rising in <15 children is out of step with Europe

🇧🇪 Belgium 📉
🇳🇱 Netherlands 📉
🇪🇸 Spain📉
🇩🇪 Germany📉
🇫🇷 France📉
🇵🇹 Portugal📉
🇩🇰 Denmark 📉

🇬🇧 UK rising 📈 with no precautions in schools (image: @ReicherStephen) Image
Ireland & UK hotspots with very high case numbers
🇮🇪 Ireland 263/ million (7 day avg)

🇧🇪Belgium 170
🇳🇱Netherlands 105
🇪🇸Spain 52
🇩🇪Germany 94
🇫🇷France 96
🇵🇹Portugal 73
🇩🇰 Denmark 59

🇬🇧UK 484
(image: @OurWorldInData ) Image
More Europe (cases/million, 7 day avg)

🇮🇹 Italy 61
🇨🇭Switzerland 168
🇦🇹 Austria 184
🇵🇱 Poland 19
🇨🇿 Czechia 40
🇳🇴 Norway 126
🇸🇪 Sweden 62
🇫🇮 Finland 71
🇬🇷 Greece 216

.. Ireland second highest (after UK) & cases 2.5x EU average new daily cases Image
Read 4 tweets
Orla Hegarty Profile picture
13 Sep
🇮🇪 #Covid19 It’s been one year since the LongForgottenDublinPandemicExperimentOf2020™️

If we had paid attention, 2021 could have been much, much better. Here’s why..

[we didn’t learn, but it’s never too late!] 1/ Our World in Data graph of Covid-19 cases in Ireland March 2
On 13 Sept 2020 the national 7-day average was 187 cases/day (it’s currently 1,300 almost 7 times amount)

In context of summer 2020, there were concerns. So govt brought in new restrictions ~for Dublin only~

Most significant was a ban on indoor dining & pubs ~in Dublin only~ 2/ Graph of 2020 cases
[+ an inter-county travel ban, limits on gatherings, closure of museums, & limits on some other not-so-high risk activities]

Most significant difference between Dublin & the Rest of Ireland was that indoor dining & pubs were open outside Dublin 3/
assets.gov.ie/87604/405b1065…
Read 8 tweets

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