Tories are now defending dumping sewage in our rivers on two spurious grounds.
Here's a quick thread on their two lies - from me - someone who's worked in water infra for years.
1. Unlimited cost risk to consumers (lie)
2. Needs a detailed plan, not just legal obligation (lie)
Tory lie 1. "We voted to keep dumping sewage in rivers to protect consumers from potential unlimited price hikes"
This is a lie. Prices in the water sector are set by the state (Ofwat) in price reviews that account for infra-investment plans on a five year cycle.
Nothing in the anti-sewage dumping amendment scrapped the five year AMP cycle (Asset Management Plan period).
So consumers are safe from unlimited price hikes (until Tories decide later on to hike prices).
The risk was therefore on polluting shareholders, not consumers.
Tory sewage lie 2: Can't support a measure without detailed plan / impact assessment.
This is obviously a lie. They do it all the time. Ask them what's in the impact assessment of clauses they did vote for and watch them squirm.
But it's also wrong. There's a plan in Water.
The water industry is literally the ONLY industry in the UK with a clear mechanism for long term national planning and assessment of infrastructure for strategic centrally-set objectives - the AMP Cycle.
The AMP Cycle sees the state set strategic objectives (like eliminating sewage dumping).
The AMP Cycle assesses, negotiates and signs off each plan by each water company to invest to achieve it.
The AMP Cycle is the detail - so often lacking in other sectors.
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Big problems for the Republican Party that stem from this election.
1. Trump may turn on them for letting him down. 2. Trump may stick around like a bad smell. 3. Georgia and Texas are becoming swing states. 4. The popular vote can't be defeated forever.
Trump may now turn on Republicans for letting him down.
Donald Trump will not accept he was at fault. So he'll blame imaginary fraud.
The Republican Party will move on, will not push forward Trump electors in defiance of state votes, so Trump may attack them for weakness.
If Trump blames Republicans for not backing him - in pursuing imaginary fraud, keeping his people out of jail, or even for refusing to overturn state democracy - many Trump fans will turn on the party too.
That's problematic as the party needs those voters still.
Brexit creates four big strategic problems for the UK. In order of importance they are:
1. The likely end of the UK 2. The loss of national security 3. The loss of future energy security 4. Economic harm
And yes, economic harm really is only fourth.
A thread...
Brexit will likely end the UK.
This was widely expected of brexit before the vote in 2016, since Scotland exposed to Westminster (English) government without EU protection was likely to want independence. Polling now shows a big shift towards independence as a result.
England might hope to deny Scotland independence by simply refusing it. Global history however, shows that is highly unlikely to work. Having alienated our NATO allies with brexit, the UK will have little backing to deny democracy in Scotland if it wants independence.