Thread by @charles_gaba

⚠️📣 Remember 4 wks ago when @DLeonhardt posted his "Red Covid" story citing my data showing the death rate since June was 47/100K where Trump received >70% of the vote vs. just 10/100K where he received <32%?

See that highlighted sentence at the end? 1/
nytimes.com/2021/09/27/bri…

Here's the graph he was referring to. He took the average of the 1st & 2nd brackets to get the "10/100K" estimate since he was trying to match <30% to >70%. 2/

WELL, it's been exactly 4 weeks since then, and guess what? Yes, the gap has indeed kept growing since then: acasignups.net/21/10/25/weekl…

As of yesterday (10/24/21), the death rate since June in counties where Trump received >70% of the vote was ~78.4/100K. In counties where he received <32% of the vote, it's ~15.9/100K.

That's nearly 5x higher.

UPDATE: With FLORIDA's COVID data brought up to date, the gap has grown even more (slightly).

acasignups.net/21/10/25/weekl…