Deleted a tweet because some folks who should know better thought I was *siding* with Manchin on this.

To be clear: Yes, it *could* technically end up "rewarding" the non-expansion states *depending on how it's done* by letting them off the hook for their share. HOWEVER...
1. The way the bill is currently written, those states would be required to pay the same 10% of the cost as if they expanded Medicaid anyway, making it moot--the only way they'd be "rewarded" is, ironically, if the "Fedicaid" portion is removed by, say, MANCHIN;
2. Even if it does "reward" them, as @FishmanEliot correctly notes, it's STILL far more important to get those caught in the Medicaid Gap covered than to "refuse to cave" to non-expansion state GOP leadership.
For a real world example of this, by the way, look no further than MISSOURI, which did indeed expand Medicaid via ballot proposal last year, but nearly didn't proceed anyway because the Gov/GOP legislature refused to do so in violation of the state Constitution.
The #AmRescuePlan included something like a BILLION DOLLARS as an "incentive" to get them to do something THEY WERE ALREADY LEGALLY & CONSTITUTIONALLY REQUIRED TO DO. Yet they still refused.

A judge forced them to do it...so they get the billion anyway.

acasignups.net/21/07/22/misso…

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More from @charles_gaba

25 Oct
⚠️📣 Remember 4 wks ago when @DLeonhardt posted his "Red Covid" story citing my data showing the death rate since June was 47/100K where Trump received >70% of the vote vs. just 10/100K where he received <32%?

See that highlighted sentence at the end? 1/
nytimes.com/2021/09/27/bri…
Here's the graph he was referring to. He took the average of the 1st & 2nd brackets to get the "10/100K" estimate since he was trying to match <30% to >70%. 2/
WELL, it's been exactly 4 weeks since then, and guess what? Yes, the gap has indeed kept growing since then: acasignups.net/21/10/25/weekl…
Read 5 tweets
25 Oct
📣 AMERICA 2021 IN ONE IMAGE (weekly update):
acasignups.net/21/10/24/weekl…
Where things stand as of 10/24/21:

--There's still only 5 counties which have fully vaccinated at least 90% of their total populations. Total population: 39,000.

--5 more counties have fully vaxxed at least 80%. Total population: 93,000
--49 counties have fully vaxxed 70 - 80% of all residents. Total population: 20.71M

--239 counties have fully vaxxed 60 - 70%. Total population: 77.12M

--661 counties have fully vaxxed 50 - 60%. Total population: 130.54M
Read 4 tweets
24 Oct
I had an incident which wasn't nearly as bad as this, but in the 4th grade, I was in the "gold reading group." We had started reading a new book when my family left the state for a week's vacation (I think it was for my cousin's Bat Mitzvah or something). 1/
Since I was gonna miss a week of school, the teacher gave me the full week's worth of assignments/etc, including reading the next couple of chapters of the book.

I enjoyed the book so much I read the whole thing while on vacation.

When I got back the following Monday... 2/
...my teacher found out I had read the *entire* book, and instead of praising me, KICKED ME OUT OF THE "GOLD" GROUP (and into the "Bronze" group) for reading ahead.

Apparently she'd planned on discussing foreshadowing that week to see if we could guess what would happen next. 3/
Read 6 tweets
22 Oct
This is starting to sound less like the Crow tragedy and more like the Twilight Zone: The Movie tragedy.
For those too young to remember: The feature film version of The Twilight Zone consisted of an anthology of 4 short films. One of the four stories was directed by John Landis (Animal House, Blues Brothers, Trading PLaces, etc.)
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twilight_…
This segment was about a racist/bigot who finds himself experiencing hate/fear as a Jew in Germany during the Holocaust, a Black man being hunted by the KKK, and as a Vietnamese man being fired at during the Vietnam War.
Read 4 tweets
16 Oct
📣 📣🧵 NATIONAL 2022 #ACA premium rate changes: +3.9% on average, but VAST majority will pay FAR less thanks to the #AmRescuePlan!
acasignups.net/21/10/16/natio…
As of yesterday, I finally wrapped up analyzing the 2022 individual & small group health insurance market premium rate filings for all 50 states + DC.

As of this writing, I have the average *preliminary* rate changes for every state, & the *approved* changes for 19 of them. 2/
Once the remaining 32 states are locked in, the national weighted average rate increase will likely be a point or two lower, but as of right now it's around +3.9%.

This ranges from ⬇️4.8% in Arizona to ⬆️ 15.5% in New Mexico. Individual carriers vary greatly as usual. 3/
Read 5 tweets
13 Oct
Chilling: Mississippi is just 100 deaths away from COVID having killed 1 out of every 300 residents of the state.
Meanwhile, here’s where things stand nationally:
UPDATE: Re the racial factor: Here's the county-level COVID death rate since 6/30 for MS based on what % of the pop. is Black, according to the 2020 Census.

Note that this is based on what % of the *total* population is Black, not what % of deaths are among the Black population. Image
Read 6 tweets

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