We are off and running... @ArizonaIRC
@EricaNeuberg starts of w/ appreciation for Commissioner Mehl for suggesting the late start idea. Makes for a more relaxed morning.
Public Comments open: forms.gle/9wGi5JuQ85s3DN…
And down to business.
Before Commissioner speak - legal is talking
Met w/ AZ Latino Coalition - NOW They are talking about meetings in which redistricting was discussed. THIS IS TRANSPARENCY. About 8 VRA proposed state legislative districts.
Curious is Com. Mehl had a similar meeting w/ @SALCLeaders.

Also met with @NNPrezNez - addressed some data - VAP vs. CVAP in 9th circuit -- VRA -- numbers to be used -- and use of population deviation.. @SWLawNews says there would have to be really good reason..
Mtg. w/ @NavajoTweets another issue was on/off reservation population.

@EricaNeuberg thanks Legal for participating in these very constructive meetings.

Commissioner Lerner seeks info about on/off reservation pop. Legal defers to @ndc_doug
Dr. @ndc_doug explains how it is done -- says it is more of a policy question..

And w/ both mtg- issues raised about @uscensus
Dr @ndc_doug mentions report from Dr. Handley (just pointing out -- the report IS NOT posted to the the website)
@ndc_doug Dr @ndc_doug talking about findings for CD 3 --used both methodologies - 90% of Latino voters voted for Garcia; Gov race polarized in one measure, not the other, 3 of 4 data points show it is NOT polarized... OOOOPS.
Com. Lerner -asks: was similar analysis done for CD 7 --No because it is over 50%.. CD3 is not;
@ndc_doug says it is complex legal area...
Com.Mehl - asks: analysis done on 6.0? A: Y
New?: Has the same analysis been done on 7.0? A: No.
Agenda Item #6 - Draft Map Discussion
@ErikaNeuberg says there are three versions: She is corrected by Com.Mehl who says there are 4 versions "8.0 is "still in play"
No vote until all four plans are reviewed. The retreat to E-Session for briefing on VRA compliance.

Now @timmonsgroup
8.0 lineage reviewed.. this is the change off of 7.0
Now 9.0
Notice on9.X series --D 23 comp metrics is 8-0 - 2018 treasurer race it was EXCATLY 50/50.

@ndc_doug :: non Hisp - single race column; CVAP and NHNASR both listed
Effective Latino Districts - D 11/ D 20/ D21/ D22/ D 23/ D 24/ D 26 - {7 districts on the edge} plus Native Am
Comp Districts-- D 2; D 4; D 17
7% D9; D 13; D 16; D 23
And one Nation district is also comp; a ninth district is just outside the spread...
On to 9.1
Built off of 8.0
Now Dr @ndc_doug D6 similar;
Same Latino districts
Competitive- 7 districts meet 1 measure; don';t match 1:1 Lost D 16 andD 17 --D 17 in this plan is a 9.9 spread..
Time 10:13 am
NOW 9.2
Built of of 9.1
IN Mammoth,Oracle and San Manuel
@ndc_doug says did not move the needle at all on Latino or Am Indian pop/districts..
New viewer allows to compare two versions side-by-side -as you move around - both

Com.Lerner says the 8.0 map is not all that different than 9.1
@ndc_doug says the differences are mostly in D16 and D 17

Bottomline 9.1 has 8 competitive districts --the others have 7.
Chair @ErikaNeuberg asks about 2011 commission comparison
MehlAnswers -- missed it 10:21
Moved to E-Session for discussion and guidance on VRA compliance

Wonder if they will also discuss the elephant in the room

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More from @redistrictAZ

28 Oct
And they are back
Com.Lerner -- I see 8.0; 9.1 and 9.2 as fundamentally similar
Wants to start w/ 9.0
A result of trying to create a compromise between 7.0 and8.0 -- and keeping Marana and Ora Valley into one district - plus now a few other communities.
time 11:45 am
Meets contst. criteria - geography, coi,
Previous iteration in 7.0 a - a more dem leaning district in D17 -- 9.0 makes it more competitive --
respects interest from many communities - Amphitheatre schools -
9.0 unites the larger unified school districts
Still Com. Lerner -- unties districts in a good way -- School districts as a COI

Casas Adobes and Cat Foothills united- names roads linking these communities :: Share services between one place and another

Another piece is geographic concern -- Tanque Verde
Read 35 tweets
28 Oct
9:30 start time for the @ArizonaIRC mtg today.Two big items on the agenda. Biggest item is discussion and vote on OFFICIAL DRAFT maps for congress and state legislature. Here is the competitive assessment of the three plans they will look at~~~
9.0 :: this is the plan the incorporates requests by Com. Lerner in addressing the overreach of the 8.0 @SALCLeaders map/not-map.
51%D seat share,
partisan bias 2.4%R,
efficiency gap 0.7%R
9.1 :: this plan incorporates changes requested by @SALCLeaders board member and organizational founder and Republican Commissioner David Mehl to the 8.0 map
50%D seat share,
partisan bias 3.6%R,
efficiency gap 1.6%R
Read 9 tweets
28 Oct
Seems like a good day to remind @ArizonaIRC what the voters approved in 2000 by 56% of the vote. The official title:
An amendment to the constitution of Arizona. Amending Article IV, Part 2, Section 1, Constitution of Arizona; relating to ending the practice of gerrymandering~
~ and improving voter and candidate participation in elections by creating an independent commission of balanced appointments to oversee the mapping of fair and competitive congressional and legislative districts.
The Descriptive Title:
Amending Arizona Constitution to create a 5-member "Citizens' Independent Redistricting Commission" with no more than 2 members from each political party and no more than 3 members from each county, to draw
Read 13 tweets
28 Oct
Countdown #FairDistricts for Arizona -56 Days!

Tomorrow the @ArizonaIRC will likely 1) approve an outreach plan for the 30 day comment period and 2) vote to accept official draft plans for new congressional and legislative districts. Like or retweet if you commit to participate
Like or retweet if you commit to participate to secure quality healthcare for all Arizonans
Like or retweet if you commit to participate to secure safe roads and infrastructure for all of Arizona
Read 6 tweets
26 Oct
And now @ArizonaIRC begins... Commissioner York has arrived -and is a VERY busy man. Follow along here.. or here:

Comment here--
or here: forms.gle/bgpZGYnqAzpMe1…
The team's all here.
Discussion of Public Comments received prior to today's meeting- I predict: they are thankful. And that they do not actually address anything substantive in the comments.
Neuberg says "Chain of Custody" was the problem wiht the @SALCLeaders map.
Read 43 tweets
25 Oct
Countdown to #FairDistricts for All of #Arizona: 59!
With just a bit of time before the @ArizonaIRC makes changes, here are the top takes and a district-by-district summary: 1) #PoorPinal County looks like road kill. It is divided into five districts and
its communities are connected with neighboring MarCo & Pima counties, but also Yuma and Sedona; and as far north as Coconino Co. Adding insult to injury, two of the splits are to accommodate changes integrated into the plan from the @SALCLeaders to achieve their very grand plan
for a S AZ "economic driver." Clearly, they did not consider Pinal Co. As a partner in that plan.

2) The very, very, very worst district is LD 7. This district is just a mess. Not even pictures of cats could fix this. And it creates messes all over the place.
Read 46 tweets

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