Thread: The new #BuildBackBetter framework legislation is paid for with a package of revenue offsets that:
1.Require higher-income people to pay a fairer amount of tax;
2.Reduce unwarranted tax advantages of profitable corporations (eg tax havens);
3.Reduce the “tax gap”
In sum, the Administration reports that the three revenue buckets raise $1.85 trillion over ten years: $650 B from high-income individuals, $800 B from large multinationals, and $400 B from reducing the tax gap. A solid package to pay for critical investments.
Let’s take each “bucket” in turn below.
The richest people in the country enjoy two main tax advantages: much of their income is not taxed annually and, when their income is taxed, it often enjoys special tax rates or other discounts.
To help address this, #BuildBackBetter (BBB) does two things: first, it adds a surtax on the gross incomes (i.e., a broad base) of very high-income people: 5% on incomes > $10m & 8% on incomes > $25m.
As we emphasized throughout the BBB debate, such a surtax is an excellent deal closer: it applies to a broad base, raises substantial progressive revenue & is easy for taxpayers to understand.
Second, BBB closes a major loophole in the 3.8% Medicare (& NIIT) tax on high earners, certain pass-throughs & capital income, which helped pay for the ACA. By closing the loophole, certain high-income owners of S Corps and partnerships can no longer avoid the tax.
Third, the package would also extend the limitation on the losses that high-income pass-through business owners can deduct from their non-business income, such as capital gains or a spouse’s salary.
While the high-income tax package includes several sound policies, it doesn’t address head-on the problem that the richest people in the country often pay little or no income tax. I made the case for a billionaires tax here:
Turning to corp tax provisions. Since taking office w/tremendous success, Secretary Yellen has secured a global agreement on taxing profits in tax havens. BBB raises the U.S. min. tax rate (or GILTI) on offshore profits to align w/the agreement & lead the world in implementation
Beyond increasing the GILTI rate to 15 percent, BBB makes several other critical international tax reforms. Most important: the GILTI tax would now be assessed on a country-by-country basis to prevent gaming.
Corporations keep 2 sets of books: 1 for shareholders & 1 for the IRS. The BBB adds a min tax of 15% on (modified) book income, ie the income that is reported to shareholders. The new min tax on book income of the largest multinationals is designed to backstop the corporate tax.
Turning to stock buybacks. Corporations have 2 ways to distribute profits to shareholders: issuing dividends or buying back their own shares, which raises the value of the stock people continue to hold.
The tax treatment is very different: dividends are broadly taxed, while buybacks mostly result in untaxed, unrealized capital gains (& many shareholders, like foreign shareholders, are exempt from capital gains tax anyway).
BBB corrects this tax policy mismatch on corporate profit distributions to shareholders by requiring that corporations pay a 1% excise tax when they buy back their shares, which effectively taxes buybacks more like dividends.
Finally, the tax gap – the difference between the amount of taxes legally owed and the amount of taxes collected, which amounts to about $600B a year.
To address the tax gap, President Biden proposed a comprehensive plan to reduce the tax gap. It had three pillars: people (ie rebuild decimated IRS audit staff), systems (upgrade IRS’ outdated computers/software), information reporting (which is essential for compliance)
#BuildBackBetter includes about $80 billion in new - mandatory -- funding for the IRS to rebuild the audit staff and upgrade outdated computer systems – a major and essential achievement.
Because of the shameful misinformation campaign the banking industry mounted, siding with tax cheats over honest taxpayers, as of now, the information reporting requirement has been removed from the bill.
Until the final pen is put down, policymakers should try to salvage some progress on providing the IRS with additional third-party information, keeping in mind that < half of some types of income goes unreported & that > info is essential cbpp.org/research/feder…
Thread: The #BuildBackBetter framework would extend for 1 year the Rescue Plan expansions of the #ChildTaxCredit & EITC for adults not raising children & do important work but for low wages
Plus: it makes the driver of the child poverty reduction–“full refundability”– permanent!
The framework extends for one year the Rescue Plan’s full #ChildTaxCredit expansion: $3,600 for young children and $3,000 for 6-17 year-olds.
It makes the key feature for cutting child #poverty -- “full refundability” – PERMANENT. This means that the full credit will permanently go to children in families with low or no income.
Here’s a tax policy must-read from two top economists, @gregleiserson of CEA and @dannyyagan of OMB: they find, conservatively, that the wealthiest 400 families paid an average income tax rate of just 8.2% over 2010-2018 bit.ly/39vMoXv
This is timely given the stage of the current debate. The House bill includes important provisions that would boost this rate some, but leaves out the most important provision (on step-up which I’ll discuss later in this thread)
And back to their op-ed: here’s the NFIB on the economic policy response to the pandemic: “Washington’s response has often made it harder.” It seems they missed this @greg_ip piece in WSJ: “How the U.S. Nailed the Economic Response to Covid-19”: on.wsj.com/2ZcXrTr
Given that on these small business PPP “loans”: “More than 90% of the jobs at firms that received PPP loans would have been preserved without the program” – one would perhaps see some gratitude from the NFIB but, no
Somehow the NFIB fails to even mention how many of its members received a substantial loan – read grant – as part of this policy response that made it “harder.”
It’s hard to know where to begin with this one & it’s painful to have to link to it & risk spreading it around even more but here are a few points on this op-ed, including how it elides whose taxes are actually going up and ignores whose are going down: bit.ly/3EAm5Oa
“the small business deduction would be capped”: at what level? It doesn’t say. Maybe at $10,000? No, it’s capped at $500,000. This means that the joint filers with such income up to $2.5 million still get the full deduction. I wonder why they left that out.
“Estate taxes would be raised”: Ah, yes the tax that only morons pay after three decades of a campaign by some of the wealthiest families in the country on behalf of their trust-fund kids.
Dusting off this paper from @dashching and me from the last time capital gains taxes were hotly debated. More to follow but here’s a quick thread on some of the still applicable content.
As top tax economist Joel Slemrod summed it up during the Bush tax cut debate: “there is no evidence that links aggregate economic performance to capital gains tax rates.”
And from another top tax economist, @lenburman, who wrote the book on capital gains: “Virtually every individual income tax shelter is devoted to converting fully taxed income into capital gains.”
Stars are aligning to rebuild the IRS & address tax gap. Here’s our take on need for multi-year discretionary cap adjustment, & a multiyear mandatory funding stream to help pay for recovery legislation– to be combined with increased reporting requirements bit.ly/3dSjLW4
The depleted state of the IRS is well-known. The time has come to do something about it. Enforcement funding has been cut sharply over the last decade:
The ranks of the most sophisticated auditors have been cut by 39 percent causing audits of very high-income people to plummet: