i believe #nft + #defi is interlinked and must be understood in order to do well in the crypto market. its how money flows.
think of it like surfing a wave.
- read the weather, see the waves
- get in position
- when the right wave comes
- paddle like crazy and surf away π
reading the weather:
this is the broader market.
- btc halving cycle which, historically, leads to a parabolic blow off top
- if/when this happens, it will cause the top 10, alt coin, and basically most of the coins to moon.
- this is why nft $ is siphoned to defi
- this narrative is so strong that this is where all the attn is heading.
attention is where money flows.
now the bet becomes asymmetric
- meaning odds are in your favor.
- u either lose 1 or u gain 100s
(narrative purpose only)
weathers good - time to go surf.
seeing the waves:
crypto is all driven by narrative.
- majority of the coins are still in development, some are in use, but many are still lacking fundamentals and real adoption.
- this is completely irrelevant at the moment b/c currently, ppl only bet on the potential.
current narratives: 1. BTC/ETH ath (+2-4x) 2. dot ecosystem due for a pump following other layer 1s like solana (+10x) 3. crypto gaming prime for mass adoption (+100x) 4. crazy yield farm plays (+10000apy) 5. meme coins (+1000x)
higher return = higher risk
choose ur wave accordingly π
1. high caps (+10billion market cap)
~return x2-4
- these are typically the ~top 10 coins,
(personally: i'd exclude meme coins like $shib + $doge to be considered in this category)
market cap = $ of token x # of outstanding shares
why do you need to know this?
- for price to double, it means double the amount of $$$ injected into the token.
- ie, for eth to double (current mcap ~500B) there needs to be +500billions more capital injected
- this also means it takes a lot more ppl to withdraw to move the $ lower = safer investment (relatively)
- thats why +80% of my portfolio is in top 10 coins.
- my only goal is to stack my ETH stack b/c i believe its the building blocks of web3.
my take:
- heavy in $eth - cause im an nft maxi
- heavy in $luna - cause im prepping for what happens after this bull run.
also - these two coins allows me leverage.
- i loan them out
- get 50% back in cash (interest free atm)
- spend them to buy alts
- ride both waves
ps: i do this via anchor protocol
not for the faint of heart cause if $ drops, you need enough $$$ to maintain 60% LTV (loan to value), otherwise, you get liquidated.
ie. u refinance ur home, take out cash.
if market drops, and you can't repay, u lose ur hse.
2. mid caps (+100m)
return ~10x
- choose an ecosystem u enjoy and dive deep.
- typical layer 1s like solana, binance, eth, dot all have their typical corresponding structures.
- ie. every city needs a police station, fire hall, library, banks, etc.
- layer 1s = cities
- typically these ecosystems have lower mcap = its much more volatile - up or down.
- why dot eco u may ask?
- binance had its run
- solana had its run
- dot is abt to run
ie. in nft terms, think of the roadmap.
dot is abt to enter a huge milestone on the roadmap.
return x100s
- i do believe in gaming crypto/nfts.
- i've dabbled in defi since 2018, never dove in until i met my true love - n.f.t.s
- defi is boring, numberss are boring
- most importantly - theres not emotional attachment
- gaming/nft is different
- gaming is everyday life for a lot of ppl
- theres a huge emotional attachment to characters/skins/equipements etc
- nft/blockchain is the tech that allows this industry to reach its full form.
my take:
- $sfund - launch pad for games
- since i don't game and don't have much time, i only invest in all the IGOs that sfund provides. easy 10x gains for majority atm.
4. yield farm
return +10,000 APY
- this, i don't get. all just feels like a giant ponzi of ponzis
- don't have time to dig, but i LOVE it!
- my strat is to make sure that i leave before party ends.
- stake for just enough time to double, take out initial inv and ride it out
my take:
- $ohm - +8000% apy
- one is enough degen for me. π
5. meme coins
return - 1000xs
- i hate my wife @lurvli1 for this.
- i hate @Nate_Rivers for this. π
- but sometimes when u see the wave, u just ride it.
- bought my first meme coin ytdy b/c of them
- watch to understandπ
- makes too much sense with new contract not to take a moonshot bet.
- one is enough degen π€
final thoughts: 1. u invest what you can afford to lose 2. u invest what you can afford to lose 3. u invest what you can afford to lose
this is a giant casino, u never know when the music stops + all of this hinges on how btc does. if it goes down, everything is off the table.
now when the right wave comes (volume kicks in, $ skyrockets), u paddle like crazy and surf away (take profits!!!)
take ur alt coin gains & roll it into the top coins.
like+retweet = if you want to know real time when the waves are coming πππ
ps: not financial advise
pps: im just a regular dude sharing my journey and what i learn, so take it as you will
ppps: im still mint and love #nfts
pppps: i also invest in nodes. they are beautiful. if theres any interest, i can share more π€ #galanodes
ppppps: don't just copy my trades. im just sharing my thought process, logic and journey. doesn't mean im right nor do i know everything. take the logic and develop ur own thesis.
hearing this a lot.
kind of hard to wrap my head around it,
so lets try to unpack this a little.
to hold up the economy
lets follow the $π
gov prints $ to buy bonds
lots $ flows to the banks
high supply $ => lower cost to burrow $
lower interest rates (%) = cheap $
cheap$ attracts biz to build/invest
$ used to hire ppl + buy ingredient/material
regular joe now has $ to spend on food/entertainment