📣 BREAKING: 2022 HealthCare.Gov #ACA Open Enrollment up 20% vs. last year in first week:
acasignups.net/21/11/12/2022-…
Even more remarkable: NEW enrollment is only down 2.5% y/y when adjusted for fewer days & fewer states being hosted on the federal exchange...this is AMAZING considering over 2M people already enrolled via the COVID Special Enrollment Period!
Also noteworthy: Active renewals are up 26% year over year, which is good because it suggests more people are wising up to the merits of ACTIVELY re-enrolling vs auto-renewing.
📣 Update: THE GRAPH, Week 1 Edition (only includes 34 states):
Update x2: I forgot to account for MEDICAID EXPANSION in MO/OK! Last year over 100K #ACA exchange enrollees in MO/OK earned less than 138% FPL; all of them have been/will be shifted to Medicaid instead.

That puts the adjusted y/y increase at nearly 22%!
acasignups.net/21/11/12/2022-…

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More from @charles_gaba

13 Nov
America 2021 in one image.
For those wondering:
—bubble size indicates county population size
—data is thru yesterday (11/12/21).
Several people are accusing me of “cherry picking” by starting on 6/30/21 instead of going back to the start of the pandemic. It’s hardly breaking news that the first wave in March/April 2010 slammed densely-populated blue areas far heavier than sparsely-populated red areas. 1/
Read 8 tweets
11 Nov
Meanwhile, South Dakota’s Attorney General killed a man, lied about it (he claimed he thought he’d hit a deer even though the man’s glasses were found in his car after his head smashed through the windshield) and is facing impeachment over it. #BothSides!
Image
Read 4 tweets
8 Nov
In which I get a nice shoutout from @DLeonhardt in his updated look at the COVID red/blue divide:
nytimes.com/2021/11/08/bri…
FWIW, I’m just waiting on Florida county data to be released later this morning before posting the latest red/blue divide update (I have every other state updated already). Stay tuned…
📣 NOW LIVE: Here's an updated look at county-level #COVID19 case & death rates by partisan lean & vaccination rates:
acasignups.net/21/11/08/weekl…
Read 8 tweets
8 Nov
Yeah, that's right: We have exactly 1 year before Election Day 2022 and I'm launching Phase 2 of my Dem candidate fundraising project.
Last cycle I raised $6 million for Dem candidates up & down the ballot.

I'm at $86,000 so far halfway through this cycle. Let's catch up a bit, shall we?
secure.actblue.com/donate/senateb…
Read 4 tweets
7 Nov
📣 WEEKLY UPDATE: U.S. #COVID19 vaccination rates by county & Trump vote:
acasignups.net/21/11/07/weekl…
It should be fascinating to see whether the slope or correlation level (R2) of this graph changes starting on Thanksgiving (that's when the first batch of 5-11 yr olds getting their *second* Pfizer shot should start showing up in the data reports)...
As you can see, the partisan correlation rate increased continuously from the moment eligibility for all adults started in mid-March all the way through mid-September...at which point it basically plateaued. It's remained steady ever since.
Read 6 tweets
7 Nov
MICHIGAN FOLKS: I just took my first phone survey of the 2022 election cycle, via an outfit calling itself VRI Research, focused almost exclusively on the bullshit "Secure MI Vote" ballot proposal.
michigandems.com/toolkit/declin…
The "Secure MI Vote" proposal is a scam; DO NOT SIGN THE PETITION. The MI GOP's goal is to get enough signatures that they can use a jaw-droppingly stupid loophole in the MI Constitution which would let them pass it into law without allowing @GovWhitmer the ability to veto it.
As for the survey itself, at times it sounded like a push poll, but at other times it got very confusing--several of the ways the arguments given in favor/against the proposal were worded were double-negatives, making it difficult to tell which way the argument was even leaning.
Read 5 tweets

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