📣 WEEKLY UPDATE: #COVID19 Case/Death Rates by County, Partisan Lean & Vaccination rate:
acasignups.net/21/11/15/weekl…
--The Case Rate since 6/30 is 2.8x higher in the reddest tenth of the country than the bluest tenth, down from 3.0x higher a month ago.

--The Death Rate since 6/30 is 5.7x higher in the reddest tenth fo the country than the bluest tenth, down from 6.0x higher a month ago.
NONPARTISAN VIEW:
--The Case Rate since 6/30 is 2.2x higher in the least-vaxxed tenth of the country than the most-vaxxed.

--The Death Rate since 6/30 is 4.4x higher in the least-vaxxed tenth of the country than the most-vaxxed.

Both ratios have stayed even for the past month.
While I get a lot more attention for my Red/Blue divide graphs, from a sheer "how effective are the vaccines?" perspective, THIS is the graph I'd show people if you don't want to delve into partisan politics: Image
The COVID death rate since 6/30/21 (when the Delta variant started raging across the U.S.) is *4.4x higher* in counties which are less than 42% vaccinated than in counties which are more than 69% vaccinated.

And yes, each of those brackets has roughly ~33.1 million people.
NOTE: The *case rate* graph by vaccination level is interesting in that they drop off at a fairly steady rate until it hits around 60% vaxxed; over that it seems to sort of flatten out.

However, only ~200K people live in counties where more than 80% have been vaxxed. Image
REGARDING MIAMI-DADE COUNTY: THIS is what I'm talking about.

These are all the U.S. counties which have more than 1M residents and which are supposedly at least 70% fully vaxxed.

Anything stand out??? Image
I’m not suggesting anything nefarious here, by the way. Many FL folks have said they’re pretty sure it’s a combination of snowbirds and vaccine tourists from Latin America etc.
As long as SOMEONE is getting those vaccine injections, it’s not a bad thing. It’s just about how the doses are being reported, that’s all—if a bunch of them aren’t M-D residents they shouldn’t be reported that way.
Obviously this is happening in other parts of the country to some extent as well, but in Miami-Dade it seems to be a MUCH bigger portion of the vaxx data than elsewhere.
UPDATE: Here's an updated look at the Miami-Dade County phenomenon:
acasignups.net/21/11/16/snowb…

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More from @charles_gaba

17 Nov
Overall this is an excellent OpEd, but the irony is that he STILL doesn’t fully get it: 1/ Image
He’s shocked that the SDs didn’t automatically vote for the candidate who won the state, but the ENTIRE POINT of SDs was to give them a level of veto power over a potentially extreme candidate. If the GOP had a similar system in 2016, Trump may not have gotten the nomination.
And that was hardly a “dirty trick.” The SD system had been around for decades, was well-known, and it had even been partly designed BY BERNIE SANDERS’ CAMPAIGN ADVISOR.
Read 4 tweets
15 Nov
📣 WEEKLY UPDATE: U.S. #COVID19 Vaccination Rates by county & Trump 2020 vote level:
acasignups.net/21/11/15/weekl…
📣 America 2021 In One Image: Image
📣 For statistical analysis types, note that after increasing continuously from March - September, the red/blue vaxx rate R^2 has plateaued around a month or so ago: Image
Read 8 tweets
15 Nov
"They don't have much else to work with policy-wise."

"Other than winning World War II, Dwight Eisenhower doesn't have much of a military record to work with."
Don't get me wrong: I'm not saying that #BIF + #BBB (assuming it gets passed) will be enough for Dems to win in 2022 (even if they get the word out etc.); but dismissing them as minor accomplishments is just horrible framing from a journalist who I usually respect.
Oh, yeah...not to mention the #AmRescuePlan, which is kind of a #BigFcknDeal.
Read 5 tweets
13 Nov
America 2021 in one image.
For those wondering:
—bubble size indicates county population size
—data is thru yesterday (11/12/21).
Several people are accusing me of “cherry picking” by starting on 6/30/21 instead of going back to the start of the pandemic. It’s hardly breaking news that the first wave in March/April 2010 slammed densely-populated blue areas far heavier than sparsely-populated red areas. 1/
Read 11 tweets
12 Nov
📣 BREAKING: 2022 HealthCare.Gov #ACA Open Enrollment up 20% vs. last year in first week:
acasignups.net/21/11/12/2022-…
Even more remarkable: NEW enrollment is only down 2.5% y/y when adjusted for fewer days & fewer states being hosted on the federal exchange...this is AMAZING considering over 2M people already enrolled via the COVID Special Enrollment Period!
Also noteworthy: Active renewals are up 26% year over year, which is good because it suggests more people are wising up to the merits of ACTIVELY re-enrolling vs auto-renewing.
Read 5 tweets
11 Nov
Meanwhile, South Dakota’s Attorney General killed a man, lied about it (he claimed he thought he’d hit a deer even though the man’s glasses were found in his car after his head smashed through the windshield) and is facing impeachment over it. #BothSides!
Image
Read 4 tweets

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