EUROPE UPDATE!

Left Model 1: Gompertz Derivate Fit
Right Model 2: log[Exp. Grow. Factor] Fit

1/ Germany

Peak Around Late December, Early January @ 80-140k

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus ImageImage
2/ Austria

Peak 11/29 - 12/11 @ 15-20k ImageImage
3/ Netherlands

Peak Early Jan @ 40-50k ImageImage
4/ Italy

Peak Mid-Late Dec @ 13-16k ImageImage
Let me know which other countries you want to see!

Sheets:
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

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More from @USMortality

22 Nov
Großer Faktencheck Thread! ⬇️🧵⬇️

Thema Übersterblichkeit vs Impfquote in Deutschland!

Ich habe mir die Mühe gemacht und die Übersterblichkeit nach Alter und Einwohnerzahl korrigiert.

Ja, was das untere Video sagt stimmt, ABER... 1/n

#Corona #Coronavirus #Covid #Covid19 Image
1) Es ist kein statistisch relevantes Ergebnis. Geringe Korrelation; p>0.05 Image
2) Zu kleiner Zeitraum

Wenn wir den Zeitraum auf die letzten 8 Wochen erweitern, ergibt sich ein ähnliche Bild. (auch keine stat. relevanz)

Aber, selbst dieser Zeitraum ist immer noch zu klein... Image
Read 10 tweets
17 Nov
Does anyone know the weight of 1 mRNA unit?

Asking because Pfizer seems to contain 50mcg of mRNA while Novavaxx conatins 5mcg of the actual spike protein...
Sorry pfizer is 30mcg, while moderna is 100mcg of mRNA.
Novavaxx: 5mcg Spike Protein
Pfizer: 30mcg mRNA --> ???mcg Spike Protein
Moderna: 100mcg mRNA --> ???mcg Spike Protein
Read 6 tweets
17 Nov
New all-cause mortality update (age- & population corrected baseline) for the US up to week 44!

2020, Week 1-53: 411,941 deaths (+13.6%)
2021, Week 1-44: 368,926 deaths (+14.7%)

Likely 2021 will catch up another 43k to 2020 in the last 8 weeks, making another record year.
Detailed view of the excess for 2020 and 2021.
US Map of the last 10 weeks.
Read 7 tweets
17 Nov
Pfizer updated their RCT vaccine study. Now reporting 4 more deaths in the vaccine group!

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus
While this is not statistical relevant to a high degree (75% certainty) that this is caused by the vaccine.

There were 4 cardiovascular deaths in the vaccine arm vs the placebo arm in the original study:

Read 7 tweets
16 Nov
Europe COVID-19 Case Update

1/ Germany:

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus
Austria
Netherlands
Read 13 tweets
16 Nov
BREAKING: Irish COVID-19 Vaccine Efficacy only 17%!

Covid19 death data out of Ireland suggests that the Vaccine Efficacy is only a meager 17.1% !

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

Details below...
We can compare the diff between 11/6 and 10/23 reports.
Here's all the numbers I have transcribed from the 2 reports:
@jsm2334 @profnfenton @prof_shahar
Read 4 tweets

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