11/22 Texas C19 Update
THREAD:
* Thanksgiving week will suppress the published numbers this week
* The number to watch will be positivity rate which is in a slow climb
* Winter wave is here but will be hard to know extent until ~Dec 1
1/n
.
THREAD:
* Thanksgiving week will suppress the published numbers this week
* The number to watch will be positivity rate which is in a slow climb
* Winter wave is here but will be hard to know extent until ~Dec 1
1/n
.
https://twitter.com/therealarod1984/status/1461808066257633285
11/22 Testing
Tests are filed by date of specimen collection, < 7-8 days old is incomplete.
As of 11/12:
* Pos rate rising to 4.70%
* Testing & positives are flat. Interesting to see if testing surges between 11/13-11/18, before the break
* Covidestim Rt down to 0.65
2/n
.
Tests are filed by date of specimen collection, < 7-8 days old is incomplete.
As of 11/12:
* Pos rate rising to 4.70%
* Testing & positives are flat. Interesting to see if testing surges between 11/13-11/18, before the break
* Covidestim Rt down to 0.65
2/n
.
11/22 - Cases
* Cases are batched by date received by the county
* Cases 7DMA almost flat at 2697. Cases will be lower than actual due to the holiday. People don't go to the doctor over the break
* Look at dips in charts, it happens at every major holiday
3/n
.
* Cases are batched by date received by the county
* Cases 7DMA almost flat at 2697. Cases will be lower than actual due to the holiday. People don't go to the doctor over the break
* Look at dips in charts, it happens at every major holiday
3/n
.
11/22 Hospitalizations - Part 1
* Covid Admits almost flat Week over week. 348 per day 7DMA
* % of beds tagged as Covid still in the 4.2% range, total Covid census of 2618 beds
* Same thing here. People avoid the hospital during the holidays
.
covid-texas.csullender.com
.
4/n
.
* Covid Admits almost flat Week over week. 348 per day 7DMA
* % of beds tagged as Covid still in the 4.2% range, total Covid census of 2618 beds
* Same thing here. People avoid the hospital during the holidays
.
covid-texas.csullender.com
.
4/n
.
11/22 Hospitalizations - Part 2
* ICU portion of the bed census is 896. Lowest since July 15
* The Winter Wave rise is going to be masked for a week. Especially in 7DMA metrics.
* But its great to see these super low hospitalization numbers
5/n
.
* ICU portion of the bed census is 896. Lowest since July 15
* The Winter Wave rise is going to be masked for a week. Especially in 7DMA metrics.
* But its great to see these super low hospitalization numbers
5/n
.
11/22 Conclusion
* Winter Wave is here, but the numbers wont show it because of Thanksgiving week.
* Won't really know the extent of the wave until Dec 1, except for watching Positivity rate. But that is no good until 9-10 days back, so...
* Enjoy the holidays
6/end
* Winter Wave is here, but the numbers wont show it because of Thanksgiving week.
* Won't really know the extent of the wave until Dec 1, except for watching Positivity rate. But that is no good until 9-10 days back, so...
* Enjoy the holidays
6/end
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