1/n 🧵on Relative Strength Index (RSI), one of the widely used Indicator in technical analysis by traders.
I am sharing: 1. Intro and the birth of RSI 2. What info RSI indicates 3. Application of RSI with chart patterns 4. Support/Resistance in RSI 5. Range Shift 6. Divergence
2/n The concept of RSI was first introduced in the book “New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems.” By J. Welles Wilder Jr. Most of us get so attracted to the indicator itself we forget to study the background of Scientists and how the indicator got its life.
3/n Understanding the psychology of the researcher is way more important than the indicator itself. Because indicator is the reflection of researcher’s personality and what they are looking into the markets (and charts).
4/n W Wilder commenced full-time market research and trading in his "retirement.” He served in Korean War in the US Navy post that did engineering in Mechanical. Having a background of Defence (discipline) and Engineering (Calculation) is a powerful combination to study markets.
5/n Welles Wilder is best known for his technical indicators – now considered to be core indicators in technical analysis. These include Average True Range, the #RelativeStrengthIndex, Directional Movement and the Parabolic Stop and Reverse.
6/n Wilder said, “I’ve found that the most important thing in trading is always doing the right thing, whether or not you win or lose - – how much you make depends on where you enter and exit the markets." This thought formed the base of the #RSI Indicator.
7/n RSI is an oscillator from the family of #MOMENTUM indicators that measures the magnitude of recent price changes in stock. Traditionally, #RSI was used to evaluate OVERBOUGHT or OVERSOLD conditions in the stock price. That is no longer true, will explain this as we progress.
8/n Traditional interpretation of RSI was that if RSI values of 70 or above indicate that the security is becoming overbought (overvalued) and may get a trend reversal or corrective pullback in price. An RSI reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold or undervalued condition.
9/n But when you deep dive into the study of RSI indicators you will find Overbought and Oversold values will not make sense if you look at them in isolation. For any indicator, context is very important. I have explained this concept in detail with examples.
10/n For calculating RSI, we consider the price on a closing basis. We are interested in the strength of Bulls Vs Bears and viceversa.
So,
Gains = If current price is higher than previous price
Loss = If Current price is lower than previous price
This gives us relative strength
11/n So Avg gains will be the addition of all gains (green candle) divided by the Total Number of Bullish Candles
And Avg loss will be the addition of all loss (red candles) divided by the Total Number of Bearish Candles
12/n Wilder recommended a 14-day parameter and he believed that price will tend to remain in the range of 25-75 max time, this concept was borrowed by the Normal Distribution Curve.
He gave 3 zones:
Below 25: Bearish Momentum
Between 25 and 75: Neutral
Above 75: Bullish Momentum
13/n In my previous thread of MA, I have explained how to identify trends, so we will borrow the concept of trend and Inherently Bullish/Bearish stock identification from that thread
16/n Let us debrief our learnings before we progress to the application of #RSI in our #trading
17/n The price movement for inherently Bullish Stock is Oversold (Short-duration) --> Neutral --> Overbought (Prolong Period) --> Neutral and the cycle goes on.
Explaining it with help of charts the three phases and how to trade them (Patterns).
18/n The price movement for inherently Bearish Stock is Overbought (Short Period) --> Neutral --> Oversold (Prolong Period) --> Neutral and the cycle goes on.
Explaining it with help of charts the three phases and how to trade them (Patterns).
- RSI measures how quickly traders are bidding the price of the security up or down.
- It tells you how strong or weak is the momentum of a current trend.
- Indicators should always be traded with Price action.
20/n RSI can be used by all types of traders. You just need to identify your trading style and psychology. I have further defined the type of trader and what RSI Zone you should look at for initiating your trade.
21/n I will be sharing the following advanced trading concept of RSI strategy in YT live on Wed (8th Dec) 1. RSI Support and Resistance 2. Trading Intraday setup with RSI 3. Range Shift in RSI 4. Trading RSI Divergence 5. Picking Top and Bottoms with help of RSI
See you on Wed!
22/n
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Moving Averages 🧵
Widely used indicator by traders but with a lesser understanding of what it reflects and how it should be analysed.
In this thread: 1. MA and possible use case to help you make trading decisions 2. Mean-reversion 3. Disparity
2
Moving Average (MA) is a statistical calculation used to analyse a different subset of the full data set. In technical analysis, MA is used as an indicator to help us analyse stock by smoothing out the price data by creating a constantly updated average price
3
By calculating the moving average, the impacts of random, short-term fluctuations on the price of a stock over a specified time frame are mitigated.
OHLC 1. Bullish Engulfing candle on Daily timeframe 2. Eight-day price loss recovered in a day
P&F 1. On the daily timeframe, the formation of 100% Low Pole + DTB on HP. The bullish formation we can trust 2. On 0.15% x 3; 1-min timeframe, presence of Anchor follow-through + Probable DTB (988.7) on HP 3. Open Vertical counts on 1-min charts are 999 and 1006