Alright, so the lovely #CardanoCommunity has been brigading me for about 24 hours now, and I invited @Beastlyorion to chat about how much he's making from his stake pools.

My invitation was condescendingly declined.

Ok, challenge accepted. Let's do the math.

(THREAD)
If you're behind, here's the tweet that spawned this discussion:

Also, invest wherever you want, I'm relatively bullish on Cardano defi. I really didn't talk about the asset itself, just this staking-influencer conflict of interest.

And I'm happy to not feed the trolls.

But calling me a liar is where I draw the line.
Alright, here's how staking rewards get distributed:
Beast gets 340 ADA per epoch (5 days) as well as a fee of all the interest generated by stakers. He sets this fee at 3%.

Stakers have to pledge an amount up front as well, and Beast has pledged 1m ADA. That's way more than what most stakers pledge, so good for him.
He's got two pools so we'll look at the main one, happy to do the same math for the second one.

Lifetime return on stake: 4.69%
Current active stake: 47 million ADA

We'll use those numbers.
So all the stakers yearly get about 4.69% on their 47 million, that's 2,204,300 per year.

Beast gets 3% of that.

That's 66,129 ADA per year.

Also, he gets staking rewards on his own stake, so 46,900 more ADA per year.

He also makes 340 per epoch. 73 epochs/yr = 24820 ADA.
In total, Beast makes (approx) 137,849 ADA/year, about $199,881 off his 1 million deposit, that's 19% yield per year. It's only that high because he pledges a ton, which I commend him for. He could get away with 100,000 ADA, which would push his ROS up to over 90.9%
That's the math, if you think it's fair, great, if you don't, great.

I just think YouTubers who operate staking pools should disclose how they typically make anywhere from 10-20x the yield on their stake as their subscribers.

That's my only point.
So while his numbers are *kind of* accurate for THE WHOLE STAKE POOL, he makes A LOT MORE because his investment in the stake pool is A LOT LESS.
This will be my last tweet about Cardano for the foreseeable future.

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More from @JackNiewold

9 Dec
Remember ConstitutionDAO's $PEOPLE token?

Here's the story of how crypto twitter, normies, and history buffs united to create one of the biggest supply squeezes since Gamestop:

All while making some people 50x in 4 days.

🧵👇
Let's start with the basics:

ConstitutionDAO originally raised about $45 million dollars.

Its market cap, today, is about $750 million.

HOW DID THIS HAPPEN Image
If you're not already up to speed:

In mid-Nov, a group of crypto nerds and VCs came up with an idea to buy the last privately held copy of the constitution. The basic strategy:

• Make a DAO (@ConstitutionDAO)
• Crowdfund enough $ETH to bid on it
• Buy the constitution
• ???
Read 16 tweets
4 Dec
Crypto is panicking. It's not fun.

Here's the universal framework I use to keep my head and make money through nasty downturns. 👇

(thread)
My strategy for investing in altcoins is holding them, not trading them.

Everyone constantly posts their short-term technical analysis, flips, and trades. This is difficult to perform reliably/over time.

A better strategy: hold high conviction alts.

Don't sell them.
Your goal is to use crypto like a venture capitalist. Explore a basket of many smaller market cap projects (on average, they perform better than blue chips).

Let them go to zero or 100x.

Only a few in your portfolio have to succeed for you to outperform.
Read 12 tweets
3 Dec
Why are crypto influencers always shilling $ADA?

It's barely trading above its ATH, it's been heavily criticized, and there's been little progress since they launched smart contracts.

Here's the $100 million secret Cardano youtubers don't want you to know:

(thread👇)
When you look at a crypto, make sure to closely look at incentive structures. These are the mechanics that make price rise and fall.

Who's motivated to hold, to advertise, to buy, and to sell?

The key mechanic for Cardano?

Staking. About 70% of ADA is locked in stake pools.
The rate on your staked Cardano? About 5% a year.

The rate for someone who RUNS the stake pool?

Over 100% a year.

So validators are doubling their money yearly off the locked funds of their stakers, while stakers earn just about 5%.

That seems a little bit misaligned, right?
Read 13 tweets
1 Dec
Decentralization is subjective.

That makes it an ineffective narrative to onboard users to crypto.

Here's a thread on how we can actually help people understand the insane value of crypto networks.

(or the story of how I finally got my dad to pick up some $ETH)

thread👇
Let's start with the most basic definition of Bitcoin:

Cryptocurrencies are:

• decentralized digital currency
• without a central bank or single administrator
• that can be sent on peer-to-peer networks without the need for intermediaries
Decentralization convinces the libertarian crowd and the privacy crowd but not the mainstream.

'Without a central bank' is attractive to the gold bugs.

But peer-to-peer? That often gets overshadowed.
Read 14 tweets
1 Dec
Ok I’ve written up some threads on the bull case and the bear case for $SPELL

Let’s talk about my personal opinion on the asset: 👇
We can talk about flawed token economics all day long, we can talk about how Daniele Sestagalli is the king of the frogs 🐸 and how WAGMI, both are unquantifiable.

Valuations are memes, and we need to understand that crypto valuations as more nuanced than equities.
To me, the value proposition of $SPELL is strong.

I’ve used it to borrow, the concept of borrowing against yield bearing tokens is revolutionary and the demand is there.

Take a look at the cauldrons: yield bearing pools are empty while token pools like $FTX and $SHIB are full.
Read 13 tweets
27 Nov
$SPELL is down over 75%.

Let's talk about the bear case:👇
There's no such thing as a sure thing in crypto, there's no such thing as a perfect protocol.

People ask me often why $SPELL (or any asset) has dipped. Even for a *perfect* asset:

• Markets can be inefficient
• Things take time
• Broader market conditions can be unfriendly
That being said, let's get into some of the reasons $SPELL might:

• fail outright
• take a long time to recover
• underperform on a risk-adjusted return basis
Read 19 tweets

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