Thinking out loud & per action last week how that has to change some assumptions
Last week so much Saturn on shorter term events
Jupiter in sign & term (since 28-Nov)
Mars in term (4-Dec)
Venus in sign & term (sign 5-Nov, term 3-Dec)
And Moon in Cap & Aqu!
Result main indexes (DJI SPX NDX, also NYA) had huge rally and safe haven trades VIX & TLT came down hard
So Saturn didn't act like bad guy, or something else was strong enough to pull indexes up & push safe havens down
What are the possibilities?
Saturn sqr Uranus might be turning Saturn into good guy - this happened in Feb when all of finastro predicting crash and instead meltup
If so then on track for xmas stock rally since aspect exact 23&24-Dec
OR
Venus cnj Pluto up for stocks, just a fact for the main indexes last week
This also points to xmas rally since next Rx pass 24-Dec
OR
Mars sqr Jupiter had big confidence boost
Definitely involved in Tuesday ramp, but if that was the only factor then rally should have faded hard and indexes went out on highs so this doesn't fully explain
Based on action last week, Saturn at least is benign and not hitting or maybe good guy in disguise
Venus cnj Pluto was actually up for big cap indexes
Now for what's ahead
Big change Mars out of Sco > Sag
Data is surprisingly weak even in bull markets but not every year is down
SPX 2000-current
bull markets only
But, I do think same change could be + for cryptos
Venus past Pluto in term of Mars, is that + or - at this point? Tough call. I mean if Venus cnj Pluto was down then probably improvement, but since it rallied, not sure.
But Venus heading into station should help the most favorite money makers, that means big cap tech.
Merc in its own term (into Cap) has done well for SPX from Covid low - strong edge
Sun heading into term Saturn which have hit 2020-2021, but if Saturn was bad guy then last week's rally should not have happened the way it did
Also, Sun in fire sign terms of Saturn do better
Moon Q2 actually the best for SPX for covid rally
Aries & Taurus doing fine, Gemini mixed (ES data)
Seems like market might have taper mini-tantrum if that's sped up but going to go with Venus as strongest astro and other short term events suggesting risk on
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Indexes seem heavy but context: SPX down only -5.2% from high to low tick (maybe not coincidence near 5%); NDX -7.3%, RUT already -12.8%
Basic idea is timing (astro) conditions negative enough, along with recent major sentiment extreme reached early Nov...
... that I think markets on tap for -10% SPX, roughly
A LOT of negatives in play this week, hence my crash call 3-Dec to 13-Dec but given drops that have already happened, market may not go straight down every day
Thinking bounce chances best Tuesday session after 10:00 AM ET
And overnight Weds into early pre-market Thurs
But I'm not really pushing buying the bounces (maybe ETH & NQ?), I'm looking to get out of the way & re-short
Crypto has better chance of lows being in with those wicks but indexes I will be shocked, SHOCKED, if Friday 3-Dec is it