Thread by @therealarod1984

12/12 Texas C19 Update: Still Waiting

THREAD:

* Moderate spread in the North, still virtually none in the Southern part of the state
* Widespread immunity?
* Winter 2021 vs 2020 are barely comparable
* Same story, different day

1/n

https://twitter.com/therealarod1984/status/1469763552995127298

12/12 Testing

Tests filed by date of specimen collection, < 7-8 days old is incomplete

As of 12/2:
* Positivity rate flat at 7.21%
* Testing recovered to 85K per day, looks to be climbing
* Should mean more positives and cases in upcoming days
* Covidestim Rt 1.15

2/n
.

12/12 - Cases

* Cases are batched by date received by the county
* Winter 2021 starting a slow climb. Should be an increasing number of cases out there
* 2020 Winter wave was about to really explode at this point, two days from now. Will 2021? TBD but likely no.

3/n
.

12/12 Hospitalizations - Part 1

* Both Winter 2021 Admits & Census = no comparison yet to Winter 2020
* Covid Admits - 439 7DMA
* % of beds tagged as Covid hits 5%
* Covid census flat at 3117 beds
* 7DMA rates of growth remain below < 10%

covid-texas.csullender.com
.
4/n
.

12/12 Hospitalizations - Part 2

* ICU portion of the bed census at 937. Five weeks below 1000
* This Winter wave is basically 2+ months behind 2020 at this point
* Will do a regional breakdown later today. What spread there is is mainly in the north

5/n
.

12/12 Conclusion

* Summer 2021 was about 4 weeks behind Summer 2020.
* Winter 2021 is now 8+ weeks behind Winter 2020.
* Regional Hospital analysis later today, showing where the spread is.
* 2021 Winter Wave still not a wave yet and its getting late in the game

6/end