12/4 Texas C19 Update
THREAD:
* Winter wave is still pretty "sleepy" compared to 2020
* Positivity Rate, Cases, Hospitalizations & Hosp C19 Admits all slowly rising
* What will next week bring? A surge or more sleepiness?
1/n
.
THREAD:
* Winter wave is still pretty "sleepy" compared to 2020
* Positivity Rate, Cases, Hospitalizations & Hosp C19 Admits all slowly rising
* What will next week bring? A surge or more sleepiness?
1/n
.
https://twitter.com/therealarod1984/status/1466886004716052488
12/4 Testing
Tests are filed by date of specimen collection, < 7-8 days old is incomplete
As of 11/24:
* 2020 was already in a fairly steep rise at this point
* Pos rate 6.27%
* Testing starting Thanksgiving tank
* Positive tests flat
* Covidestim Rt up to 0.82
2/n
.
Tests are filed by date of specimen collection, < 7-8 days old is incomplete
As of 11/24:
* 2020 was already in a fairly steep rise at this point
* Pos rate 6.27%
* Testing starting Thanksgiving tank
* Positive tests flat
* Covidestim Rt up to 0.82
2/n
.
12/4 - Cases
* Cases are batched by date received by the county
* 2020 and 2021 look nothing alike at this point
* Cases 7DMA recovering slowly from post-Thanksgiving dip to 1934
* The next 7 days should be very telling
3/n
.
* Cases are batched by date received by the county
* 2020 and 2021 look nothing alike at this point
* Cases 7DMA recovering slowly from post-Thanksgiving dip to 1934
* The next 7 days should be very telling
3/n
.
12/4 Hospitalizations - Part 1
* Both Admits & Census in a much shallower climb than 2020. At this point should not be impacted by Thanksgiving
* Covid Admits - 403 7DMA
* % of beds tagged as Covid flat at 4.5%, as is Covid census of 2886 beds
covid-texas.csullender.com
.
4/n
.
* Both Admits & Census in a much shallower climb than 2020. At this point should not be impacted by Thanksgiving
* Covid Admits - 403 7DMA
* % of beds tagged as Covid flat at 4.5%, as is Covid census of 2886 beds
covid-texas.csullender.com
.
4/n
.
12/4 Hospitalizations - Part 2
* ICU portion of the bed census declines to 913. Hanging under 1000 for 4 straight weeks
* Again, not anything like 2020. Yet. Its 9 days out from Thanksgiving so the Hospitalization numbers shouldn't be impacted.
* Sleepy
5/n
.
* ICU portion of the bed census declines to 913. Hanging under 1000 for 4 straight weeks
* Again, not anything like 2020. Yet. Its 9 days out from Thanksgiving so the Hospitalization numbers shouldn't be impacted.
* Sleepy
5/n
.
12/4 Conclusion
* Amplitude of the wave falls further behind 2020 pace, across all of the indicators
* Thanksgiving shouldn't be a factor at this point
* Next 7 days should tell us what type of wave this will be
* Could it be a smaller wave than 2020 Winter? Possible.
* Amplitude of the wave falls further behind 2020 pace, across all of the indicators
* Thanksgiving shouldn't be a factor at this point
* Next 7 days should tell us what type of wave this will be
* Could it be a smaller wave than 2020 Winter? Possible.
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