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14 Dec, 13 tweets, 4 min read
Age-Adjusted Mortality [Germany] until week 48/2021.

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus
Full year
If 2021 last 4 weeks will be the same as 2020:
By Quarter - Q1:
By Quarter - Q2:
By Quarter - Q3:
By Quarter - Q4 until week 48:
State toolbox:

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Source & Calculations for above charts here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Matrix by Bundesland and Quarter
Ranking 2020&2021:
Ranking 2021:
Ranking 2020:

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More from @USMortality

Ben M. Profile picture
15 Dec
All-cause Excess Mortality by Age Group [USA]

> There's currently about ~10k/+17% per week dying more than usual!
> If it's due to COVID-19, we must know vaccine status to asses the situation.

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus Image
6 age bands: Image
<25 years: Image
Read 5 tweets
Ben M. Profile picture
15 Dec
JUST IN: US all-cause age adjusted excess mortality has now surpassed 2020 toll! There are still 4 more weeks to go!

> 2020 Total: 411,926
> 2021 incl. week 48: 421,166

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus Image
US Map of week 46! Image
Absolute numbers: Image
Read 12 tweets
Ben M. Profile picture
13 Dec
Age-Adjusted Mortality Germany up to week 44/2021.

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus
Read 20 tweets
Ben M. Profile picture
13 Dec
Deutschland Corona Fälle, Tote, CFR

> Faelle etwa doppelt so hoch wie letzten Winter.

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus
> Tote etwa auf gleichem Niveau wie letztes Jahr.
> CFR, durch die doppelt so hohen Tests damit deutlich niedriger. Bei 0.7% zuletzt.

Bei einem Untererfassungsfaktor von 3, wäre IFR also bei 0.2% und bei 5 fast 0.1% (Grippe).
Read 4 tweets
Ben M. Profile picture
13 Dec
Weekly COVID-19 Cases, Deaths, CFR [USA]

> Currently lower than last year, but the wave might be offset by 6-8 weeks?!

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus
Deaths: Also appears to be offset by about 6-8 weeks to last year.
COVID-19 CFR
> Higher than last year!
Read 4 tweets
Ben M. Profile picture
11 Dec
Age-Adjusted Mortality [Germany] until week 46/2021.

> Pandemic start year of 2020 had a 2.8% deficit!
> 2021: +1.5% excess mortality!

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus
Here's what the full previous 5 years look like:
And this is how it'd look like if 2021 would follow the same mortality for weeks 47-52 as 2020:
Read 14 tweets

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