12/16 Texas C19 Update: Still Waiting
THREAD:
* Cases finally starting to rise but growth may be short lived
* Houston may be percolating, while ELP & AMA have peaked
* Widespread immunity? Looks that way right now
* Winter 2020 wave continues to leave 2021 in the dust
1/n
THREAD:
* Cases finally starting to rise but growth may be short lived
* Houston may be percolating, while ELP & AMA have peaked
* Widespread immunity? Looks that way right now
* Winter 2020 wave continues to leave 2021 in the dust
1/n
https://twitter.com/therealarod1984/status/1470833553273495563
12/16 Testing
Tests filed by date of specimen collection, < 8 days old is incomplete
As of 12/6:
* Pos rate flat @ 7.20% & will stay flat for a few days
* With Testing flat @ 90K/day, means Positives are flat
* New Chart comparing Positives to Cases!
* Covidestim Rt 1.18
2/n
.
Tests filed by date of specimen collection, < 8 days old is incomplete
As of 12/6:
* Pos rate flat @ 7.20% & will stay flat for a few days
* With Testing flat @ 90K/day, means Positives are flat
* New Chart comparing Positives to Cases!
* Covidestim Rt 1.18
2/n
.
12/16 - Cases
* Cases are batched by date received by the county
* Winter 2021 in a slow climb, but likely flattening in coming days.
* 2nd new chart comparing Positives to Cases, this one for the entire pandemic. Positives lead, then Cases, then conversion % trails
3/n
.
* Cases are batched by date received by the county
* Winter 2021 in a slow climb, but likely flattening in coming days.
* 2nd new chart comparing Positives to Cases, this one for the entire pandemic. Positives lead, then Cases, then conversion % trails
3/n
.
12/16 Hospitalizations - Part 1
* Admits 7DMA has actually declined to 415 the past 4 days.
* Hospital census rising at less than 5% week over week
* ELP & AMA growth is peaking
* % of beds tagged as Covid back below 5%, census at 3134.
covid-texas.csullender.com
.
4/n
.
* Admits 7DMA has actually declined to 415 the past 4 days.
* Hospital census rising at less than 5% week over week
* ELP & AMA growth is peaking
* % of beds tagged as Covid back below 5%, census at 3134.
covid-texas.csullender.com
.
4/n
.
12/16 Hospitalizations - Part 2
* ICU portion of the bed census at 967. 5.5+ weeks below 1000
* 2021 Winter wave vs 2020's isn't much of a comparison
* Added in the old hospital rate of growth chart here, as you can see, its 4% right now. El Zippo
5/n
.
* ICU portion of the bed census at 967. 5.5+ weeks below 1000
* 2021 Winter wave vs 2020's isn't much of a comparison
* Added in the old hospital rate of growth chart here, as you can see, its 4% right now. El Zippo
5/n
.
12/16 Conclusion
* Reminder that the 20 vs 21 charts have "Day #" on the X axis, not dates
* Start dates for both years are in the chart titles
* Houston might be percolating from a hospital perspective, they've had a good bump in admits past 2-3 days
* Otherwise, yawn.
6/end
* Reminder that the 20 vs 21 charts have "Day #" on the X axis, not dates
* Start dates for both years are in the chart titles
* Houston might be percolating from a hospital perspective, they've had a good bump in admits past 2-3 days
* Otherwise, yawn.
6/end
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