↪️ Opening Range Breakout (ORB):
As clear with name range breakout view after some formation in open or previously as well.
What exactly ORB mean; in formation all type of players entered in market with some view either bullish/bearish/sideways.
Normally ended with few players win and few loss. So in other word some kind of consolidation happen initially which anyone can relate big volume at initial candle.
There are various different orb setup as well timeframe, all useful but different scenarios.
From 1min to 1day orb possible context. When there is emergency in market then even 1min/3min/5min orb really useful to make decisions. 15/30/60 is most standard orb look out by various ppl but more corelation imp like opening within range or gap or after opening breaking range.
When there is gap up/down then Normally 15 mins formation and breakout important to look which give fair idea about acceptance the gap or fail to hold. Like there is Gapup but low breaking of first 15 mins then fail to hold and likely to test PDH/PDC/PDL.
If continue upside break then can be trendy one sided. Vice-versa for gapdown we normally see so many times price deadcat bounce to PDL/PDC etc imp level.
ORB mostly failed in sideways open and chances of sideways day when price keep rejecting from previous swing High/low or imp decision points. In such conditions normally 1D orb much nee to see, in other word until range not breaking don't take directional.
Otherwise sideways or insider day can kill most of the time. For clear trend always some consolidation context imp with least near by resistance or support.
Few more set-up like open drive when price open insider but after open clearly breaking previous consolidation.
I m trying to keep short info about orb, just keep it for reference and learn more from various places.
ORB just one point as explained key point to watch, there is more points to club it for clear technical.
Thanks for ur read.
Covered info:
ORB info
ORB with gap, open drive and within range behaviour.
Add few topics to learn like initial balance which I normally use in neutral system of mine, please refer old thread pinned in profile.
Gap + ORB continuation example.
Open drive, open inside + rejecting previous range same candle.
Inside day fail orb example.
Gap + ORB opposite break (unable to hold gap). Testing previous day important decision point example.
LUL Price Action. Insider day till now.
Perfect, Both side orb tested, no clear trend for intra.
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Leverage Thread 🧵
Leverage can make or break people.
Specially when we talk about derivative product which already leverage. If not aware about effect and side-effects then definitely.
Inspired by Wayne (Famous Portfolio and strategic builder).
As we know derivative product approx 6x leverage which means for 6L we normally pay 1L for taking it delivery in account. What if we take without leverage, less leverage risk exposure or even 10x leverage. Any system robustness checked by its drawdown properties.
When we can no leverage or 2x (small aggressive) most probable chance of survival in market higher, when we go by 5x-10x exposure which can easily kill in few drawdown phase, even completely.
Warren Buffett also emphasized so many times about leverage and risk.
Calendar don't work like normal straddle or vega negative. Calendar means shorting high iv and long low iv set-up if trading atm or little offset classic calendar.
Even today example, once fall create difference, then again fall make almost 5 pts iv difference as well delta mgmt avg. Eod gained quick 1% on margin within 2 hrs.
#derivatives#nse
Data analysis not an easy task as it's look like.
Today I am talking about specially long or short buildup only. Everyone knows including book says when price going up with oi up is long buildup.
But in reality only few mins or one day buildup not enough to summarise it also confirmation required after any kind of buildup.
Let's explore more...
Any big players in intra or swing trader can't enter in mkt at once it's slow process.
And took almost good time for swing trader sometimes 3-7 days even more. For intraday it's in range of 30-60 mins.
Never judge direction so soon, until after buildup range not break or if some technical combination much better (optional).
Wat today happen with nifty 16450 ce and yesterday bnf option, it can happen to anyone. Either you trade any time with sl-m. Even in stocks further worst.
Every type of system hv some limit. Suppose someone hv 100cr aum for one trade then impossible to exit at price sll or slm.
Even in urgency you can think wat will happen. Also nowadays one kind of quick money scheme like intraday option selling very famous along all ppl and everyone hv little various like 20-50% series stoploss. When they start hitting; huge demand of buyers n no sellers to fill.
Definitely smart ppl already taking advantage. Now question is how we can survive with slm? Answer is straight No. Few execution system can precise but can't ignore this problem.
Case Study of Mine Mindtree Earning trade 1. Started with 1:3 Call ratio of 4k credit approx. 2. In dip volume missing so converted to 1:2 yesterday. 3. after morning gap when ORB trigger converted into butterfly. 4. Also took CSP sell OTM put. (optional)
Overall stop 3k holding.
without CSP.
Trade started with following things in mind, liquidity on put side poor unlike call side really good liquidity also looks good vol short trade but high beta stock and as per chart and data wise choose to sell R2.