The Curve Wars are in full tilt.

The early skirmishes are being fought.

Here's everything you need to know about $CRV and $CVX (Convex), the war between protocols to accumulate them, and how you can make money on the trade.

(A thread in 3 parts) 👇
PART 1: THE LIQUIDITY PROBLEM

DEXes rely on Automated Market Makers (AMMs) to function.

These AMMs rebalance with every crypto swap/trade. With every sale, price goes down.

The more liquidity in the liquidity pool, the better, as price doesn't slip/rebalance as much.
This is important for any crypto asset, as illiquid pairs mean buyers and sellers get a worse deal.

You sometimes see this when buying microcaps. DEXes ask you to adjust slippage tolerance, which basically means the price of your asset is changing due to your trade.
With stablecoins, liquidity is even more important, as they need to hold a constant $1 price.

If there's not enough liquidity, price on DEXes fluctuates all over the place due to slippage and AMM rebalancing.

A $1 stable coin trading for $0.85 is not a stablecoin.
Let's use $SPELL as an example (I talk about it a lot).

It's a lending protocol with a stablecoin, $MIM, that is essentially their product.

$MIM gets minted against the collateral and then gets loaned out.
So if $MIM doesn't hold its peg or trades below $1, the whole system breaks.

Your loan becomes worthless, the interest rates are no longer valid, you can't trade large amounts, etc.

With too little liquidity, the stable loses its $1 peg.
How do protocols normally get liquidity? Liquidity Providers (aka yield farmers)

You can go out and earn $SPELL tokens by providing liquidity to Dexes. As compensation, you get paid in $SPELL.

But these tokens come from somewhere, which causes $SPELL supply to inflate.
As supply inflates, yield farmers sell tokens, those tokens drop in price, which makes investors poor and sad.

THE DILEMMA: protocols need liquidity for their protocols to work, but they have to pay for it, which tanks the native token.
PART 2: CURVE AND CONVEX

Curve is the #1 stablecoin DEX, with a ton of volume, so protocols use it to make sure their stablecoins have liquidity.

Some protocols use the standard model, incentivizing liquidity with their native token.

But Curve is different from other DEXes.
Curve distributes $CRV to some liquidity pools, and it allows token owners to vote on how many $CRV tokens each pool gets (via gauges).

So if your pool gets enough votes, you don't have to incentivize liquidity using your own token.

You can incentivize with Curve's token.
Which means the votes by $CRV holders allow protocols to save money.

Which makes the votes themselves WORTH money.

Enter Convex, the kingmaker.
Convex figured out that Curve was worth money not just as a governance/farm token for Curve, but as a token that could actually help out other protocols save money.

So they began to accumulate Curve.
Holders vote on where liquidity goes with Votium for $CVX and dao.curve.fi for $CRV)

Votes are valuable, so protocols seeking cheap liquidity began to offer up substantial bribes to $CVX and $CRV holders, airdropping tokens to anyone who voted in their interest.
To review, look at $SPELL again:

They want liquidity, so they bribe $CRV and $CVX holders with $SPELL tokens to vote on their $MIM liquidity pool.

This is A LOT cheaper than directly offering up $SPELL to liquidity providers

Anyone who owns CRV and CVX becomes powerful.
PART 3: THE CURVE WARS
In recent months, protocols have realized how vital the control over these votes will be to anyone who wants stablecoin liquidity.

Big names like:
• $OHM
• $FRAX
• $SPELL
• $YFI
are accumulating CRV and CVX left and right.
And it's only begun: as more and more protocols pull $CRV and $CVX off the market, they will lock it up and votes will become more and more valuable.

The Curve wars are being waged, and it is a battle among billion-dollar protocols for a scarce resource: liquidity.
My friends, if you believe in liquidity's role in crypto, if you believe that CRV and CVX will make kings...

There is but one way to win this war.

BUY.
Thanks for reading! If you liked the thread, please help me get it out to more people by RTing/Favoriting the first tweet, linked below 👇

I get my Curve info from:

@Tetranode
@noahseidman
@knowerofmarkets
@crypto_condom
@rektfoodfarmer
@B49Jme
@Pentosh1

And many more I can't mention that won't all fit here...
If you want to learn more about the fundamental analysis and narratives behind altcoins, you'd probably like my newsletter, check it out below.

And for more tweet threads like this follow me: @JackNiewold

cryptopragmatist.com/sign-up/

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More from @JackNiewold

28 Dec 21
Investing in crypto is about understanding narratives: time the narratives, ride the trade, and benefit from the momentum of an inefficient market discovering value.

Here are the narratives that will shape crypto and mint millionaires in 2022:

(THREAD)👇
1. The L1 Trade Continues

The explosive growth of non-eth L1s is not a fad, $ETH dominance is not a given.

Devs and users continue to embrace new chains in the hopes of being early.

@TaschaLabs outlines the dilemma of just rotating back to $ETH below:

We've already seen the second phase of this trade begin: check out this chart of L1 performance since the $BTC peak in November.

Most L1s tracking $BTC, $ETH flat, but tokens like $NEAR, $LUNA, and $AVAX pumping.

Understanding these rotations and riding them will be vital.
Read 12 tweets
22 Dec 21
I've officially been redpilled on Fantom ( $FTM )

Here's a thread on:

• Why I think it's undeniably undervalued
• How it could do a 5-10x in the next leg of the bull market

Check it out 👇
Non-ethereum Layer 1s (L1s) have been pumping over the last six months, with $AVAX, $SOL, $LUNA, and $BNB all going crazy.

The L1 you DON'T hear about? Fantom, which has been quietly following in their footsteps at a fraction of the market cap.
What does Fantom accomplish that ETH-killers don't already do?

It scales: Fantom operates on a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG), giving it best-in-class time to finality.

It's also compatible with the EVM, so it plays nice with AVAX, BSC, MATIC, and ETH

Read 14 tweets
19 Dec 21
$SPELL is breaking out.

A thread on price action, news, collaborations, and whether I'm bullish or bearish.
$SPELL's most recent dump was largely attributed to inflationary token supply (lots of token rewards for yield farmers).

A few weeks ago, @danielesesta promised to bring token emissions to zero. How's it going?
Pretty well. Emissions have been cut 10% across pools and are down to about 461m $SPELL per week.

At current prices, that's about $8 million worth. Not quite yet 'breaking even' from a protocol revenue perspective, but headed that way.

A long way to go.

Read 14 tweets
18 Dec 21
Anon, you deserve better.

Saturdays are not for binge-watching netflix while hungover.

Saturdays are for Alpha, anon.

Here are five of my favorite articles for gaining an edge in crypto investing:
1. 'Mastering Shitcoins' by @Dan_Jeffries1

The gold standard guide to no-BS buy-and-hold altcoin investing strategies.

I'd recommend this article to anyone just starting out with smaller-cap cryptos.

hackernoon.com/mastering-shit…
2. 'On Reflexivity and Imitation' by @mattigags

Crypto is a game, crypto is a meme.

Only once you realize that can you can figure out how to make money in this industry.

insights.deribit.com/market-researc…
Read 7 tweets
17 Dec 21
Should crypto investors buy the dip or cut their losses?

While there's a lot of discussion, most of it isn't backed by data.

Here's a thread on what the numbers tell us about altcoins bouncing back and the validity of dip-buying:👇
For simplicities sake, we're looking within market cycles, not from market cycle to market cycle.

So this thread will look at four points in time:

• April 14, BTC ATH (Peak 1)
• July 20, BTC bottom (Trough)
• November 8, BTC ATH (Peak 2)
• December 15, (Present)
First thing to look at: are alts even worth investing in?

Answer is undoubtedly, yes. Alts have beaten BTC from:

• Trough (July) - Present
• Peak 1 (Apr) - Present
• Peak 2 (Nov) - Present
Read 12 tweets
15 Dec 21
Five bullish thoughts I've had on $SPELL:

(thread) 👇
1. There's definitely a chance that @danielesesta is a manic, anarchistic autocrat and that $SPELL goes to zero.

But if he ends up being crypto's Steve Jobs, his projects could 100x.

Zero or 100x = risk/reward asymmetry.
2. This might be the first memecoin with actual utility.

I'm not sure if that's more or less powerful than something like $DOGE.
Read 9 tweets

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