DK Profile picture
1 Jan, 15 tweets, 4 min read
I am getting to a point where I cannot take #crypto haters seriously anymore:

- Coins with governance and revenue rights to a smart contracts aren’t scams. They are decentralized ownership aka equity
- It may seem absurd to have a start up valued at $100m fully-diluted but…
… that’s the point - “fully” diluted implies there will not be future (stock) issuance, so this number compares to maybe 5m$ valuation of a classic equity start up that will raise multiple rounds issuing new stock in the future
- #tether was not backed in 2017 and…
… very clearly was a criminal enterprise then. If only just for money laundering rules. But that should/will hit the people in charge. Pretending “tether isn’t backed” today and misinterpreting every other print because it fits your narrative is just dumb. Are they…
…backed with cash? No. Did they produce an audit for 2017? No (and never will). But they have a very detailed report signed by an auditor that shows they are clearly backed. Maybe you do not like what they are backed with - that’s ok. I’d never use them either. However…
… it is abundantly clear from reports signed by auditors that today, $USDT holds assets in the value of its market cap and it is absolutely crystal clear $USDC always did. The latter look fine in terms of risk IMO too. You may not like it but it’s true
- Crypto is totally…
… ESG compliant. First - ESG is easily the biggest investment scam since Madoff, but even if you believe the 5000 different rankings that include weapons manufacturers and tobacco firms, there are a lot of proof of stake chains that take care of the ‘E’ problem and…
… if you can’t see the value in the ‘S’ category for people in Turkey or Venezuela who can buy a much more stable asset (hey, maybe even a stablecoin, huh?) without their government preventing them then you’re just ignorant
- I fully agree that there have been way too…
… many scams in the space and that is still ongoing and deserves to be called out. I do frequently. But I do not think regulators should apply a 1960s law to a decentralized organization and if they do it won’t work as evidenced today. Work with the industry and find a way…
… to realistically incorporate all (yes that means KYC too) current standards in the activity and we’ll get somewhere. Blanket bans will just move innovation elsewhere.
- and since I am on the topic, yes, there is true and meaningful innovation happening across the space…
… it’s actually mind-blowing how much. Just a few: truly global organizations that do not live anywhere and have truly global teams with fully valid ownership rights, Banks are a middle man I have not used for most of my activity for a year now, NFTs do and will…
… represent ownership of real assets like houses, art, land and others and make exchanging them frictionless and cut costs. Maybe the biggest improvement: on web3 we will own our data. The universal logon is no longer owned by google. You can choose who to share what data with…
… and you won’t need to register anew with every new online shop, nor will you need to give your credit card data to an institution that gets hacked for them to charge it. It will truly be amazing.
There are countless other innovations happening from second-wise interest accrual
to running entire applications without a central server. Like it or not, #crypto is THE innovation engine of the world by now and it sucks in huge amounts of talent.

So yes, I’d call on the entire industry to embrace discussions with regulators and to call out scams actively…
… none of us that love this space want people to get scammed and none of us want Ripple execs to get away with it.

At the same time we can be adamant that current regulations aren’t adequate and need to be adapted to work with a decentralized web, because the latter is coming.
Can’t wait for the “but tether isn’t backed today they just have chinese CP and also here is an offer totally separate from the actual stablecoin that shows circle has products that use usdc that have crypto backing” replies.

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More from @dkcrypto13

2 Jan
2022 in crypto.

Pretty much every larger account that made a name trading is Bearish.

Funding is leaning negative (traders press shorts).

Everyone expects the Fed to kill the party & regulators to finish it off.

Everyone has learned crypto can only really rise if $BTC rises.
I am not sure.

I know the Fed is fighting inflation and has historically always caused a recession in doing so successfully.

I also know $BTC behaves like digital gold and gold itself is a pretty stupid idea & only really works when liquidity expands.
I also know, historically all of crypto has been extremely correlated to $BTC and its chart looks sh1t.

So these aren’t amazing conditions for a rally in crypto prices.

However, I have long held the view if crypto is to be an actual asset class, altcoins have to de-correlate.
Read 12 tweets
30 Dec 21
Assuming you have $SOL sitting somewhere and you do not wish to sell it, but want to hold it and maximize yield, here is one thing that currently works like an endless #yield loop:

1) Split the $SOL 50/50 into @MarinadeFinance and @SoceanFinance - liquid staking for 6.75% annual
2) take your $mSOL and $scnSOL (the token you receive in exchange for staking) and deposit them as collateral on @solendprotocol receiving additional 1.8% yield on those

3) borrow $SOL from solend, which is being subsidized with $SLND rewards and has a NEGATIVE borrow cost of 5%
4) take the $SOL you just borrowed and rinse / repeat steps 1-3 above as many times as you dare

5) take the final $SOL (after the last repetition you dare to do) and deposit them as collateral on @TulipProtocol for an additional yield of 5.5%
Read 14 tweets
25 Dec 21
I have thought about it enough. Jack and friends dislike #web3 because it doesn’t have copyright protections (yet) and it threatens to break the decade old model of natural monopolies forming on the web once a firm has sufficient mass in an area.
It is true that VCs get great deals in #crypto atm & it is also true some try to flip quickly. But it is also undeniably true that people who participate in #web3 own a far larger share of it than in the case of web2.0. Airdrops alone are often 4figs+ & you control your data.
Look at what happened across #crypto: mainstays like bittrex, poloniex, bitmex and even uniswap to a degree already are rapidly replaced when a better product comes along, sometimes by people forking their code. Of course, if you are in web 2.0 you are scared as fck.
Read 5 tweets
18 Dec 21
Picked up a number of under performing, high quality protocols along with some of the most strongest recently, hedged it with low quality stuff. I think we are at the point where things are so low sentiment-wise it’s difficult not to see a pop. Low qual hedges will help otherwise
Too tired to provide more reasoning, but should echo my previous few posts
This is a part of the story. Lot’s of room with this and funding to squeeze shorts.

Santa Rally in stocks = santa rally in crypto

Uncertain of course
Read 5 tweets
18 Dec 21
#crypto is in
FWIW I am in the latter category. I think both traditional markets and crypto need to shake off the fact liquidity will reduce, but the underlying drivers (economy, virus clean up, innovation) are going to win out at the end.
Separation based on utility needs to happen though. As long as memecoins are 1:1 correlated with actual working projects, #wangmi long term. But I am optimistic it will happen.
Read 4 tweets
16 Dec 21
Market musings:

So the Nasdaq Bearishly engulfed the Fed relief rally, which makes it look more and more like a short squeeze. The S&P wasn’t quite as bad, but the picture isn’t pretty for risk assets. Unless we turn around quickly, this could mean stocks are in for more pain.
As I said before, I think that crypto as a whole has become a risk asset like all others, meaning that I find it hard to see that crypto rallies extensively but stocks don’t. So therefore unless stocks recover quickly my stance will be cautious.
In an ideal world, we can get a de-coupling between $BTC and productive alts (those with actual network usage, like $ETH & $SOL). The latter have been much stronger on this rebound so that is a good start, but I am not convinced.
Read 10 tweets

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