I’m pretty excited to see $ura take a sizeable position in $u.un at month end. This could result in $80-90mm (~2 mln lbs) purchased around this month end. Will be interesting to see how much front running occurs. I think there’s a good chance we see ~$55/lb by month end.
We have the euro taxonomy announcement coming as well. Who knows how many funds will suddenly be able to add uranium exposure. It could be truly huge and between $yca and $u.un I expect we will see significant allocation to physical #uranium.
I think we will see the #uranium price double this year. Sput nyse listing. Kazakh risk, Continued growth in new builds, extensions and restarts. Production struggles, permitting delays. Another big catalyst will be when SWU starts to run and we see a real tightening of uf6
Needless to say. I’m pretty pumped.
One other point. If $ura balances and adds 5-7% weighting in $u.un as many expect based on the market cap up sput and relative weightings of $ura’s holdings then there’s likely to be selling of 5-7% of all there holdings when they rebalance
#uranium twitter has a huge bias for u stocks vs physical.

I continue to argue that $u.un and/or physical uranium will out perform many uranium stocks and presents better risk to reward. This rebalancing will likely help $u.un achieve great relative performance for month end

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More from @BambroughKevin

12 Jan
Consider that Kazakhstan owns 75% of Kazatomprom $kap via their sovereign wealth fund.

So, you have to ask yourself. What’s the point of talking about liquidating the position? And raising taxes on uranium mining at the same time?
It stinks to high heaven of manipulation if you ask me. What’s the point in raising taxes on a company that you own 75% (not much)

So do they plan to sell a block of it? All of it? And raise taxes at the same time? And the timing? Making statements about this at this time?
If they are trying to create max instability in the markets and sell there 75% stake as low as possible then these steps will likely achieve that goal. I can’t help but think that Russia/Putin might have requested some energy asset privatizations in exchange for security.
Read 4 tweets
5 Jan
@crypto if journalists were on the job they would be asking the crypto exchanges to go on record if they’ve engaged with swaps with tether and if so to declare the magnitude of the swaps they have.
Seems pretty obvious to me that Tethers commercial paper holders are nothing more than IOU’s from crypto wallet providers and crypto exchanges. The ‘ecosystem’ has pulled in crypto investor cash by the billions and given them tethers as an on ramp to begin trading crypto.
This will be the biggest story of 2022. The truth about the ponzi that is the crypto ecosystem is coming out. All those billions of inflows have in turn gone on to the balance sheets of crypto exchanges and used to fund huge advertising budgets that sucker in more people.
Read 7 tweets
5 Jan
#cryptocrash underway as the ecosystem has barely any real cash in it. The billions that has been sent to digital wallet providers have been extracted and spent on advertising to get more suckers. I’m constantly inundated with crypto related adds.
My belief is that major exchanges have engaged in tether swaps to give them a source of cheap capital. They swap commercial paper with Tether (borrow $1bln at a time from Tether in exchange for giving Tether an IOU for $1bln) then buy $1bln worth of Tether with the phoney loan.
They then have a cheap source of capital as they have been transferring tethers to client accounts and taking their cash onto their own balance sheets.

That money has gone out the the ecosystem and been spent on advertising to sucker more people in.
Read 9 tweets
5 Jan
Here’s the stats from Ontario Canada today.

Only modestly more likely to get covid without double vaccination.

+5x more likely to get hospitalized if unvaccinated

+17x more likely to end up in the ICU if unvaccinated
I’m of the belief that Covid is going to be basically over and done with after a peek in hospitalizations that will likely occur in the next 4-5 weeks at most.

Omicron and the following strains will take over and build herd immunity.
We will not be able to keep up with the mutations and spread. It’s now endemic.

Too contagious, so many people getting we will see so many strains and mutations now.
Read 6 tweets
4 Jan
#Kazakhstan is a major exporter of #coal, #oil and #gas. Worlds largest exporter of #uranium

You can bet the answer will be to subsidize local consumption with export taxes. Domestic inflation in poorer commodity producing countries that are exporters will not be tolerated
We are entering a period of global commodity based inflation that will be driven but citizens in Chile and Peru wanting more benefit from copper and other metals. Oil and gas countries the same. Indonesia banning exports as the largest seaborne exporter of #coal
The governments will have to raise wages or create subsidize/export controls to make higher commodity prices affordable for there citizens. If not they will be over run or voted out.

Strikes will be common. The leverage is now flipped to be the producers vs the consumers
Read 6 tweets
4 Jan
$tsla shareholders take such a myopic view when they celebrate and tout the companies performance. Let’s compare to Toyota.

Tsla $1T market cap and just over 1 million cars sold. Hoping for another 50% increase next year. Wow!…so what…

Toyota sells 10mln+ cars per annum
Toyota - The Alternative Powered Vehicles (APVs) category notes a new record with 134,160 in the Q3 (up 69% year-over-year), which stands for almost 28% of the total volume. Year-to-date it is 407,283 (up 123%).
Toyota has committed to spending $70b to ramp up EV sales to 3.5mm to annum level by 2030.
Read 6 tweets

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