New oped in @FT today. a thread.
ft.com/content/74089d…
I am increasingly concerned about the prospect of a disastrous war. Creative diplomacy, in addition to strong deterrence measures, is going to be necessary to avoid it.
The Biden administration and NATO allies are right to engage on the regional security issues that were tabled this week.
But if we can get a tangible drawdown of Russian forces in return, the Allies should also be up front about NATO's actual policy on Ukraine's NATO membership.
"while Ukraine is free to pursue membership, the alliance is not offering it membership at present. That is a factually accurate statement."
This is hardly a major concession...
I look forward to a respectful and substantive discussion on twitter! (hahahaha)

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Samuel Charap

Samuel Charap Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @scharap

3 Dec 21
Thanks to @IlvesToomas and David Kramer for taking the time to respond to my @POLITICOMag piece. A thread. #Ukraine #Russia 1/13
politico.com/news/magazine/…
Here's their reply. 2/13 politico.com/news/magazine/…
it's important to note two analytical disagreements. 1) They say Putin could be bluffing. No one knows for sure, but given the gravity of the military build-up and the USG concern about Russian plans, I think we should assume he's not bluffing. 3/13 Image
Read 13 tweets
2 Dec 21
Have to agree with @KofmanMichael here. Moscow is being rather clear that it is interested in something very concrete. And way beyond what Western capitals could deliver even if they wanted to do so.
see Lavrov today mid.ru/ru/foreign_pol…
particularly this -> Image
Read 4 tweets
21 Nov 21
So since I've garnered a number of new followers this weekend, I thought I'd follow up on the substance of the discussion around my @POLITICOMag article. A thread.
politico.com/news/magazine/…
Folks (particularly those hyperventilating) should recognize that this is a question about means, not ends. Everyone wants to avoid a major war in Europe, right?
If so, the question is how. Some believe that if we only whack the Russians upside the head (or threaten to do so) either via sanctions, military assistance to UA, etc., enough, then they'll reverse course, send everyone home and apologize for the trouble.
Read 17 tweets
20 Nov 21
Wanted to add a thread to the ongoing discussion in part sparked by this piece in today’s @POLITICOMag
I hope I’m wrong, but more and more signs including this @julianbarnes @nytimes story nytimes.com/2021/11/19/us/… suggest that #Russia is preparing for a major offensive
If that’s true, choices become very stark very quickly. Threatening consequences is important, but I haven’t seen anyone make a convincing case that the West is prepared to do what it takes to force #Russia to back down. So coercion alone is not going to be enough.
Read 9 tweets
17 Oct 19
A THREAD on the findings of the @RANDCorporation publication I was privileged to lead: bit.ly/30WLdJP. First, note the 21 names on the cover representing 10 countries. Including @Jim_Dobbins @JyShapiro @Olesya_vArt @DrUlrichKuehn @GwendolynSasse @YPreiherman @Prieker1 1/
And a bunch of other folks not on twitter including two from Ukraine, two from Moldova, etc. This was a unique endeavor where we set out to find common ground among representatives of countries that do not get along well, to put it mildly. 2/
We agreed on a proposal that everyone could live with —even if no one was completely satisfied. The idea was to revise the regional order particularly as it concerns the "in-between states" so as to boost security, facilitate prosperity, and better deal w/conflicts 3/
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(