We all know that the stock market will eventually recover. And the crypto market will too.

Nasdaq broke some key supports on friday, after that the crypto market entered derisk mode (people selling to preserve their capital, anticipating more downside)
The only question is how long it will take, and what will be the bottom.

NO ONE knows those answers, we could return to ATH on monday or in a few months.
I will be actively waiting, monitoring the market without feeling the rush to invest, doing some DCA in major support levels. Searching for macro bottom signals on our MBI, and most importantly waiting for our Trend System (TS) to flip bullish again.
Remember, if we zoom out, we are still bullish on a monthly perspective. This is just how the market works. If you are watching the screen all day you will get trapped in the volatility.

Define the timeframe in wich you are goint go trade.

- 4 hour timeframe or less you need to be watching the screen all day.
- Daily, just once a day (this is the one i use the most)
- Weekly... (you get the idea)
All those timeframes have different supports and resistances (sometimes they coincide).

Whatever you do, have a strategy, react methodically, you will sleep much better this way.
I will do my best to continue providing midterm perspective and answer all your comments, but for consistent updates please consider joining our Patreon (link on my profile)

As we grow our twitter it will be more difficult for me to answer all your comments here.
Not financial advice.

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More from @WalterCripto

Jan 23
$BTC Daily Trend Sytem (TS) Midterm Update

Sell 4 out of 4 Indicators

No major news today, we are still in the middle of the new 39.5k resistance and the 29.5k support. Expect high volatility on the upcoming days.

$BTC entered the oversold area on the daily so... Image
... a bounce or sideways movements is highly probable on the upcoming days. I would like to see an orange dot on the momentum vave or a bullish divergence on our DIV labels indicator to increase the chances for a stronger bounce.
IF we bounce, the most important resistance will be the 39.5k level. That is a good level to take profits if you bought the dip in the current levels.
Read 7 tweets
Jan 21
Zooming out...a lot.

Trend System (TS) Update - Monthly

Monthly trend still clearly bullish (BUY 2 out of 4 indicators) while Daily is bearish.

Bullish deacceleration signals appeared since November, soon after the Daily trend turned bearish.

Ok...time to read the thread...
Facts:
- We are above the Supertrend TR support (30K)
- We are testing the top of the ema ribbon (37K) right now.
- We have NEVER went under the emma ribbon support (currently at 22K).
Facts:
- 2 Bearish divergences appeard on November, since then downwards pressure started. (divergences are extremely powerful on the monthly)
- Trend Ride Fast is turning bearish, suggesting downwards pressure (pending to confirm)
Read 11 tweets
Jan 21
Max Bottom Identifier (MBI) Update.

Please read the complete thread for a conclusion

Our MBI seeks for convergence on multiple indicators and creates a more friendly way to understand where we are in the cycle. Use it to assess your own risk on your positions.
Facts (Possible Local Bottom):
- Current levels are similar to last 29K major bounce , but IF we close and test below the 30k resistance we need to focus on the next possible bottom.
- The bullish divergence initiated a pump but was rejected.
Facts (Possible Macro Bottom):
- We are entering the Dark Red Zone Fib area.
- We have only been there 3 times in $BTC history.
- Once we enter we always hit the dark red zone bottom (30K now)
- Bounce initiates when we TS gets red or bloody red (good level to DCA) and curves up.
Read 11 tweets
Jan 21
$BTC Trend System (TS) Midterm (days)

SELL 4 out of 4 Indicators

Plan still the same, waiting for Trend reversal , no urge to buy the dip. Let the whales play and define the way while we wait patiently.

Closed all my alts that bought near support with tight Stop loss. Image
- Supertrend TR: Bearish
- Trend Ride- Fast: Bearish
- ADX and DI TR: Bearish
- Momentum Wave: Bearish
- Mood: Waiting for trend reversal.
- Support: 39.5k (wait for daily close to see if it turns into resistance)
- Resistance: 43.2 - 46.6K
#BTC #Bitcoin
Can we bounce from here? Sure, will most probably depend on what the Nasdaq and S&P does.

This is a macro movement, not a coincidence that S&P broke macro support and so did $BTC.

Personally won't gamble, will wait for the trend.
Read 7 tweets
Jan 21
Trend System (TS) Update $BTC Midterm

SELL 4 out of 4 Indicators

- Supertrend TR: Bearish
- Trend Ride- Fast: Bearish
- ADX and DI TR: Bearish
- Momentum Wave: Bearish
- Mood: Waiting for trend reversal.
- Support: 39.5k
- Resistance: 43.2K
#BTC #Bitcoin Image
Strategy DOES NOT change, only small DCA, waiting for trend reversal before any large investment.

I sound like a broken record now probably, but it is for a reason, no need to risk my capital trying to buy every single dip. If $BTC goes to 100k we won't miss it.
Also Max Bottom Indicator (MBI) local bottom scenario still on play, same level of resistance (39.5K) than Trend System (TS). Love when that confluence happens.

Read 6 tweets
Jan 20
Miners also accumulating. Not as relevant as before, but needs to be considered.

This combined with the chart indicating Long Term Holders buying is very powerful.

I continue DCA, and waiting for the trend reversal before major investment, but this data boost confidence. Image
Waiting for trend, using the Trend System (TS)
Read 4 tweets

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