Follow on question i am thinking about : t series, tips, saregama are all growing topline at 20-30% at least. Toh fir if industry is only growing 12-15% (saregama investor presentation) who is losing market share ?
I am analysing their growth numbers (for the main YouTube channels). Looks like: 1. Tips is growing subscribers at 15%, views at 25% cagr 2. Saregama is growing subscribers at 30%, views at 40% cagr
Can be part of reason for valuation differential.
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Mango music is growing subs at 15%, views at 25%. In fact this combo is most common among all the different labels.
T series stands out. Growing subs at 20%, views at 27% cagr. Despite being largest YT channel on earth.
Aditya music has been referenced by people multiple times.
Aditya music is growing subs & views at 65-80% cagr. Absolute monster growth happening here.
With investors like @LuckyInvest_AK ashish Kacholia sir investing in it, let us look at one of the largest listed e-pharmacies & why I invested in it 8 months ago.
Get ready for a long 🧵. Focus on process.
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A 🧵🧵🧵 on SastaSundar ⤵️
Outline:
0. Disclaimers 1. Industry Structure & Tailwinds 2. Business Model 3. Growth 4. Profitability 5. Equity Dilution & Fund raising 6. Digital Scuttlebutt 7. Valuations 8. Anti-thesis
0. Disclaimer
Before I start, some disclaimers. My sole reason to share these threads is to share with everyone how I do my research. It is to demonstrate to the retail investor the various ways in which they can have an edge over institutions.
The market expectations were tall. it was at TTM 37 p/e before results. The results are sort of a mixed bag.
1. The revenue growth was ONLY 4% QoQ. That's low given that even larger ones like Infy are growing at 7% QoQ.
In b/w lines: Management mentions that main reason is seasonality. Furlows in Q3 (lot of client development also stops in Q3). Management also mentions that 9M growth is 29% so longer term growth is strong.
Saregama Q3 result key takeaways: 1. Carvaan sales have picked up to 1.41 cr. But no new capital allocation here. QIP money deployed into music only.
In b/w lines:
No marketing spends on Carvaan.
Still multi quarter high sales volume. All the 700cr raised in QIP will only be deployed into music streaming & artiste management.
Wait what?
Look at the the right side of this pic. This is 1st time saregama has talked about entering artiste management space. They want to find & nurture young talent, give them saregama songs & then get a share of their earnings when they perform in real life. Interesting.