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Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
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Jan 27 • 7 tweets • 4 min read
To recap a big year:

GDP growth under Biden more than 3 times each of last 3 GOP Presidents

Job growth under Biden 3 times last 3 GOP Presidents COMBINED

40m of 42m jobs created since 1989 - 95% - have come under Dem Presidents.

A thread: 1/
That the economy performs so well under Democrats and does so poorly under Republicans is perhaps the most important least understood story in American politics today.

40m of 42m jobs created since 1989 - 95% - have come under Dem Presidents. 2/
The performance of the US economy in 2021 was truly remarkable.

Strongest GDP growth in almost 40 years.

Over 6m jobs created, three times as many as were created by last 3 GOP Presidents COMBINED. 3/

ndn.org/biden-more-job…
All this growth took place in a time of enormous adversity, and is truly a sign that the "can do" American spirit is alive and well.

A truly remarkable stat - more new businesses were formed last year than any year in American history. 4/

ndn.org/america%E2%80%…
Despite Biden's success as a steward of the US economy, and decades of Dems success which proceeded 2021, Rs has an advantage over Ds on the economy today.

Changing that, winning the econ argument w/Rs should be Dems highest political priority now. 5/

ndn.org/memo-dems-need…
We hosted @robshapiro for a discussion abt what he calls "The Biden Boom."

Watch our talk, read his two recent essays in the @monthly below.

As an architect of Clinton econ plan which created 4% GDP growth over 8 yrs his insights are invaluable. 6/

ndn.org/video-rob-shap…
@robshapiro @monthly And was pleased to be able to talk about the Biden Boom, and how Dems should need to fight to get the credit they deserve for our good work in this new, lively @deepstateradio discussion. 7/

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More from @SimonWDC

Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Jan 7
It's #JobsReport day so time to update our jobs tracker.

The topline:

34m jobs = 16 yrs Clinton Obama
6.2m jobs = 11 months Biden
2m jobs = 16 years 2 Bushes Trump

Already 3 times as many Biden jobs as last 3 GOP Presidents, COMBINED. 1/
Breaking it down by month, jobs have been created at more than 50 times the rate under Biden as under the last 3 GOP Presidents.

Biden = 565k/month
Clinton/Obama = 176k/month
Bushes/Trump = 10k/month

Incredibly, GOPers saw only 10k jobs created per month over 16 years. 2/
During what has been one of the best years for the American economy in modern history, the unemployment rate has come down 2.4 pts, down now to a very low 3.9%.

In contrast the last 3 GOP Presidents all brought recessions, and rising unemployment rates. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Jan 5
There are few things that have been more foundational to current DC conventional wisdom than redistricting was going to be a disaster for Ds, hand the House to the Rs.

Turns out that hot take was wrong. '22 map will be far better for Dems than CW held. 1/
cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…
As a veteran of many election cycles here in DC, it is my professional opinion than when it comes to the 2022 elections I would rather be us than them.

Rs have doubled down on MAGA, a politics the country rejected in the last 2 elections. 2/

ndn.org/3-reasons-why-…
On most issues which will matter to the 2022 battleground - COVID, our democracy, health care, climate, choice - the GOP is way out of the mainstream, not competitive.

Just not going to be easy to sell a party of insurrectionists to suburban voters. 3/

ndn.org/saliency-index…
Read 6 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Dec 13, 2021
The organizing event on Jan 6th was called the "Save America March." We all need to sit on that a bit.

It was a march from the White House to Congress to "save America." What other possible action could they be taking to "save America" other than stopping the vote count? 1/
Trump's formal call to arms to his supporters was made in an official speech from the White House on July 4, 2020, a speech that deserves far more attention than it has gotten. 2/

simon-rosenberg.medium.com/republicans-ha…
The key passage:

“American heroes defeated the Nazis, dethroned the fascists, toppled the communists, saved American values...chased down the terrorists to the very ends of the earth. We are now in the process of defeating the radical left, the Marxists, the anarchists....3/
Read 6 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Dec 3, 2021
My headline for today:

“3 times as many jobs created in Biden’s first ten months as were created under last 3 GOP Presidents, combined”
OK, kicking off our monthly thread which shows how much better Dems have been for US economy over past 3 decades. 2 stats:

95% of all jobs created since 1989 have come under Dem Presidents

3 times as many jobs have been created under Biden than last 3 GOP Presidents, combined
The last 3 Republican Presidents brought recessions and rising unemployment rates.

The last 3 Dem Presidents have brought growth, rising wages, lower unemployment rates.
Read 8 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Nov 12, 2021
1/So every 2 weeks when @NavigatorSurvey drops its data, I create something I call a "Saliency Index" using their top 4 most important issue question.

The index takes the data and projects what it looks like for our likely voters in swing district/state.

navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/upl…
2/Here it is:

COVID 59%
Economy/Jobs 57%
Health Care 42%
Climate/Extreme Weather 34%
Soc Sec/Medicare 33%
Inflation 27%
Govt Corruption 23%
Immigration 21%
Nat Security 19%
Violent Crime 17%
Afghanistan 11%
Abortion 11%
3/My model is 80% D, 15%I, 5% R which is what the composition of the electorate who votes for a Democratic candidate in a swing state/district might look like.

Goal here is to help us understand where the head is at of the voters we need to talk too.
Read 8 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Nov 9, 2021
It is time now for Dems to shift their strategy from selling things which have not yet happened to the things which have - ARP, COVID, recovery.

If we can’t get credit for things we’ve done we won’t for things we haven’t.

2022 will be about whether we led US into recovery.
If Democrats cannot credit for our core promise to voters in 2020 - defeating COVID, securing the recovery - we will not get credit for passing bills whose impacts will not be felt for years.
Best way to sell BBB and infrastructure is by defeating COVID and securing the recovery, and explaining and getting credit for it. That is job #1.

Don’t think there’s any politics/comms rn outside COVID/recovery frame.

FFS COVID may be most disruptive thing to hit US ever.
Read 7 tweets

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