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Ben M.

@USMortality

Feb 2

🚨 US states with a higher fully vaccinated #Covid19 population, saw an increase in all-cause mortality in Q4/2021 compared to Q4/2020!
Slight positive Pearson correlation is visible R2=0.22, p=0.00.
#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

When comparing mortality and the impact of vaccination from an epidemiological perspective, it is important to look at similar time periods and then assess the impact of the vaccines.
Some jump to early conclusions, when just looking at a single time period:

Here's the same chart with Q4/2020 data. As we can clearly see, there was already a strong difference/slope in mortality even without any vaccination.
Likely explanation for this are other con-founders such as, general health, drug use, co-morbidities, obesity, etc.

Read 6 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

Jan 27

Weekly US Mortality Update!
> 2021 coming in at ~+16% excess mortality while 2020 was at +13.6%.
> 2022 starting off with almost the same slope as 2021.
#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

Excess mortality ranking since pandemic start:
> Highest 3: Arizona, New Mexico, Wyoming
> Lowest 3: New Hampshire, Vermont, Hawaii
> Florida is slightly ahead of California with 17.7% and 17.9% respectively.
> Florida only slightly above US average of 17%.

Excess mortality remains high even in 2022. Currently at around +23% for the latest week 2/2022.

Read 11 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

Jan 25

🚨 BREAKING: Hospital data from Germany shows clear correlation between in hospital diagnosis for vaccine complications and COVID-19 vaccinations!
#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

Sources & Calculations: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

ICD Codes:

- Y59.9: Complications due to vaccines or biological substances
- T88.0: Infection following immunization
- T88.1: Other complications following immunization, not elsewhere classified
- U12.9: COVID-19 vaccines causing adverse effects in therapeutic use, unspecified

Read 6 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

Jan 25

🚨 JUST IN: Germany's All-cause Excess Mortality in 4th quarter highest in last 7 years, despite 84% of adults are fully vaccinated!
> Excess Mortality in Q4/2020: +9.4%, while 2021 comes in at +11.5%
> 82.9% of excess coded as COVID-19
#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

The first 2 weeks of the new year, is also setting a new record at +16.8% excess mortality above 5y age-adjusted baseline!

In summary, though we can say that there's essentially no excess mortality in Germany in both years of 2020/2021. Small fluctuations of +-1% are within error range, also keeping in mind, that detailed age population data for 2021 is still missing.

Read 8 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

Jan 24

JUST IN: Last weeks COVID19 US CFR drops to 0.33%!
Lowest since pandemic start.
#Covid #Corona #Coronavirus #Covid19

CFR is a function of Deaths devided by ...

Cases.

Read 6 tweets

Ben M.

@USMortality

Jan 22

🚨 JUST IN: New Study by German Prof. Kuhbandner shows clear correlation between vaccination an excess mortality for each German state!
#Covid #Covid19 #Corona #Coronavirus

Read 6 tweets

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