How different is Omicron (o) ?
(more points for thought)
I took the %🧬 in different countries at the 3 genomic take overs:
α Vs. basal lineages
Δ Vs. α
o Vs. Δ
1/7
(more points for thought)
I took the %🧬 in different countries at the 3 genomic take overs:
α Vs. basal lineages
Δ Vs. α
o Vs. Δ
1/7
In each country I took the %🧬 from when there is at least 1% after which there is a steady increase (to prevent bias from low coverage /borders🧬 ) and until it reached ~80 % (or the local peak). Just to mark the main local rise.
2/7
2/7
The separation between the rise in the country of origin and the other countries does not demonstrate that the variant broke the borders only after it took over nationally as the data are lacking the initial lag growth phase which theoretically prolonged the graphs.
3/7
3/7
Aside the slope, o’s global takeover characterized by a shorter period. Further evidence for its Rt.
So what effected most of o's Rt - R0 or immune evasion? α faced no vaccine and low recovery %, not much immunity to evade. Didn't came close to o's dynamics. Is it a hint?
4/7
So what effected most of o's Rt - R0 or immune evasion? α faced no vaccine and low recovery %, not much immunity to evade. Didn't came close to o's dynamics. Is it a hint?
4/7
Regarding the focus here on 3 VOC’s, it’s purely as they are the 3 global takeover events.
In terms of VOCs the R Indeed correlates to the time of their rise : β <α <γ <Δ <ο.
But, the 5 VOCs were defined as such only because of their high R… at the time they rise.
5/7
In terms of VOCs the R Indeed correlates to the time of their rise : β <α <γ <Δ <ο.
But, the 5 VOCs were defined as such only because of their high R… at the time they rise.
5/7
But (!) : There were dozens upon dozens of variants that came up on the global radar. Many faced Δ more successfully than α,β and even γ, but since they arrived after the diminish of basal lineages, their R didn’t appear to be special.
They are VOCs no less than α, β &γ.
6/7
They are VOCs no less than α, β &γ.
6/7
here some variants which origin is estimated which succeeded for a local taking over (in a way) and their local rise.
These are just a sample, There was a variety of variants. But than Δ took over and raised the bar of R to get spotted In the global🧬 radar. until... o.
7/7
These are just a sample, There was a variety of variants. But than Δ took over and raised the bar of R to get spotted In the global🧬 radar. until... o.
7/7
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