No. of likes and retweets decide the same #priceaction
SMC - 1
As promised I will share some general ideas about SMART-MONEY CONCEPTS, consider this as the first installment of that.
In this, I will discuss the following
โกHow to assess the HTF structure?
โกHow to develop a directional bias?
โกHow to refine your entry-exits?
The simplest form of doing trades based on trend alignment is to decide and stick to the decided TIME FRAME.
For Eg.
For deciding HTF structure - Check 1 Hour chart
For developing directional bias - Check 15 Min chart
For refining your entry - exits - Check 5 Min chart
On this H1 chart, it is evident that the stock is breaking out of multiple bases and is holding above the key SR flip level. So far things are looking bullish. So what we should do is mark out the key levels and zones on the H1 chart to get a better view
Cont..
On this chart, we can see the following aspects
โกA significant SR FLIP zone which has led to even break in structure and tested multiple times
โกA swing low below which there is a good amount of liquidity (green dot)
โกA liquidity gap lying just below the swing low (blue box)
โกA significant demand zone which has led to a break in market structure on the upside
Now we go down to the M15 chart to get a confluence because when H1 is bullish we need M15 to also show the same then only we can take LONG trades on M5
On M15 the same is getting reflected
On M15 the range is visible in a much better manner, so it also plotted
It is also evident from M15 that it is prudent to buy from the demand zone rather than looking for shorts in form of scalps
If you are interested in knowing 'WHY I HAVE PLOTTED A GREEN CIRCLE?'
Read On..
On M5 I have separated the trading day with a purple vertical line. So here the stock does the following
โกBreaks the 'Market Structure'
โกFalls back into the demand zone
๐ขGREEN SIGNAL TO GO LONG
Now let's understand these๐
โกThe reason why I have not marked any demand zone in that green circle zone is that under it there is liquidity and there are good chances that the liquidity will be taken off
โกThe reason why demand zone is marked out on M5 below the range is one there is liquidity (swing low)
and second, there is a liquidity gap is required to be filled
So what I was looking for
Liquidity Grab + Liquidity Fill โ Formation Demand Zone โ Tap into the Demand Zone = LONG
There is one more thing which you should not miss out is, everything is happening above the SR FLIP ZONE
NOTE THIS๐
โกConsider only that DEMAND ZONE / OB which leads to a break in market structure (MSB)
โกTrades should be taken during the first/second test of the zone
Now there are many aspects which are required to be discussed
โกZones / OB
โกLiquidity
โกRanges
โกEquilibrium...
which I will discuss in the upcoming parts seeing the response on this thread
If found interesting 'LIKE' and 'RETWEET'
โข โข โข
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In this market environment, I think we all are encountering one simple problem. Breakouts are fizzling out so don't you think that we should have at least one method by which we can handle such fizzled breakouts and trade in the opposite direction
So let's take a deep dive
We all know that from failed moves come faster moves but the problem here is we just see the same happening on screen and are not able to capitalize on the same. See the below-attached image for few seconds I think you will get the tone of further discussion
If you have observed carefully you must have understood that these encircled regions are the 'FAILED BREAKOUTS'. Now you can take out your charts and find out such failed breakouts you will observe that when the price moves out of range
Do you want to create GOOGLE SHEET SCREENER which shows those stocks which are BREAKING OUT 20 DAY HIGH and 20 DAY LOW?
The concept propounded by SIR RICHARD DONCHIAN
Let's take a deep dive
If you find this interesting then feel free to TAG๐, LIKE๐ and RTโป
Donchain Channel is a very interesting Trend Following Tool which looks as shown below. The UPPER LINE is called UPPER BOUNDARY and the LOWER LINE is called LOWER BOUNDARY. Trades can be set up in two manners 1. Trend Continuation 2. Trend Fading(Turtle Soup - Ref. Street Smart)
The problem over is not the trading part the main problem is to screen out those stock during the market hour or EOD basis for figuring out those stocks which are breaking out of UB or LB. Google Sheets can do a fair amount of job in screening out those stocks
LEARNING POST
[Refining your ENTRIES based on MARKET STRUCTURE]
In this post I will make an attempt to share a simple but effective way of getting into TRADE with LOW RISK
If you find it interesting feel free to "RT"
So let's get started
Most of the time when we want to trade LONG we generally look for a classical pattern of UPTREND i.e. HIGHER HIGH - HIGHER LOW which is the first confirmation to trade LONGS
(See the image for better understanding)
Secondly what we look for is we wait for the price to retrace to the zone where it prior faced RESISTANCE and now it will be acting as SUPPORT and from thereon we will initiate LONG based on the concept of ROLE REVERSAL / CHANGE OF POLARITY
Let's discuss about PRICE ACTION PATTERN which gets repeated again and again but that FEAR OF MISSING OUT (FOMO) over rides and people do wrong trade
In this post I will try to explain about human mindset when PRICE starts moving higher/lower
If you find this interesting
"RT"
See in this image you are able to see that price is moving higher from a zone which is marked with horizontal boundaries and from there price moves up without looking back
Let say in this manner that if this much PRICE ACTION is present in front of you where you will take a trade
Accordingly there will be two categories of traders 1. Those who will try to take trade at CMP 2. Those who are waiting for PRICE to retrace back to POINT-A and then take a trade
You know why people will be ready to take trade at CMP because of one simple reason "CONFIDENCE"
In this is post I will make an attempt to explain DEMAND - SUPPLY ZONE. Before we proceed some basic idea about DEMAND-SUPPLY.
1. DEMAND > SUPPLY: Price will RISE 2. SUPPLY > DEMAND: Price will FALL 3. SUPPLY = DEMAND: Price will CONSOLIDATE
When the price RISES/FALLS there is an IMBALANCE which is created and if in this IMBALANCE DEMAND > SUPPLY then you will see PRICE WILL RISE. On the contrary if in this IMBALANCE SUPPLY > DEMAND then you will see PRICE WILL FALL.
There will a point of time when the MARKET WILL REACH AN EQUILIBRIUM POINT that is the point where DEMAND = SUPPLY and the PRICE starts CONSOLIDATING or the PRICE will start moving in a RANGE
LEARNING POST:
Normally I see many traders getting confused in deciding if its DISTRIBUTION/RE-ACCUMULATION. So let me make an attempt to explain how I panned myself in understanding the process of DISTRIBUTION.
Firstly its more important to know that every stock has FOUR PHASES
ACCUMULATION - MARKUP - DISTRIBUTION - MARK DOWN
(Refer the image for better understanding)
After the stock has gone passed through the phase of MARKUP it will set a PEAK (POINT-A) then the stock will move down and set a TROUGH(POINT-B).
Cont..
Up to POINT-B everything is going as usual and every body is thinking that the stock has retraced little bit and there is profit booking. But the actual part of analysis begins at POINT-C wherein you are able to see that the stock is not able to sustain above PEAK (POINT-A)
Cont.