Media, governments & influencers are often accused of "fear-mongering". Such strategy would clash with insights on risk-communication: doi.org/10.1111/bjhp.1…. Effective communication is clear about the threat *&* how to deal with the threat. Actionable advice builds hope. (2/8)
During the pandemic, we examined the relative efficacy of threat- & hope-oriented communication. The context was the race between the Alpha variant & implementation of vaccines. The need was to "buy time" via stronger interventions until vaccines took effect. (3/8)
We created a #BuyTime visual aid & conducted an experiment with more than 3000 Americans. The "Threat" condition showed & explained only the sky-rocketing infections from the new variant. The "Hope" condition included the threat *&* the solution, e.g., in terms of vaccines. (4/8)
The Hope Condition increased perceptions of infectious variants as threats, motivations to adhere to advice from authorities, understandings of how to pull through the pandemic, & why stronger measures are needed. The Threat Condition mostly had none of these effects. (5/8)
The importance of these findings is clear from a 2nd multi-country study (🇺🇸🇮🇹🇭🇺🇫🇷🇬🇧🇸🇪🇩🇪🇩🇰). Many had heard about the variant. Yet, fewer were worried & even fewer acted on the worry. To create behavior change from knowledge about the threat, actionable advice is needed. (6/8)
Communicators should not just tell people what to fear. Tell them how they & society can deal with it. It is not about "hopium" but about "empowerment". Hope is grounded in actionable advice. With rampant fatigue & conflict, this is as important as ever. (7/8)
PSA to anyone interested in informing public discourse about the severity of the epidemic situation in Denmark (and maybe elsewhere):
Show extreme care when sharing screenshots of cases & admissions from @OurWorldInData or similar
Let me explain in 3 plots. (1/6)
Omicron generates very high case counts but lower severity, disrupting the indicators & patterns we have all been tracking for 2 years.
The plots I'll now show are all from Danish Center for Disease Control's (@SSI_dk) weekly monitoring report: ssi.dk/-/media/cdn/fi…. (2/6)
#1
With a lot of infections many will be admitted with but not because of covid. The plot below shows the development. Red is "because of". Right now only 55 % of admissions with a positive test are because of covid. (3/6)
Twitter is so terrible because with social media even the illiterate masses get to voice their views, right?
Wrong.
In a new preprint, we find that the most hateful in political discussions are more resourceful: Engaged, efficacious & educated: psyarxiv.com/tp93r/
🧵(1/10)
We obtained US survey participants' Twitter IDs in order to connect their psychological & political profile to Twitter activity (N=2012). In addition to toxicity & sentiment, we assessed their tweets' level of political hate with this classifier: psyarxiv.com/8m5dc/. (2/10)
Our preferred measure ("political hate") is significantly predicted by political engagement, political interest, internal efficacy and education. For toxicity and sentiment, results are in the same direction. We see no evidence that hostility is higher among the unengaged. (3/10)
Today, Denmark lifted *all* restrictions, while cases are soaring.
The international reaction: Disbelief.
I am leading the largest Danish project on pandemic behavior & I am advising the gov.
Here is why Danes are still supportive. And what may be learned from this.
🧵(1/19)
The graph is from here: ft.com/content/037a3a…. It shows the complexity of the epidemic situation. Cases are extremely high, hospitalizations are rising and deaths are rising slowly too. But people in ICUs are dropping. (2/19)
Despite this, a clear majority of the public supports removing all restrictions (nyheder.tv2.dk/samfund/2022-0…). A minority (28 %) is concerned. (3/19)
Den faldende støtte afspejler sig også i en faldende opbakning til en række restriktioner. Der er stadig flertal for en række - også hårdere - restriktioner, men niveauet er faldende. (2/10)
Faldet i opbakning kan skyldes en faldende bekymring. Folk er lige nu mere optimistiske end bekymrede. Og de er (en anelse) mere bekymrede for nedlukninger end for deres eget helbred. Der er dog stadig høj bekymring for hospitalernes kapacitet. (3/10)