Don't be freaked out by this. The chances that President Biden has the intel that Putin is about to invade are spectacularly low. @McFaul's own earlier remark, that not even the people close to Putin know what will happen next, remains the best judgement.
#UkraineConflict 1/3
#UkraineConflict 1/3
https://twitter.com/McFaul/status/1494814281505796097
The West's assertion that Putin is about to invade is a counter narrative: we can debate whether it's successful or not.
But it's most likely not based on real intelligence.
Western journalists have interpreted it as information, but it's not. It's a narrative war.
2/3
But it's most likely not based on real intelligence.
Western journalists have interpreted it as information, but it's not. It's a narrative war.
2/3
The Russians are actually thrown by this narrative and its amplification by Western media.
It violates their principle: talk to us, because we are crazy.
The Russians are trying to respond with a counter counter narrative - but unsuccessfully.
3/3
It violates their principle: talk to us, because we are crazy.
The Russians are trying to respond with a counter counter narrative - but unsuccessfully.
3/3
https://twitter.com/ArkadyOstrovsky/status/1494693218826469380?s=20&t=mDoX1UE8FjRiuCAJ6VWSXA
And what does the Russian response look like?
Like this. A real evacuation on the basis of a faked threat.
Innocent people are being crammed into buses and taken to the Rostov area, where nothing awaits them, just to create a picture for Russia TV
Like this. A real evacuation on the basis of a faked threat.
Innocent people are being crammed into buses and taken to the Rostov area, where nothing awaits them, just to create a picture for Russia TV
https://twitter.com/guardiannews/status/1494729985403371527?s=20&t=W6d5QZcYvAMwaIDsR89ZhA
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