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Robert E Kelly Profile picture
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Feb 22 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Fox’ coverage of Ukraine has been revealing:

They desperately want to lead with the Canadian truckers, but Ukraine is too important so they can’t.

But then they can’t actually do much U reporting, bc they’ve almost no actual news gathering reporters. They usually just crib

1
from the WSJ and other news networks. So they haven’t the capacity to actually go to Ukraine as CNN has done. So their straight U reporting is just terrible.

And then when the opinionating starts, the hosts don’t whether to call Biden weak or cheer on Putin. The hosts know

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the old-style GOP talking point that Dem presidents are craven sissies.

But Fox’ actual viewership is filled with Trump-worshiping MAGA seditionists who want Putin to help Trump again in 2024.

So the hosts just flail until they can switch to the convoy and comfortably once

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again compare Biden and Trudeau to Hitler or Mao, because we all know the Canadian government is rife with Soros-sponsored fascist communist totalitarians who hate freedom, guns and God.

Good times

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As I was saying, MAGA seditionists openly support Putin and don’t mind if he absorbs Ukraine, probably bc Ukraine didn’t help Trump win in 2020

5

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More from @Robert_E_Kelly

Robert E Kelly Profile picture
Feb 23
Everything here is wrong for reasons typical of lazy, knee-jerk MAGA analysis:

1. Deterrence is deeply structured by local & historical factors. Defeats in one place don’t necessarily drive expansionism elsewhere. The Soviets also withdrew from Afghanistan, in the 80s. That

1
didn’t encourage the US to attack Mexico or West Germany to attack E Germany. When the US withdrew from Vietnam, the only dominoes to fall were Laos and Cambodia. All the credibility fears of the 60s were overblown. The US right’s fetishization of US presidential ‘weakness’ as

2
a driver of foreign dictators’ bad behavior is really just a tell of their American parochialism - everything must be about us! - and their ignorance of other countries & the particulars of their conflicts. In this case, Putin’s been banging on against Ukrainian independence

3
Read 7 tweets
Robert E Kelly Profile picture
Jan 24
🧵

The Ukraine media coverage is mirroring last summer’s Afghan withdrawal commentary - the same tropes, hyperventilating, belligerence, and blob writers.

Bleh. The sheer cut-and-paste laziness coupled to endless belligerence is as embarrassing as it is exhausting.

No need

1
to learn about these places or re-consider given that US interventionism since the Gulf War has been at best a mixed bag, at worst a disaster.

You can always make the same claims about American ‘weakness’ contrasted with autocratic ‘strength’;

make the same analogies to the

2
1930s, Chamberlain, or Carter;

demand the same absurdly aggressively redlines to trigger US intervention;

breezily recommend relentless escalation which you can later disclaim as ‘badly implemented’ when it turns into a disaster;

make the same arguments about any crisis

3
Read 17 tweets
Robert E Kelly Profile picture
Jan 17
My latest for @19_forty_five

I've always thought China overvalues N Korea as a 'buffer.'

TLDR:

"China’s support for NK alienates much of the world. It undercuts any claim to Chinese principled or benevolent leadership. It tars Beijing with partial

1

19fortyfive.com/2022/01/could-…
responsibility for every outlandish act Pyongyang engages in. It provides ongoing justification for a large US presence in northeast Asia. It empowers a nuclear-armed regime which does not listen to Beijing and routinely violates the most basic norms of global governance. It

2
spreads corruption and rot in the Chinese banking system, and among party and military elites with connections to NK. It proliferates. It dealt meth in China. And the conventional deterrent value purchased for all this headache is decreasing as US/allied technology outstrips

3
Read 4 tweets
Robert E Kelly Profile picture
Jan 14
The decline of the liberal international order and the United States are not the same thing.

An LIO requires liberal foreign policy behavior from even illiberal states, esp. China & Russia. This was always a tenuous outcome, and it required huge liberal power - i.e., American

1
unipolarity and strong coordination in the Free World - to push liberal global rules (WTO, IMF) on states ideologically & nationalistically uncomfortable with extreme American dominance.
As unipolarity has receded in the last decade, so has the ability of the US and Free World

2
to push China, Russia, and others into an LIO. Hence all the talk about its collapse.

This is mostly the result of China's rise and consequent US relative decline. But the US worsened this drift back toward bipolarity by repeated errors like Iraq, the Great Recession, and

3
Read 6 tweets
Robert E Kelly Profile picture
Jan 11
Specifically, doesn’t an ‘end of war’ declaration imply that N Korea will stop its border provocations?

This is both an obvious and persuasive argument for the EoW.

So why aren’t proponents making it?

I’d bet many skeptics would oppose it much less if this were part of it.

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The reason they’re not making this obvious argument is also obvious, and illustrates why the whole EoW debate is pointless:

N Korea will not stop provoking SK or even consider surrendering that card - even though it’s the very logic of the declaration!

And even if NK said it

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would, no one serious would believe them.

NK can’t make credible commitments on any major issues anymore. Their long history of mendacity and provocation undercuts the whole point of something as grandiose as this EoW.

This is why I always argue to start small with NK. Go

3
Read 6 tweets
Robert E Kelly Profile picture
Jan 6
The S Korean right is gonna blow an election they easily could win. 5 years after Park Geun Hye, & they still haven’t got their act together.

SK left has policy ideas, like them or not. I’m not sure anyone knows what the right stands for besides a vaguely hawkish foreign policy
This is what I mean. Watch the S Korean right self-destruct for no good reason

m-en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN202201…
This is why S Korea needs a functional conservative party. The S Korean left’s toadying to N Korea is just appalling
Read 4 tweets

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