Kai Kupferschmidt Profile picture
Feb 22 8 tweets 2 min read
“We provide evidence that Omicron BA.2 reinfections do occur shortly after BA.1 infections but are rare”

Interesting preprint from Denmark looking at 47 cases of BA.2 infections coming shortly after BA.1 infection.

.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.02.19.22271112v1.full.pdf
Of these 47 cases:
42 (89%) were not vaccinated,
3 (6%) were vaccinated twice,
2 (4%) had one vaccination.

For comparison: In Denmark on the whole:
81% are vaccinated twice and 62% have received the booster.
None were hospitalized or died in follow-up period.
"Detailed information of symptoms was obtained for 33 of the cases, whereof most of them reported symptoms during both infections … The distribution of reported symptoms did not differ markedly between the two infections"
Still find sentences like this absolutely staggering in so many ways:

"Between November 21, 2021, and February 11, 2022, a total number of ~1.8 million individuals (32% of the Danish population) tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 in Denmark by PCR."
"The reinfection rate appears to be low given the high number of positive SARS-CoV-2 tests during the study period but still highlights the need for continuous assessment of length of vaccine-induced and/or natural immunity"
Authors make 2 interesting points:
1. "Given the short time period between infections it could be reasonable to re-evaluate the definition by ECDC that requires two positive samples with more than 60 days apart in order to consider reinfection."
2. Most reinfections were in people below the age of 30 "and the majority of these cases were not vaccinated, further emphasizing the enhanced immunity obtained by the combination of vaccination and infection compared to infection induced immunity only."
Here is the link to the preprint (link in first tweet was incomplete)

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…

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More from @kakape

Feb 21
I attended a little roundtable today with key people at @WHO ahead of this week’s 3rd #COVID19 Global Research and Innovation Forum. There was no news, but some interesting comments so a quick thread:
England dropping all restrictions came up of course.
“It's a period of great uncertainty”, @DrMikeRyan said.
“I think a lot of people even in the UK are choosing to wear their masks indoors, are choosing to wear their masks on public transport.”
“Whether their governments continue to mandate that activity is an issue for national policy. But I certainly know from my own perspective, I'll be wearing my mask on public transport and indoor spaces probably for a good while yet”, @DrMikeRyan said.
Read 17 tweets
Jan 18
After spending many weeks reporting on #omicron, I spent the first two weeks of 2022 having omicron.
It inevitably feels like a defeat of sorts after two years of avoiding the virus. But I’ve studied infectious diseases long enough to know that’s not helpful - or even the point.
Like many vaccinated and boostered people, I experienced a mild infection.
Of course I wonder what the experience would have been like with no prior immunity at all.
I’m privileged. I got three doses. One third of the world population has gotten zero doses so far.
Delivery of vaccines to low- and middle-income countries has been picking up and COVAX recently delivered its one billionth dose.
That’s good news.
But the way we have handled global access to vaccines overall has been bad.

Read 5 tweets
Jan 12
"Last week, more than 15 million new cases of COVID-19 were reported to @WHO from around the world, by far the most cases reported in a single week. And we know this is an underestimate”, says @DrTedros.
“This huge spike in infections is being driven by the Omicron variant."
@WHO @DrTedros "However, the number of weekly reported deaths has remained stable since October last year, at an average of 48,000 deaths a week”, says @DrTedros.
“While the number of patients being hospitalized is increasing, in most countries, it's not at the level seen in previous waves."
@WHO @DrTedros "This is possibly due to the reduced severity of Omicron as well as widespread immunity from vaccination or previous infection”, says @DrTedros.
BUT: "while Omicron causes less severe disease than Delta, it remains a dangerous virus, particularly for those who are unvaccinated."
Read 20 tweets
Jan 6
"Last week, the highest number of #COVID19 cases were reported so far in the pandemic - and we know for certain that this is an underestimate”, says @DrTedros in WHO presser.
While Omicron appears less severe than delta, that does not make it “mild”, he says.
@DrTedros "Just like previous variants Omicron is hospitalizing people and it's killing people”, says @drtedros.
"In fact, the tsunami of cases is so huge and quick that it is overwhelming health systems around the world. Hospitals are becoming overcrowded and understaffed."
@DrTedros “First-generation vaccines may not stop all infections and transmission, but they remain highly effective in reducing hospitalization and death from this virus”, says @drtedros.
That is why other measures are needed too, he says.
Read 8 tweets
Dec 30, 2021
One of the complexities in talking about #omicron is that we are constantly talking about the variant’s properties on two levels:
in a naive population and in an immune population (in reality many populations with different levels of immunity)
That matters.
Take transmissibility:
It’s been clear from watching #omicron that it spreads faster than delta.
But from the beginning the question has been: Is that because it can infect people delta can’t? Or is it inherently more transmissible?
If you look at the UK’s risk assessment of #omicron for instance, you can see that that question is still not settled:
"there is no clear epidemiological demonstration of transmissibility as distinct from other contributors to growth advantage”
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Read 12 tweets
Dec 29, 2021
Three things were always needed to beat #SARSCoV2: science, solutions and solidarity, says @DrTedros at @WHO presser.
"Science to both understand the pathogen and find solutions to beating it and solidarity to share and deliver those tools wisely and equitably."
@DrTedros @WHO “While science delivered, politics too often triumphed over solidarity”, says @drtedros.
“Populism, narrow nationalism and hoarding of health tools, including masks, therapeutics, diagnostics and vaccines by a small number of countries undermined equity"
@DrTedros @WHO “Misinformation and disinformation, often spread by a small number of people, have been a constant distraction, undermining science and trust in life saving health tools”, says @drtedros.
Read 10 tweets

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