2/n Ethereum
Lot of scaling tech currently fighting for attention and liquidity.
ORUs and ZKRUs will probably start competing with tokens soon.
👉 zk-based general smart contracts looking like the next big advancement @StarkWareLtd vs @zksync
3/n Ethereum
👉 Big updates include the POS transition in July 2022(no code-freeze yet tho)
General architecture direction is transitioning from a monolithic one to more modular architecture.
Central beacon-chain with shards(eta 2023) and rollups in the future
4/n Solana
One of the fastest blockchains in the market
Out-of-the-box asynchronous txns could become the standard way to build financial/gaming applications in the future
👉 @neonlabsorg also working to bring EVM to Solana (currently pre-alpha)
5/n Avalanche
Has a modular architecture and aims to solve scale using subnets
Interestingly, different subnets can have different consensus algorithms
Currently the C-Chain(the EVM one) is a smash hit, onboarding plenty of developers and users to the platform
6/n Polkadot
Has a modular architecture and aims to scale using parachains
Each parachain is a sovereign blockchain which are auctioned off every epoch with the relay chain acting as shared security.
Polkadot can currently support up to 100 parachains
7/n Cosmos Ecosystem
These include blockchains built using the cosmos-sdk
Out of the box interoperability from IBC is a huge plus considering the inefficiency/risks of liquidity-based bridges
👉 EVMOS @EvmosOrg launching on 28 Feb will be the major event in the near term
8/n Celestia
A novel modular blockchain using a mix of tech from the cosmos and ethereum ecosystems
Testnet coming early Q2 (incentivized) and mainnet in end of 2022
Aims to achieve
👉 scale through rollups & data sampling tech
👉 interoperability through IBC
The ✨secret sauce✨ to making money trading crypto options 👉 Selling Options
In this thread I'm sharing some of my most closely held secrets for selling crypto options
Selling vs Buying Options
If buying options were like buying the lottery, selling options is like *selling* the lottery(or insurance).
Smaller more frequent wins and the occasional larger loss.
Less line drawing, more just waiting till expiry
Option Selling Theory
When selling options to the buyers, your profit curve is simply the reverse of an option buyer.
Option sellers earn a small premium initially and if the price of the asset moves past the strike price(ITM), you make a loss (see bottom two charts)
How I used options to hedge the FTX implosion making 3376%🤯 on the trade (even before Arthur Hayes👑)
and how YOU can use them to protect yourself against black swans🦢 events
🧵 on option basics and execution
Option Basics
Options contracts give you the right to buy(calls) or sell(puts) an asset at a predetermined price(strike) in the future.
An option contract looks like this:
ETH-25NOV22-1000-P
ETH : Underlying asset
25NOV22 : Expiry date
1000 : Strike
P : Put(right to sell)
Option Price 1
Options prices can LOOK cheap. They can be as cheap as 0.0005 ETH for 1 ETH contract on @DeribitExchange
That is kinda like using 2000x leverage.
🧵🧵🧵APY🧵🧵🧵
I spent my afternoon combing through 5,510 sources of yield data from @DefiLlama so you won't have to🤓
Aim : find a safe stable yield farm to park $100k
I used *base yield* and not the combined yield to look for protocols that offer #realyield
Started filtering out sources first with their ML-based yield prediction column. 1. Low/No confidence filtered
5,510 👉 2,693 2. Base-rate higher than the risk-free rate : 5%
2,693 👉 327 (YUGE drop)
Since the deposit amount is 100k, the pool will have to needs to be large enough that a deposit doesn't dilute the yield 3. Filter : TVL > $400k
327 👉 130
Finally a bit more comprehensible now...
1/n A Defi Data Story on Revenue and Market Valuations
(@DeFiMann's data)
The Simpleton's view : More revenue => Higher mcap
Verdict : Somewhat true, but looks random😵💫
Liner regression give us a 0.001 R²🤮 Basically no relation.
2/n Splitting the two into two tiers seems to make more sense.
The market seems to like the oldies(launched around defi summer 2020) more than the newer projects.
Makes sense. Market rewards lindy-ness👴
(except SNX. Market treats like SNX like a newborn🐥)
3/n Tier 1 now has a good R² 0.89 and Tier 2 at least looks like it makes sense...
Mathematically the lines equal the P/S ratios
ⓘ PS ratios
Tier 1: 38
Tier 2: 4.8
Tesla: 15
Tier 2s aren't actually that young though... What if they earn the lindy premium?